QUESTION TO LABOUR: when we are engaged in a full trade war with the EU, the WA has been partly suspended,the Brexit deal has been terminated by the EU (as we hear will happen) where does this leave the Brexit strategy of @Keir_Starmer ? 🧵1/9
Sitting on the fence is virtually impossible.This killed Labour at the last GE. Improving a trade agreement which is terminated is a non-proposition. So what will be the strategy? Labour will be 100% trapped in another Brexit election in a hellish loop.
Support the government stance & lose your pro-EU voters to @LibDems & @TheGreenParty. Support reinstating the NIP & the TCA: what effect in those Red Wall seats Labour needs which will be fired up on fake patriotism?
It does open an opportunity for a pre-election Alliance between Greens, Libdems, PC (& SNP?) being far more significant & damaging for Labour if they put a clear waterline between them & Labour with a proposal for a new relationship with the EU (SM &CU), firing up pro-EU voters.
"Tory Brexit has failed/isn't working" "A new Brexit is possible" etc. & campaign energetically up & down the country.The pressure on @Keir_Starmer will be enormous. The middle ground is a very unattractive option: he will make everyone unhappy.
The best option for Labour is likely to be to take the lead:
- start immediate discussions with LD & Greens
- define & embrace a new EU relationship
- justify a pact on seats by the gravity of no deal, National Unity Government etc
- rubbish the Tories as incompetent warmongers
- start immediate discussions with LD & Greens
- define & embrace a new EU relationship
- justify a pact on seats by the gravity of no deal, National Unity Government etc
- rubbish the Tories as incompetent warmongers
- set out a good domestic programme. Point out the Tories EU wars are an unwelcome distraction Labour didn't chose. Brexit needs to get "done" once & for all in a way which doesn't damage the country, so that the government of the day
can concentrate on domestic priorities rather than endless EU fights.
This is an existential moment for Labour: if it choses the wrong strategy, it will get eviscerated. Chosing the path above involves huge risks but there is no safe option. Have a go at it, all guns blazing!
This is an existential moment for Labour: if it choses the wrong strategy, it will get eviscerated. Chosing the path above involves huge risks but there is no safe option. Have a go at it, all guns blazing!
Put the seat belts on: it will be a very bumpy road. At the end of it, the whole political landscape of the UK may be recomposed for good or worse. END/
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