π Countries at #COP26 are racing to find ways to stop the global average temperature rise passing that.
π¨ But what happens if we fail? π§΅
π₯Deadly heat
βοΈAt 1.5C, 14% of the world will face severe heatwaves at least once every five years.
βοΈAt 2C, this rises to 37%.
π Heat is already responsible for most climate change-related deaths and could also worsen droughts, wildfires and floods. news.trust.org/item/202010301β¦
π§ Melting ice
π Limiting temperature rise to 1.5C could halve the expected amount of sea level rise this century.
βοΈ At 2C, the Greenland and west Antarctic ice sheets could end up collapsing.
π’ Large-scale sea level rise from this could force millions to flee their homes.
π½ Food crisis
π‘οΈ At 2C warmer, @WFP warns that an additional 189 million people could go hungry worldwide.
π£ "If you have crop failures... then you could see extreme food price spikes... and famine across wide swathes of the world," said @UCL's climate scientist @SimonLLewis.
π¦ Wildlife threats
π At 1.5C, the Great Barrier Reef has a chance of surviving. At 2C, the odds are low.
π 2C would make more areas of Earth uninhabitable for humans and animals - and more dangerous forest fires would pose an additional risk. π₯
π΄ We're now at 1.1C and scientists say itβs already code red for humanity with:
βοΈ Torrential flooding from China to Germany
π‘ Hundreds dying when US temperatures hit record highs this summer
π₯ Deadly wildfires from the Mediterranean to Siberia to the U.S. West coast.
π¨ And we have more bad news.
βοΈ Earth is on track to blow past 2C and possibly become warmer by 2.4C after the latest pledges at #COP26, according to research coalition @ClimateActionTr.
π‘ What would a world warmer by 2.4C look like?
Scientists warn:
π Biodiversity would be vastly depleted
π Cities would be unable to cope with more extreme weather
π± Growing food could become more difficult in many parts of the world, leading to more global hunger
π Failing to stop rising global temperatures could mean misery and suffering for most people on the planet.
π We have good news: some are on a mission to keep their beaches pristine.
From shunning plastic bottles to composting cigarette ends, hereβs how Tilos, Paros and others are racing to reach zero waste. 𧡠tmsnrt.rs/3KduHxg
π¬π· The island of Tilos has built a reputation as a testing ground for Greece's green ambitions.
βοΈ It was the first Greek island to ban hunting in 1993.
π And in 2018, it became one of the first islands in the Mediterranean to run mainly on wind and solar power.
π Only a few decades ago, all the islandβs trash wound up in a local landfill.
π’ To fix its pollution problem, it launched a major campaign in December last year.
π Now, the landfill is shut, and the island recycles up to 86% of its rubbish, a record high in Greece.
βοΈ Could "dimming the sun" help turn down global heating?
π‘ It might sound like science fiction, but some are exploring solar geoengineering tech to stop temperatures rising.
βοΈ They say it's relatively cheap and simple - while others warn it could be catastrophic. Why? π§΅
π @WMO projects the planet could warm by 1.5C within the next 5 years - at least temporarily: a foretaste of what things would be like if global limits are breached.
To tackle this, a Climate Overshoot Commission of 16 experts was launched to look at new tech, like sun-dimming.
πΆ One technology is "stratospheric aerosol injection" - or SAI.
𧴠It involves spraying chemicals into the atmosphere to reflect away some of the sun's warmth, like how volcanic eruptions darken the sky.