11/19 Texas C19 Update
THREAD:
* The Start of the Winter wave is here
* All the metrics are showing small increases
* Banking on the vaccines being effective and reducing the amplitude of the wave is looking increasingly like a pipe dream.
1/n
.
THREAD:
* The Start of the Winter wave is here
* All the metrics are showing small increases
* Banking on the vaccines being effective and reducing the amplitude of the wave is looking increasingly like a pipe dream.
1/n
.
https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1461060106880180228
11/19 Testing
Tests are filed by date of specimen collection, < 7-8 days old is incomplete.
As of 11/09:
* Positivity rate rising to 4.47%
* Testing increasing 7DMA ~ 83.8K
* Positive Test 7DMA ~ 3748
* Covidestim Rt creeping up to 0.74
2/n
.
Tests are filed by date of specimen collection, < 7-8 days old is incomplete.
As of 11/09:
* Positivity rate rising to 4.47%
* Testing increasing 7DMA ~ 83.8K
* Positive Test 7DMA ~ 3748
* Covidestim Rt creeping up to 0.74
2/n
.
11/19 - Cases
* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* Cases 7DMA is slowly increasing
* 7DMA of 2796 cases, rising 20% week over week
* Will start watching the amplitude of the wave.
* Probably will adjust my charting to compare Winters directly
3/n
.
* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* Cases 7DMA is slowly increasing
* 7DMA of 2796 cases, rising 20% week over week
* Will start watching the amplitude of the wave.
* Probably will adjust my charting to compare Winters directly
3/n
.
11/19 Hospitalizations - Part 1
* Covid Admits slowly rising 11% Week over week the past several days. 358 per day 7DMA
* % of beds tagged as Covid still in the 4.3% range, total Covid census of 2730 beds
* 7DMA WoW rate of decline nearly 0%
.
covid-texas.csullender.com
.
4/n
.
* Covid Admits slowly rising 11% Week over week the past several days. 358 per day 7DMA
* % of beds tagged as Covid still in the 4.3% range, total Covid census of 2730 beds
* 7DMA WoW rate of decline nearly 0%
.
covid-texas.csullender.com
.
4/n
.
11/19 Hospitalizations - Part 2
* CDC % of ED visits with C19 lines up with DSHS data
* ICU portion of the bed census is 950
* 2020 Winter Wave was well underway at this point, from cases through hosps & ICU. 2021 Winter is about to do the same thing
5/n
.
* CDC % of ED visits with C19 lines up with DSHS data
* ICU portion of the bed census is 950
* 2020 Winter Wave was well underway at this point, from cases through hosps & ICU. 2021 Winter is about to do the same thing
5/n
.
11/19 Conclusion
* Winter Wave is here
* Anecdotally - 2 people very close to me have Covid, one hospitalized, both vaxxed
* 2/3 of TX has either been vaxxed or infected or both
* Yet El Paso's wave has started off similar to 2020. Not a good sign
6/end
* Winter Wave is here
* Anecdotally - 2 people very close to me have Covid, one hospitalized, both vaxxed
* 2/3 of TX has either been vaxxed or infected or both
* Yet El Paso's wave has started off similar to 2020. Not a good sign
6/end
https://twitter.com/pcfudge/status/1461774124586471427?s=20
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