US Asst. Sec. of State for Europe Karen Donfried, in phone briefing on Blinken trip to NATO ministerial in Riga & OSCE meeting in Sweden next week, asked about Ukraine Pres. Zelensky allegations today that a group of Russians and Ukrainians been planning a coup against him 1/
She said: We are in touch with the Ukrainian government to discuss this further. We are working to obtain additional information. That is where we are right now. Engaging with our Ukrainian partners
Donfried also said, in response to a question about what options are available to try to counter possible new Russian against Ukraine, that the goal was still to deter that: Well, as you can appreciate, all options are on the table, there is a tool kit that includes a whole
range of options. We are monitoring the region closely, consult with our allies & partners, on how to do we deter Russian action. Ideally, that is what we want to be doing now. We do not want to see any Russian military incursion into Ukraine.
Asked if Blinken might meet with Russian FM Lavrov when both are at the OSCE ministerial in Sweden, Donfrield said she did not have anything to announce on that
Don’t have any problem with Biden trying to find a potential off ramp with Putin. Trust he is not doing it to protect his own interests. not sure there was an equivalent for Trump with the anti Iran crowd. Think they were terrified if he ever got to table with Iran.
& did whatever they could to make sure it did not happen.
on the strategic catastrophe of Trump quitting the Iran deal, see most of the Israeli national security establishment has now gone on the record that it was a catastrophe, as was obvious then to most. a few of them say was bad he quit it with no plan for getting anything better.
🧵Re: US declarations of “ironclad” support for Ukraine territorial integrity, “Such statements are eerily reminiscent of political support signaled to Georgia in the run-up to the Russia-Georgia war in 2008. Not only is Russia unlikely to be deterred by diplomatic terms of art
“that lack credibility, it will try to injure the US’ reputation when Washington appears so overextended. The US must act, but it should take care not to mislead Ukrainian leadership into expecting support that will not materialize…
“If the White House does not see a military role for itself in Ukraine, as was the case in 2014, it should tell this privately and candidly to Kyiv so that Ukraine’s leaders can operate with a full awareness of the geopolitical reality.” foreignaffairs.com/articles/ukrai…
Sudan FM Miriam al-Mahdi, on Atlantic Council zoom event, says the ministers were surprised by announcement yesterday on Hamdok allegedly being restored to PM, saw it on TV, see it the move as potentially supportive of the coup.
guess ex foreign minister, because she says several ministers submitted their resignations yesterday.
She praises the Biden admin/Feltman for swift condemnation of the coup, says US response helped shape international reaction. AU suspended Sudan in 24 hours after coup. Says even countries that wanted to support the coup, like Egypt, they couldn't do it. stayed silent.
officials in Lake County, Ohio and Mesa, colorado seemingly let lindell’s guy tap into their systems and looks like there is mucho evidence. “State & county officials…determined that a private laptop was plugged into the county network in Lake County comm. John Hamercheck’s
“office, and that the routine network traffic captured by the computer was circulated at the same Lindell conference as the data from the Colorado breach….County records.. show that Hamercheck…used his security badge to swipe into the 5th floor offices multiple times during
“the roughly six-hour period when, according to the leaked data, the laptop was intermittently connected to the county network on May 4, the date of Ohio’s spring primaries.”
sobering & insightful @CFTNI event on Russia/Ukraine. hope someone gets WH a transcript. George Beebee and Dmitry Suslov remarks in particular since bit at odds with a lot of commentary in dc on how to try to deter escalation. M. Kofman: what happens when US & Russia can’t agree
all the speakers agree Russia is not bluffing. Kofman: only so many times can threaten to invade ukraine
future conflict on much larger scale…what ldrship signalling, conflict that involves a substantial part of UKR, encircle UKR mil & force new political agreement, trash Minsk
Dmitry Suslov (not verbatim/check trnscrpt): Russia does not perceive Ukraine as part of Russia sphere of influence...Ukraine w/its current borders, pop'n, will not accept becoming part of sphere of influence in Russia. Russia would prefer Ukraine neutral. Not anti Russia. ...
Fascinating , somewhat ominous CFR event with Fiona Hill and Andrea Kendall-Taylor. Both think Putin's multiple vectors of pressure --on Ukraine, energy, shutting down Normandy talks--may be aimed at getting to the table with US for some sort of more comprehensive settlement
Hill also said more reasons to think Putin will probably act on Ukraine than not, narrow window of opportunity to try to deter
Hill, noting Russia invasion of Georgia in summer of 2008 was when China was last hosting the Olympics, wonders if we can prevail on the Chinese to possibly suggest to Russia not to do offensive on Ukraine when China hosting Olympics this February.