I’m going out for the evening. I’ll be keeping an eye on what they do with Bitcoin. If they do start coming down towards those lows again with aggression I will look to cut my long. However, I think the storm has been weathered and they’re just trapping more shorts atm
For what it’s worth Thursdays are usually reversal days. I’m slightly cautious about there being a full on reversal today. All I’m looking for them to do is shift it out of this zone a little bit. But i do think we’re at the bottom.
The only place i think they could potentially come back to is this green vector. There is still the possibility they sweep the lows of this range to get this. I’m not fudding - we just have to be aware of the possibilities
Should know more by end of the New York session which is in around 2 hours time
Again this green line is proving to be a key level. It’s obviously under this line is where they want to build most of their positions. We need them to take this line out! $btc #bitcoin
They are so quick to dump but so slow to pump 🙄
Me watching this chart:
Tokyo 🧐
Realised earlier that this green line should actually be a bit higher. They’re now hovering above it. You can see it’s now the mid point of the asian session (white box). Wouldn’t mind if they just stayed that way for a bit before the full send 🙌
Small update: …fuck this green line
Bigger update: Everything still looks fine. W still looks good on the 4 hour and larger timeframe. I am awaiting the short squeeze which we may have to wait until tomorrow for due to this options expiry thing (not my strong area)
Quick update. Just be careful. Options don’t expire until tomorrow so we might not get our move until then. I’m seeing a small M pattern on the 1hr with two green vectors at the top. And a green/red vector reversal pattern on the 15m. Could get a small retrace before we go up
Nothing major, just another lesson to learn. Here’s not a place to long atm. You can see they’ve halted here. Why? Because it was the high they set for Monday. We are at the top of the range. Expecting some consolidation below here before they blast through it upwards to 64k
I’m not cutting my long. I think they’ve already shown their intention.
The last time NYC had the day off we were at a high of 52k and the next day they came back and crashed it to 42k.
I’m thinking the opposite happens tomorrow and they take us upwards. Potentially to 64k
I think they come back to around the previous daily high which sits at that green line we all know and love. Then bounce upwards from there. Expecting some fireworks tomorrow. $btc
Also confluent with that being the area where the 50ema will be positioned.
Rise up, retrace and retest 50ema on 1hr, then bounce (50ema is the one with the purple cloud around it)
By the way. You see how knowing these levels can help you from fomo’ing in? I didnt know for certain it was going to drop slightly, but there was a good chance because that level was a key area
The indicator is SpacemanBTC Key Level.
Monday High proves to be the turning point. Back to the green dotted line. Would like to see them just consolidate there. Is also where the 50ema is on the 1hr $btc
Nothing to worry about imo. Just normal. Asia setting it up for tomorrow
Also, forgot about options expiry. Max pain for options expiry for Friday is under 58k. Thanks @Cryptopoulp1
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Same play as always:
Take out the top of the range first and you target the bottom, take out the bottom of the range then you target the top.
Note: $Eth range isn't confirmed until a break below $1557.65 has occurred.
Price moving towards the top of the range at the moment. Will be careful if this turns out to sweep the range high first - have to remember that we're in the vicinity of a bullish order block and the fact there's a lot of fuckery around the weekend. If it does take range high...
...i'd like confirmation by it re-entering the range and holding within. A move back up above again and i'd be vigilant to make sure it doesn't go against me too hard.
For scalp ranges I am always looking for a minimum of 3:1 RR.
Notice and observe how whenever we drop people start searching for lower and lower targets.
Was this the case a few months ago? No, people were looking for higher targets until all hope was obliterated.
There was a sentiment shift when we dropped below 28k.
Hope turned to despair.
People who had been trying to buy/long the dip were now more of the thought of selling/shorting the rips.
Towards the end of the move is when people start getting aggressive with even lower or higher targets.
Know when the market structure has shifted, we are very much in bullish market conditions - yet the crowd is still very much with a bearish mindset. Most are offside.
2/ What's the first thing people learn when they start trading?
Technical analysis of the chart. Usually through some sort of patterns system, Fibonacci, Elliot Waves, Fair Value Gaps for example.
But what is something is consistently overlooked?
Time.
3/ Time is important because it's when the Market Makers and the algorithms are most active in the market. You'll see this through sessions whereby most of the activity in the charts happens whenever the key legacy sessions are open. These are Asia, London and New York