The role of COVID vaccine is not just to create immunity, it also causes adverse effects and perhaps makes people vulnerable to COVID during virus favorable weather. Spike protein goes to the cell membrane which can potentially change cell membrane tension.
An altered membrane tension can play a diverse role in cellular processes such as cell-cell, cell-vesicle, and cell-virus fusion. Membrane fusion is a highly regulated process. Therefore, someone can expect very diverse and rare side effects due to vaccination.
Many vaccine side effects are unnoticed because they do not show a pattern statistically. When two interfaces fuse together, based on tension differences fusion outcome can be completely different. This is a fact.
If you let a droplet fuse with a liquid bath, you will see a varied penetration depth of the droplet depending on the tension differences of bath & drop surface. Maximum penetration happens at a critical tension difference. This must be true for virus-cell membrane fusion process
At a critical tension difference, the virus will penetrate cells in the most efficient way. Similarly, during vaccine design, you must need to check if spike protein changes cell membrane properties at all which will definitely play role in adverse effects.
As critical tension difference between fusing membrane determines efficient RNA penetration into the cell, you must need to be careful about the cause which can make that happen. A critical temp, a lower pH, cholesterol, etc can be the likely reason.
However, the dominant role is played by the temperature. This is how seasonality matters. A critical temp (which is lower than the body temp) on the skin or in the nasal airway can play role in favorable virus replication. This critical temp is modulated by air temp & humidity.
Wet-Bulb Temp can correlate with nasal airway & skin temp. If you want to slow down the replication process, you need to stop enhanced penetration of viral RNA into the cell which can be done by raising WBT. >15C WBT happens to be safe where 12C WBT is the most virus fav.
During winter, in many countries especially northern US & Europe, indoor becomes virus fav (around 12C). How do you raise WBT? There could have many ways. The best way could be taking shower with sufficiently hot water, wearing masks with a face shield, doing indoor exercise etc.
Do you want to keep raising WBT all the time? Of course not. You want to avoid efficient penetration of the virus RNA into the cell, but you will also like to keep going for many useful penetrations (such as other important cellular transport processes).
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This is my #pandemic preparedness for the next few months. I fear a massive caseload and death in the winter months ahead of us. I also have humidifiers (which provide warm mist) for emergency use. I plan to take a shower every day with hot water.
There are studies to support the use of face shields & inhaling warm steam. Both approaches worked well. There are no studies for taking a hot shower though. But this is from common sense. All these will keep inhaling air hot & humid which will prevent fav virus replication.
These approaches should work at the very early stage. When a virus spreads in the body (I mean at a later stage), there is no reason to think that these will work.
It is really scary to speak against vaccination in public when I personally somewhat convinced that vaccine helps to prevent hospitalizations & deaths. If people avoid taking it and contract COVID while not knowing how they can reduce sickness, then it is a very tragic situation.
When someone asks me what he would do regarding vaccination, my advice generally goes to take it with some explanation because I know he won't be able to follow the NPIs that I generally follow simply due to a lack of confidence.
My year-long research on weather & COVID dynamics led me to view differently on vaccination. I noticed that our experts have zero understandings of weather's role on respiratory illnesses. If they knew it, they would definitely set this as a control parameter in vaccine trials.
We mostly studied US covid cases last year Fall-Winter time. We found that there is a certain indoor wet bulb temp which is more contagious than the others. This calculation is approximately accurate when people are supposed to use heaters or do not use indoor ACs.
However, during cooling time calculation and prediction is far more complicated. Therefore, I checked US COVID cases for weather conditions from March 20th 2021 to March 28th 2021 when US had a plateau or slight increase in cases. My calculation includes 1532 US counties.
I found exactly the same pattern as what I found from last year's case studies. There is an existence of a virus fav indoor climate. Here is my validation argument- you can get a low number of cases for any indoor condition because there may have multiple factors involved in it.
If vaccinated persons have COVID symptoms, after getting the shot (no matter when happening), they should be tested while not ignoring as a vaccine side effect. If they become negative in the nasal swabs, in clinical trials they are termed as COVID suspected but not confirmed.
Within 7 days after taking any shot, the vaccinated group, in the Pfizer-BioNTech clinical trial, had a higher number of suspected but not confirmed cases compared to the placebo group. Therefore, I believe any such symptomatic case should be further recommended for stool tests.
If their nasal swab tested negative, they still may shed virus from shared toilets or in the same household. If you look at kid's hospitalization, you notice that this is all-time high since the pandemic began even though cases were at peak in January. covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
When it is super hot outdoor (higher temp and humidity, means outdoor WBT high), cases are expected to grow. However, it is not the heat that makes cases grow, rather living indoors in AC keeps cases to grow. The comfortable WBT (around 12-14C) is the most infectious.
The left curve without log plot on y-axis.
I took time to check this year's COVID cases. US had summer surge starting approximately on July 6th this year. COVID cases are higher in those counties which had hot outdoors. Next I will check with COVID cases with vaccination rate while keeping outdoor WBT same.
Israel and Lebanon are neighboring countries. Israel vaccinated its population massively (67.95%), while Lebanon did not (only 18.49%). Technically speaking, Israel should be in a much better position than Lebanon.
Both countries had a recent summer surge. However, Lebanon curve already turned down. The death rate in both countries also differs significantly. Despite very low vaccination, Lebanon is in a much better position.
Vaccination clearly does not show a positive outcome. Let's examine their respective weather. Even though they are neighboring countries, they share different weather at different locations. However, weather is similar in both countries' capital, located in coastal areas.