So, @elonmusk, you do know that the proposed tax on UNREALIZED capital gains on billionaires is just that, a proposal, right? Why would you burden yourself with an enormous tax until the proposal becomes tax law, which is highly unlikely? A couple questions for you. 1/
You note that as you earn no salary or bonus the only way to personally pay taxes is to sell stock. What became of the $22 million you received on the sale of Zip2, which you founded with your brother? After paying taxes on the realized gain, did you invest the net proceeds? 2/
After being fired by the PayPal board and replaced by Peter Thiel, PayPal was sold to eBay. You received over $165 million in eBay shares from the sale. Do you still own them? Did you pay taxes on any realized gain and invest the net proceeds? Surely you have non-Tesla assets? 3/
You have committed to owning all of your shares in Tesla for the duration. Why would you break your word simply on a tax proposal until it becomes law? I understand you invested $6.5 million in Tesla when you joined the company in 2004, the year following its founding. 4/
Since joining Tesla, have you made any additional investments in the company or is the majority of ownership derived from share grants? I presume you will ultimately sell shares to finance exercises of expiring stock options instead of continued borrowing and pledging shares? 5/
It looks like the next tranche expiring is not until August of next year? Why couch a sale now based on proposed tax policy? Why not wait? Is your "poll" really a diversion from the belief that shares are overvalued? You don't tend to see insider selling when stocks are cheap. 6/
Did your brother/board member, Kimball, know you'd poll to decide a personal sale ONE day after selling over $100m? Ditto other insiders in recent days? Seeing LOTS of SEC Form 4 filings. The timing of Kimball's sale at all time highs a day prior to your tweet is interesting. 7/
Do you know that Warren Buffett, fellow billionaire, has NEVER sold a share of Berkshire since gaining control in 1965? Yet Mr. Buffett's ownership in has been halved because he donates a portion of his shares each year to charity. Why not adopt a like non-taxable approach? 8/
No doubt it's your prerogative as to what you do with your wealth. Except for the plane you appear to live modestly. We've seen photos of your TX house. Mr. Buffett also lives modestly and has a "few million" in invested assets outside of BRK, owned prior to buying Berkshire. 9/
Berkshire & Tesla make an interesting contrast. Mr. Buffett acquired all of his shares with cash. He makes a larger $100k salary than you working gratis. Big difference in that he was NEVER given options & NEVER sold a share, despite the stock at times being very overvalued. 10/
Surely as the now richest in the world you won't leave ALL of your estate to your 6 children? $50 billion a kid seems like more than enough. Saw your proposed sale of $6 billion of $TSLA last week if you could solve world hunger, so you certainly appear charitably inclined. 11/
Couching a sale as tax (proposal) driven and not because of valuation is odd. You presently have no tax liability payable and can continue to pursue strategies, even charitable ones, to keep it that way. Looks like despite your money being first in it won't remain the last out.
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Berkshire Hathaway released its 3Q financials this morning. A few quick observations. Cash at $149.2B and share repurchases of $7.6B during 3Q and $20.2B through 9/30 will draw media headlines, but inflation is the real story, as is the case with so many companies of late. 1/
Let's get the cash "problem" out of the way. You never see reported that Berkshire's assets are at a record $922B or shareholder's equity at a like record $473B, yet the cash balance at 16% of total firm assets and 32% of equity are not much above their average since 1998. 2/
Berkshire reaffirms they will not repurchase shares if the cash position drops below $30B, which was raised from a decade-long $20B in the June 10-Q. Mr. Buffett placed the effective "permanent" cash balance at a higher $70B during the annual meeting, which I've long assumed 3/
Who would believe that Tesla is now "worth" more than two Berkshire Hathaways? Today’s 8.5% gain added $106 billion in market cap, 2.3x Tesla’s annual REVENUE in a single day. Mr. Market now values the car company at $1.36 trillion, 29.5 times annual trailing revenues. Insane. 1/
Tesla is the single biggest stock bubble I’ve ever seen, and getting bigger. Worth TWO Berkshires? Makes sense given Tesla’s $58B in total assets and $27B in shareholder’s equity, as against Berkshire’s more than $900B in total assets and nearly $500B in shareholder’s equity. 2/
Berkshire earns more profit than Tesla does in sales, so naturally the car company should be worth two of the conglomerate with more tangible property, plant and equipment than any company on the planet. But Berkshire is old and run by fossils, according to the Tesla crowd. 3/
Fortunate to have spent the better part of the week with 22 of the most thoughtful and talented investors around. They are even better people. We break down several companies, eat and drink too well, and simply enjoy each other's company. This was our 9th annual gathering. 1/
Would have been ten save cancelling 2020 for Covid. Went ahead and called it the 10th anniversary anyway, in the spirit of Chamath math. Discreet group, so without naming those on hand or the ideas discussed, some general observations and the results of a fun survey follow. 2/
Three of the ideas were energy specific. You can take that as a contrary indicator, as with mistimed magazine covers, or that some sharp folks see value. My bet, having presented one of the energy ideas, is on the latter. All ideas dissected were investments, not speculations. 3/
This is a fantastic question and thought exercise. Michael does not introduce a maturity or call/put features. This is essentially a perpetual bond. Price is coupon/discount rate. It’s not a business that retains earnings or grows. Price it like a perpetual bond. 1/
The average annual “coupon” is simply a probabilistically derived 54.5 cents. That’s the coupon. Win luck doesn’t matter. Now what’s the discount rate? The 30-year UST is less than 2%. If Janet sold a perpetual issue, some fool (read Jay Powell) would buy it at 3% or lower today.
Now introduce credit risk and inflation risk in setting a premium. If the borrower were a classy, reputable, credit-worthy guy like @IgnoreNarrative, you might demand a couple points. If it were a few of the yahoos here on Twitter, you should demand damn near 100%. Maybe more.
I'm biased against the life companies as investments. My opinion on purchasing life insurance favors term. If you are young and have a spouse/family that would need income if you get hit by the proverbial bus then you should buy life insurance. I strongly favor term from a
well-capitalized, highly-rated insurer. Term is very inexpensive the younger you are. Buy a long dated LEVEL-TERM policy that has has a RENEWABLE option at expiration. Without being renewable you are screwed if you become ill. At maturity you don't have to renew and can shop if
you still need insurance. Policies gets more expensive as you get older, which is why you buy a long-dated policy with a fixed annual premium. Once your kids are raised and particularly once you and spouse have enough financial assets to financially independent then you can stop.
Dear Cathie, I was surprised at the indignity of seeing a high-profile investor short your largest product, so sought to determine why. Examining the $ARKK June 30 Factsheet, it appears devoid of what some investors refer to as “fundamental data.” Important? Let's see...1/
I see your performance, which is really good, except for this year. Looks like you're actually now down 6.9% for the year. I took briefly to the Bloomberg and other sources to decipher these metrics. What I concluded is you and your team must be counting on growth. Lots of it. 2/
To wit, a calculation for portfolio price to earnings yields a NMF, which must mean the portfolio holdings, aggregated as though a single business, lose money. It appears only 14 of the 51 report a profit. It seems like a lot, but in the realm of disruptors and "but Amazon"...3/