1. At best the polls in the next GE will show the possibility of a hung Parliament
2. Without a plan & a common structured strategy, the Opposition parties will be destroyed by accusations of "coalition of chaos" & the Tories will win. For the public "hung Parliament"= chaos.
3.Unless the parties agree something like 👇 ( or a "lite" form of this) which would also provide an optimistic narrative of renewal and which must of course include PR, we are doomed.
An Alliance can take many forms. What I outlined in the tweet you commented on is a "lite Alliance" version. I should have added:
5. Coordinate attacks on Tories
However all this is pie in the sky as long as Labour cynically blocks it👇. Convincing a party in denial is 1 thing. But there is no convincing through mere arguments if a party has DECIDED not to do something & shored up its leadership to protect it.
So what's left?
Labour leadership is afraid of only 1 thing: losing more seats.Then even with the protections put in place in various party institutions, the leadership would be at risk.Their plan is premised on winning + seats & blaming Corbyn 2019 result for defeat -v- Tories
& blaming the other opposition parties."We got a good base to win next time" will be the narrative.
Can a "positive" movement shift this strategy? It is part of it but won't be sufficient alone. Not as long as Labour is confident its supporters have nowhere else to go. Labour is
very adept at pulling the "loyalty strings".
So the "positive engagement strategy" must be accompanied by effective & convincing threats. This can be done in several ways:
1. a UKIP style strategy with strategically placed candidates in marginals. They wld be withdrawn if
Opposition candidates adopted a binding pledge for support for PR+ collaboration with other opposition parties in HoC (official cross parties group)
2.A mass campaign of resignation from the parties. They need us.
3.A lucid exposure of their cynical strategy. Stop the gaslighting
Can it work? I don't know. But perhaps, particularly if these are also the objectives of the new @thatginamiller party. She has funding, energy, etc. She may turn to be another deluded egomaniac. We will see. But personally,apart from this strategy - the wrecking ball strategy-
I have no hope at all. And if Labour doesn't change & deliver us to another Tory government, in my view it truly deserves to explode. It isn't a force for good in British politics. It is propping up an anti-democratic system. And I have no doubt at all that
should they win on their own by a miracle -it would truly take a miracle- they will continue to prop up this undemocratic system. So what else is there to try? There is nothing to lose.
I hope it clarifies my position. Have a good weekend!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Mafevema #CommonGround

Mafevema #CommonGround Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @mafevema

15 Oct
Labour is not fit for purpose. It is anti-democratic & obsessed only with remaining the first Opposition party.
Why? Well in part because of ££££
FPTP helps Labour to get rich.

Every seat lost costs Labour £18,407
Every 200 votes lost cost £36.76
PR would be disastrous.
A 🧵
Labour, like other opposition parties receive what is called the Short money, i.e. public money :
1. General funding for Opposition Parties: the amount payable is £18,407.21 for every seat won at the last GE (£3.6M) + £36.76 for every 200 votes won.
The last GE cost Labour £1.2M
In contrast the @LibDems receive £220,000 for their 12 seats @the Greens, with one seat only must secure at least 150,000 votes & receive a pitiful amount. Both parties increased their vote share but not their seats - in fact the LD lost one (now back at 12 due to Chesham)
Read 11 tweets
15 Oct
Excellent from @Neal_Compass.
Trying to decipher why Labour rejects PR & #ProgressiveAlliance& whether it can change (answer: very unlikely)
prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/labou…
The scale of the electoral mountain Labour must climb is eye-watering. It would need the same sort of historic swing that achieved a landslide in 1945 or 1997 simply to eke out a bare majority of one (which would today require a gain of 124 seats).
With no sign of the SNP hold on Scotland weakening and the possibility of punishing boundary changes kicking in, outright victory would surely take an intellectual and organisational effort of a sort of which there is no sign around the Leadership.
Read 12 tweets
15 Oct
It may turn out that the "long bad dream" of our non-EU membership could be about to start.
The bad dream David Frost did not dare mentioning in his speech of 4th October on.ft.com/3DCq9Mo via @FT
France, Germany, the Netherlands - traditionally a close ally of the UK- supported by Spain & Italy pressing the Commission to prepare a plan for retaliatory sanctions.
Such as "curbing UK access to the bloc’s energy supplies, imposing tariffs on British exports, or in extreme circumstances terminating the trade agreement between the two sides."
Read 8 tweets
13 Oct
A few comments:
1. To see how something work, first it has to be implemented. The EU was waiting for the UK to implement. The UK delayed & made things as difficult as possible
2. The EU demands on data sharing & labelling were agreed by the UK in the December Declaration
So they are not just "reasonable", they are a sign of extreme patience: the WA was signed in January 2021!
3. Johnson agreed to & proposed border posts in the note appended to his letter of 2/10/2019 to the EU. Then halted the construction.
Why would the EU go to the trouble of drafting hellishy complicated customs rules before knowing if the UK is happy in principle?
Did the UK draft the legal text in its "command paper"? NO. It was very vague. Maybe the EU is tired of doing drafting work only to have it rejected?
Read 8 tweets
12 Oct
A PA can take many forms & steps:
1.coordinate attacks on the Tories
2. Identify policies you can agree on
3. Publicly agree with the other parties on issues publicly, starting with working together in Parliament
4. Meet regularly at leaders level & set up a cross party
parliamentary group
5. Try to harmonise manifestos with different language but identifiable similar policies on key issues
6. Respect your differences & agree that you do not agree on everything but that crucially you agree to work together in good faith
7. Agree not to run
candidates in key marginals where the other party is well placed behind the Tories
8. Failing this, set up an "official" tactical voting site & ask your supporters to vote according to its recommendations.
Read 4 tweets
11 Oct
The defeatist left.
A) most Libdems voters would not be afraid of Starmer's Labour. Even less so if they knew it would be governing in a coalition needing support of Libdems MPs
B) you don't need ALL Labour voters to ensure a defeat of the Tories. A small percentage of them
would be enough in many constituencies where the LD are very close to the Tories.
C) Libdems voters are traditionally the best at voting tactically. Most of them would vote Labour if needed to ensure a better LD national result. They are also very motivated, as would the Greens
by the prospect of PR.
D) Greens voters are mostly on the left or left of centre. Some will also vote on local issues & others out of a rejection of the Tories. So what?
It is time to treat the voters like adults: anyone can understand how electoral pacts work.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(