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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
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15 Nov, 9 tweets, 2 min read
this will go down in the annals of "people terrified of guns because they've literally never set foot on a range"
never point a gun at something you aren't prepared to kill. doesn't matter if it's unloaded, especially since the prosecutor did not himself check to verify that it was unloaded. you always check! always! literally always!
pulling this stunt on any range in america would get you kicked out immediately and quite plausibly banned for life.
depends on if you can make arguments about negligence, endangerment, brandishing, etc stick
Brandishing applies even to unloaded weapons, but requires the intent to instill fear. Jurisdictions vary on the extent of a conflict needed. But one could argue the prosecutor wanted the jury to feel fear.
Don't point guns at people for the purpose of making them feel afraid!
ahaha he pulled the trigger too?????

what????

this is nuts
he must REALLY trust that assistant
yikes!

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More from @lymanstoneky

Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
17 Nov
Just want to note that this is how absolutely nuts the "Christian nationalism" discourse has become, that suggesting (correctly) that the US was historically a Christian nation is seen as "Christian nationalism."
The US still has treaties IN FORCE TODAY which legally declare the country a Christian nation!

It's quite literally the law!
Now, those treaties are very old and clearly those terms are no longer seen as operative--- but it is nonetheless very clearly the case that the US *at a minimum historically was* a "Christian nation" in both practical/social and also literal/legal terms.
Read 39 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
16 Nov
You can't argue that 1) Rufo has been open about wanting to take control of the levers of power and also 2) that boosting Rufo is a deceptive plot to take over power, since the plot is very much public.
and tbh, I feel like Rufo's work is a model conservatives should really be emulating, since all it consists of is the standard form of politics for the left since about 1900. time we got in the game!
I've argued elsewhere that what conservatives need to do is gain *administrative* control over the apparatus of the state to contest the administrative control progressives wield. Love it or hate it, that's what Rufo is shooting for.
Read 4 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
16 Nov
feels like the extent to which Democrats are at risk in the midterms because they did not do popular things (leave, permanent CTC, etc) and are associated with unpopular things (school curriculum change, etc) is actually what's underreported
one of the things I sincerely appreciate about the right, or at least did appreciate before the last few years when a mass psychosis infected it, is that we used to be pretty good about acknowledging a reason we often lost elections was because people disliked our ideas.
there's a whole family of rightist rhetorical tropes: "the two santa clauses," etc, about how Democrats promise goodies and Republicans offer the hard reality, etc, etc. true or not, it was a useful self image where we generally believed when we lost it was because...
Read 6 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
16 Nov
dig a ditch, step to the left, and shoot an arrow
one of the really important things to understand about ancient warfare is:

1) modern humans are exposed to such a huge amount of military history we have an astonishing reservoir of tactical ideas they didn't have

2) the main problem isn't ideas, but organization and resources
pretty much everybody who confronted a disciplined formation like this in fact did have ideas on how to beat it: but finding the right battlefield to be conducive to your ideas, getting enough soldiers in one place to pull them off, preparing the field correctly...
Read 21 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
15 Nov
So, it helps to look at the long run trend. Thread below.
Here's the long run trend in STIs I could find data for offhand. You can see there's a LOT of variation over time. Image
You might suppose STIs are a kind of nice objective measure of sex.

But is it really?
Read 12 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
15 Nov
Some fun new #NBERday papers today!

First up, a paper with very strong @Noahpinion energy:

Q) Does discrimination make it harder to recruit an army?

A) Yes! Very cool evidence from US WWII volunteer data. nber.org/papers/w29482
So first the theory. The argument is that wars are a major test of "state capacity," i.e. the ability of the state to marshal resources to achieve large tasks. A key component of the wartime test of state capacity is the ability to recruit manpower for the army. #NBERday
One possible threat to state capacity is a populace which is deeply divided and regards one another with hostility, such that state-based projects like "the nation needs to win the war against some other nation" may have a hard time motivating pro-state behavior. #NBERday
Read 28 tweets

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