People still not understanding why TCA brexit when fully implemented GB side will cause greater supply chain break down/shortages,..
Let's just take the personnel issue.
Imagine a shipping/freight forwarding/parcel/courier office. ...1/
Pre Brexit: Ten people with long experience in customs & compliance formalities looking after the non EU traffic.
For the remaining half of the traffic for EU just two people were employed with absolutely no experience in customs & compliance formalities...as none was needed. 2/
Now the EU traffic needs the same "ten people with long experience"
Do you move some of your experienced staff to the EU freight diminishing your service on the non EU services where competitors are not, while still leaving the EU service short of what is needed? 3/
& while competitors are trying to poach your experienced staff to help *their* EU services?
Not enough experienced staff means freight movements can't be handled efficiently enuff if at all. Backlogs happen; time runs out; shipments don't clear customs; shipments don't move; 4/

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More from @vivamjm

17 Nov
He added: “It was apparent they had absolutely no idea what CFSP was – so much for it being the ‘gold standard’ vehicle for customs declarations, offered only to ‘trusted’ importers.”
Frightening stuff theloadstar.com/uk-hmrc-strugg…
The bigger problem may be persuading (insufficient in number either way) brokers to become certified, as brokers processing EU imports as indirect clients are also left liable for any tax due, which the custom expert said would mean “few” would be willing to handle the backlog.
You're not fucking kidding !!!
“If we process a declaration, we earn £35, ($47), but it also makes us jointly liable for the tax due,” he explained. “To give an idea of what we’re talking about, we processed a declaration that had some £2,300 in duty owed.
Read 5 tweets
12 Nov
A reminder: an effective border force..customs & (bio security) market standards..deters smugglers. There is none between NI & IE as was agreed to move it back from there to between GB & NI. The remaining EU26 not just IE need their customs & market standards territory protecting
If intending to introduce universal lower standards & tariffs to your bordering market less so an issue.
However non market standards goods can be legally transited across higher standards & customs territories to your market..*Effective* border force controls is the deterrence.
To maintain trade flows the controls needs to match demand. GB has had insufficient capacity to meet new demands for 11 months now. It has prioritised EU inbound "flow over control" owing to EU dependency, but still not enough to prevent strangled (round trip) supply chains.
Read 5 tweets
10 Nov
"Due to the politically sensitive nature of Brexit detailed guidance has been slow to emerge"
& therein lies the problem..nobody
(Gov OR Labour or MSM) been prepared to say
'prepare for *huge detrimental costly* changes.
.& why headline here very wrong!!
theloadstar.com/brexit-knowled…
"Following a 6-month delay, full customs checks will be imposed on goods crossing from the EU into the UK from 1 January, but DDC FPO’s head of customs and logistics services for the UK and Europe, Chris Curtin, questions how much progress has been made in those extra 6 months"
by importers, exporters, customs brokers, logistics technology providers, plus transport and ferry operators?
. There is a mountain traders will need to climb, in terms of readiness, and that readiness needs to be reflected by all actors in the supply chain.
Read 5 tweets
4 Nov
Incredible how so many are still not understanding what was always coming from leaving shared customs territory & shared standards/SPS territory
esp with (wanting) "divergence" ..
thus maximising the border processes & costs
inews.co.uk/news/world/shi…
For those wondering why "easier to order from India" again key word is "capacity". For non EU/UK freight traffic supply (customs & SPS BPs/systems/personnel)
meets demand.
Before 1/1/21 it did too for EU inc UK (internal market) freight: i.e. *zero* supply to meet *zero* demand
Now all are struggling with crawling up from *zero* supply to meet the same demands of non EU/UK demands.
"Why don't couriers/carriers divert capacity?"
Because that'll adversely impact on their other services, where if these services suffer they'll lose business to competitors
Read 6 tweets
21 Oct
My small business doing well in GB. I previously could look to Ireland, NI or continent to make some new contacts with no customs/market compliance extra hassles.I could throw a few exhibits & display equipment in back of my van & take onto a ferry still inside my internal market
to attend any exhibit across my continent. I now have the mammoth "red tape" of customs formalities inc RoO, carnets & proving compliance with health & CE certification. Please tell me how I will replace these business opportunities with your NZ "cutting red tape" opportunities?
Will I avoid the customs formalities including carnets (& certs of origin now needed for my former internal market) and the market compliance proof certifications?
How do I as easily exhibit there in NZ or indeed start making good 12,000 miles away cemented contacts. ?
Read 4 tweets
21 Oct
So I (and others of course) 5 years long warned out of the SM/CU
regardless of *any* "Canada Style Deal"/FTA would mean

1) Reduced to wholly lost trade/service providing/working/retirement/travel rights & benefits across our continent. Tick
2) an intractable problem with the shared customs territory & shared regulatory territory across the British border in Ireland. Tick
3) pummeled and utterly fucked GB sales in EU as EU buyers progressively find other internal market suppliers. Tick
4) shortages and long term reduced choice at much higher rocketing prices in GB as EU suppliers without massively raised selling prices consider it not worth the hassle. Semi Tick (as UK Gov still too afraid to fully implement its brexit its side)
Read 6 tweets

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