As noted, COVID case rates since June are running 2.8x higher in the reddest tenth of the country than the bluest tenth, with a steady progression up the scale in between:
COVID *death* rates since June are running over 5.6x higher in the reddest tenth than the bluest tenth...again, with a fairly steady progression up the scale in between:
For a *nonpartisan* view, this is the more important graph to use: COVID deaths since June are 4.1x higher in the least-vaccinated tenth of the country than the most-vaccinated tenth...and if you take Miami-Dade out of the equation (special case), it's a whopping 6.0x higher:
⚠️ Here again is how *cumulative* COVID death rates have increased at the county level along 2020 partisan lines starting from 3/15/20 - 11/15/21: acasignups.net/21/11/17/red-s…
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This is getting some traction again thanks to @jonathanweisman’s piece yesterday and the controversy regarding his framing of it (which I have mixed feelings about), so here it is again: acasignups.net/21/11/17/red-s…
Here’s what the cumulative COVID county-level death rate looked like by Trump’s 2020 vote as of July 2020, after the first wave ended. It was 7.6x higher in the Bluest tenth of the country than the Reddest tenth.
By Election Day 2020, the Reddest counties had already started to @catch up:” The bluest bracket was only twice as high cumulatively as the reddest bracket:
For those criticizing @jonathanweisman's framing (especially by citing my own data/analysis in response):
First, while I appreciate the props, if you read the article, you'll see that *he* actually cites that exact same data/analysis in the article itself. 1/
The issue is how the same data & the same empirical data is *framed*.
In this post, I stated that the GOP is shrugging off thousands of their own voters dying as "a small price to pay" in return for driving Biden's approval down, and that it's working: acasignups.net/21/11/03/simpl…
This is pretty much identical to @jonathanweisman's story (which, again, cites my own data to drive home this point).
The difference? My blog post clearly presents this truth as being horrifying & inhumane, while some feel his *tweet* frames it as a clever political strategy.
📣 WEEKLY UPDATE: For those who followed my state-by-state county-level vaccination breakout, here's all 3,144 U.S. counties (+ the territories) with some additional context/details: acasignups.net/21/11/23/weekl…
📣 For stats folks: Here's how the national county-level R-squared has changed since February. Notice how from mid-March through around mid-September the R^2 increased regardless of other methodology/policy changes. Since then it has leveled off:
Here's the same data in bar graph mode, with each bracket having roughly the same number of U.S. residents.
Notice how the vaxx drop-off is fairly mild until the Trump vote hits around 50%...at which it drops off rapidly: