I’m terrified of the coming weeks. The majority of the population has an absurd false sense of security and/or practicing willful ignorance. The gov. has lost complete control and oversight as the GGDs are at maximum capacity and hospitals are already calling a #zorginfarct 🧵
The NL is blindly heading towards the possibility of 5.5 million infections in the coming weeks according to a recently updated model monitoring lambda/population heterogeneity, population herd immunity and transmission rates.
There will be immense suffering and despair 🧵2
Even if we went under full house arrest lockdown today, the coming hospital intakes and deaths (which mostly occur in convalescent centers and homes) are already locked in. Perhaps this is why the gov. isn’t doing anything — what is a couple thousand more deaths to them? 🧵3
It is 💯 certain that the country will be #codezwart whether the government officially declares it or maneuvers itself out of it by denying care and triaging before admission.
What is still unknown is how dramatic the corresponding hospital collapse will be 🧵4
Perhaps a massive wave of hospitalizations and deaths will finally wake up the Dutch population out of complacency. That the collective despair can no longer be ignored and people will become angry and demand an end to this policy 🧵5
My family and I are safe ❤️🩹 but b/c of the transmission levels, Covid-19 may still find its way in our home.
If the current status quo holds, by Christmas 🎄 🎅🏼🧑🏻🎄 95% of the population have been infected since the start of the pandemic, and going to funerals will be trending.🧵
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“Everything's not awesome
But that doesn't mean that it's hopeless and bleak
Everything's not awesome
But in my heart, I believe (I believe)”
It's impossible for me not to lament on the dystopian nightmare we are living in right now, but I will try to be more positive 🧵
A forecast from a modeler who I absolutely trust and who has been accurate for the past 5 🌊 suggests that we will reach the transmissions peak right around Black Friday. 🚨 1 in 20 random people in the NL are currently infectious. We will soon reach herd immunity threshold 🧵2
The seroprevalence and herd immunity threshold is what the @rivm is closely monitoring but failing to communicate. They are intent on accomplishing mass infection at all costs, including an extra 10-12,000 preventable deaths and collapse of healthcare. 🧵3
The rioting is not a crisis of people rebelling against an imagined “lockdown”. It is a crisis of a failed and broken state — local and national politics, institutions (RIVM, GGD), judicial system, bank, education that no longer serves the people but special market interests. 🧵
Polarization is what happens when a population votes for psychotic politicians who prioritize the special interests of the 0.1% over the actual people they are meant to serve and protect, supported by gated-institutions of mediocrity who are sources of misinformation. 🧵2
“Psychopathy describes a set of personality traits and behaviors frequently associated with lack of emotional sensitivity and empathy, impulsiveness, superficial charm and insensitivity to punishing consequences.”
From the onset, the Dutch government and institutions decided to:
🎯infect the vast majority to build herd immunity
🎯misinform the public about the harms and dangers of Covid — it’s just a common cold and children are not affected
🎯poorly educate about transmission
🧵2
So now there is a general public gaslighted for 20+ months that their rights and freedoms must be restricted for a virus that is nothing more than a mere trivial cold — their lives are continuously upended by off-and-on restrictions. 🧵3
Moedeloos. Despondent. It’s the overarching feeling I’ve had 20+ months living in the Netherlands. It is now the most dangerous time since the pandemic started and the majority are sleep walking into danger, misinformed and gaslighted by the government and institutions 🧵
People remain willfully ignorant, pointing at the shared suffering of neighboring Germany and Austria. They don’t realize that the NL is in a much worse situation —the GGDs have lost sight of actual transmission numbers, reaching maximum test capacity 🧵2
The institutions meant to protect us are responsible for our current suffering and preventable deaths. By next week, the NL is forecasted to have reached the herd immunity threshold. By the time this 6th 🌊 is over, 90% have been infected since the start of the pandemic. 🧵3
🚨 Update: On the way to Black Friday, Dutch edition 🚨
1 out of every 20 random people in the Netherlands is contagious for #SARSCoV2
That translates to 5% of the entire Dutch population being infected per week.
Code Black - rationing of care/triage is 💯 certain
🧵
New estimates of projected mortality in this 6th wave (Delta variant) is 13,500. The total being 46,500.
2/3 of these deaths —more than 30,000— occurred without the intervention of a clinic or IC. These people died at home or in nursing homes.
🧵2
The only way to alleviate the
this tremendous suffering is a real lockdown —all schools, restaurants/pubs/cafes/closed, mandatory work from home — starting now. But our failed “social democracy” and irreparably broken institutions will not allow this. It is psychotic.
Do people comprehend how dire the situation is in the NL 🇳🇱? What #codezwart — the rationing of healthcare and overwhelmed, understaffed frontline workers —actually entails? It means another wave of preventable mass suffering, chronic illness and thousands more deaths. 🧵
But we are headed towards around 1600 deaths (excess mortality) per week for the next 4 weeks. The vast majority preventable if we gave booster shots in August when Israel provided compelling evidence to do so. 🧵2
The Dutch gov. deliberately choose this. Despite its immense wealth, infrasture and generous supply of vaccines, they decided 8,000 more deaths — your oma, opa, mother, father, sister, brother, uncle, aunt, neighbors, friends — are acceptable collateral.🧵3