Leaving @COP26 with the feeling that this process will not deliver. This was my 22nd COP since COP1 in 1995. Some issues and acronyms have changed - but I could easily recycle my articles from the 90s… The basic flaw lies in the requirement to decide by consensus. See thread ⬇️
The good-willed forces have crippled themselves by tying its fate to the fossil fuel dealers through consensus. They act as if they had something to bargain with, like in disarmament talks - „if you reduce your number of missiles by x, I will do it by y“. See Thread ⬇️
But here the good-willed can offer no deal. Following the disarmament logic those ambitious countries would have to threaten with more emissions from their side. Which would be ridiculous on the one hand and it would not present any real threat - because the fossils don‘t care.⬇️
And so the most vulnerable countries get immersed in the same rounds of arguments year after year, COP after COP… And the EU is puzzled every year that it‘s strategy does not appear to be working. If it wasn‘t so tragic… ⬇️
The only viable solution appears to be, to establish a process of the ambitious countries outside of the @UNFCCC Regime. Conclude a „decarbonization treaty“, like the one @_AOSIS has in the drawer. Or the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty that has the backing of civil society.
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