Michael Bang Petersen Profile picture
Nov 11, 2021 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Når #dkmedier spørger mig, om en eller anden restriktion kan presse folk til at tage vaccinen, så svarer jeg "sikkert". Men jeg bliver også bekymret for de spørgsmål, der ikke stilles.

Lad mig forklare hvorfor. Svaret findes i vores forskning det seneste halvandet år.

🧵(1/11)
En pandemi er en krise fra øverste hylde. Tilliden til regeringen - i Danmark og i udlandet - falder måned for måned, som krisen går frem. (2/11)
Vores forskning viser, at faldet i tillid drives af tiltagende udmattelse, der igen drives af restriktioner og tiden, der går, efterhånden, som krisen trækker ud: psyarxiv.com/y6wm4/. (3/11)
Udmattelsen skaber også decideret radikalisering: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…. Jo større byrde, man føler fra pandemien og restriktioner, jo større had til det politisk system og jo større støtte til politisk vold. (4/11)
I Danmark er den oplevede udmattelse generelt lav, og vi står derfor et godt sted i krisen: github.com/mariefly/HOPE/…. (5/11)
Men vores forskning viser også, at dem, der er særligt tilbøjelige til at være mest udmattede, netop er de uvaccinerede - og de har i forvejen den lavest tillid til myndighederne: bmjopen.bmj.com/content/11/6/e…. (6/11)
Det betyder, at oplevelsen af pres vil forstærke de faktorer, som i første omgang skaber vaccine-modstand: Udmattelse og mistillid. (7/11)
Dette kan forstærkes af konflikt mellem borgerne. Vores forskning viser således, at når folk bliver mere bekymrede for smitte, så bliver de også mere tilbøjelige til at fordømme dem, der er uvaccinerede: psyarxiv.com/3rczg/. (8/11)
Hvis man bruger pres for at få folk til at tage imod vaccinen, så kan man lykkes med den kortsigtede mission: At få flere vaccineret. Men spørgsmålet er: Hvilke omkostninger har det ift. det samfund, som kommer ud af krisen? Hvor robust bliver det? (9/11)
Omvendt er det klart, at en lang periode med restriktioner for det vaccinerede flertal, også udfordrer tilliden. Og at mange vaccinerede - også ifølge vores egen forskning - mener, at fordømmelse og pres netop er på sin plads. De *har* bidraget jo. (10/11)
I april 2020 skrev jeg nedenstående (mm.dk/artikel/michae…). Coronakrisen er en totalkrise, som påvirker både sundhed, økonomi og sammenhængskraft. I coronaens anden akt bliver opgaven at finde den rette balance, så det hele kommer ud på den anden side i behold. (11/11)

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More from @M_B_Petersen

Feb 8
🚨NEW PAPER🚨

Which societal conditions breed online hostility?

We surveyed experiences of victims in 30 countries across the world (N=15,202) to show that political & economic inequality drive global differences in abuse on online platforms:

🧵 1/12 osf.io/preprints/psya…
Image
Our preregistered study show that experiences of being a victim to online hostility vary widely. West Europeans experience political hostility less than once a month but hostility is much higher in other parts of the world. 2/12 Image
These differences reflect basic societal conditions of inequality. Political equality (i.e., presence of democracy) is highly correlated with online abuse (corr = -.69) as is economic inequality (corr = .45). 3/12 Image
Read 12 tweets
Jan 17
“The unvaccinated, I really want to piss them off. And so, we’re going to continue doing so, until the end. That’s the strategy,” said Macron during the COVID-19 pandemic

In a new article, we show the risks of such moralized cost-imposition:

🧵 1/7 doi.org/10.1111/1475-6…
Image
Similar, but less strong, rethoric was used by the Danish primeminister during a press conference on Nov 8, 2021.

During the time, we collected daily representative surveys of trust in the response etc. in the @HopeProject_dk. 2/7
@HopeProject_dk Our findings show that, as result of the press conference, unvaccinated lost 11 %-points of trust in the response. It also decreased their motivation to contribute to the collective action problem of reducing infections as well as their felt ability to cope with the pandemic. 3/7 Image
Read 7 tweets
Sep 7, 2023
I was asked by the board of the Danish National Research Foundation, @GrundforskFond, to give a talk at their annual meeting.

They asked me to talk under the theme: "Preprints"

Here is what I said 👇

🧵 1/18 Image
@GrundforskFond A key challenge facing the dissemination of knowledge is delays in publication ().

The social sciences are hard hit. 18 months from submission to publication in Economics & this is only *if* the paper is accepted in that journal. 2/18 sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Image
@GrundforskFond The evidence suggest that the delay is getting worse, not better, over time (). This is mostly due to increased time in review.

Today, there is widespread concerns about reviewer fatigue among journal editors () 3/18 sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
insidehighered.com/news/2022/06/1…
Image
Read 18 tweets
Aug 12, 2023
Klimaministeren bruger befolkningen som undskyldning for ikke at handle ift. klimaforandringer:

Det afspejler manglende viden om både befolkningen og om egen rolle som politiker.

🧵 1/8dr.dk/nyheder/politi…
Borgerne tager klimaforandringer dybt alvorligt. Seneste Klimabarometer fra @concitoinfo viser:

- 88 % mener at klimaforandringer er "meget" eller "i nogen grad" alvorlige
- 72 % af befolkningen mener, at partierne bør gør mere ift. klimaet

() 2/8concito.dk/files/media/do…
@concitoinfo Tal fra @ HopeProject_dk viser, at der ikke er helt aMMW konsensus om hårde instrumenter som skatter og afgifter, men selv er der kun ca. 30 %, der er uenige: 3/8 https://t.co/yV5W77QaHxgithub.com/Hopeproject202…
Image
Read 8 tweets
May 28, 2023
The Danish government has appointed me to direct a 5-year audit of Danish democracy in the 21st century: ufm.dk/aktuelt/presse…

Political scientists can think of Dahl's classic, "Who Governs?", but for an entire country. It is a monumental research challenge.

🧵 1/5
Parliament-initiated studies of power & democracy constitute a Scandinavian tradition. The last Danish study ended in 2003. In the following year Facebook was launched & fundamental societal changes have happened since. 2/5
A core focus is thus how and whether "slow-speed" democracy is fundamentally threatened by current "high-speed" society -- characterised by rapid technological innovation, increasing problem complexity, fast-paced media reporting & rising inequality. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
May 28, 2023
Jeg er blevet udnævnt som leder af den nye magtudredning: ufm.dk/aktuelt/presse…

Det er en monumental opgave, som går igang nu.

I denne tråd skitserer jeg det, der ligger forude, og nogle af de udfordringer, som demokratiet står foran i det 21. århundrede.

🧵 1/14
Magtudredninger er en særlig skandinavisk tradition, hvor parlamentet beder uafhængige forskere om at vurdere om de - og andre magtaktører - lever op til demokratiets idealer og udstyrer forskerne med væsentlige ressourcer til den opgave. 2/14
Én gang tidligere har man gennemført en magtudredning i DK (magtudredningen.dk). Bl.a. under overskriften "et ganske levende demokrati" konkluderede man, at DKs demokrati var robust, og at forskydningerne af magt i høj grad var politisk bestemte & dermed under kontrol. 3/14
Read 14 tweets

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