I ought to clarify something, in light of my comment on @rcolvile's thread
The report from which the charts are taken do say "no causal proof". But there's another IFS paper that *does* try to get at a causal relationship, which @CPSThinkTank link to ifs.org.uk/uploads/R167-T… 1/
The report from which the charts are taken do say "no causal proof". But there's another IFS paper that *does* try to get at a causal relationship, which @CPSThinkTank link to ifs.org.uk/uploads/R167-T… 1/
https://twitter.com/Gilesyb/status/1457741300497793038
This @TheIFS paper diligently controls for background etc in order to try to isolate the effect of the decision to go to university itself. See, for example, these charts - the RHS one shows *net of student loans* men on average in two courses earning less than non HE 2/ 
So I would like to absolve CPS of any charge of misrepresenting what the IFS did.
I still think we have to be careful with these findings, as the IFS researchers say themselves. In particular, it is impossible to create the perfect control group ...4/
I still think we have to be careful with these findings, as the IFS researchers say themselves. In particular, it is impossible to create the perfect control group ...4/
For people determined to go into certain low-paying professions, the course may be an incidental event on the journey. Doing the course doesn't make them go off and earn less. And, finally...5/
it is quite possible there are a class of professions like social care that both a. benefit from HE level education and b. do not generate lifetime salaries that repay the fee. That does not make them bad courses, or wrong choices. 6/6
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