I bought Bitcoin at between $6,000 and $9,000 during 2020 at the urging of a well informed first who works at one of these Web 3.0 companies.
I didn’t really buy it as a speculation, it was a crude inflation hedge on the thesis that it was essentially digital gold. I keep a
Rolling and sizable cash position since I have pledged commitments to fund private equity and Real Estate PE investments so the amount I keep liquid can “seem” irresponsible (opposite of most people who have too little cash for emergencies). The solution was to hold 5% in BTC
First is suppose to be “friend”
Crypto is a paradigm shift and a religion, I never really mention my involvement to my following like I do generally wrt S&P indexing or Facebook, Amazon, google, Shopify. It feels really easy to get scammazed or not be mentally able to handle the volatility. Click on the
wrong discord link and poof a million dollars can get yoinked with no Recourse. There aren’t really any guardrails here. Maybe it was a disservice to not talk about it. I super avoided mentioning it until very recently.
Other than as an inflation hedge, my only thesis was
That whenever possible, it’s generally smart to (excuse the term) invest in cults and religions. I’m trying to use those terms in an even-keeled way (no pejorative edge). My mental model for it goes something like this:
Bitcoin maxis and believers evangelize SUPER HARD
Bitcoin skeptics generally are agnostic, or make fun of it.
All the energy and fanaticism and “converting” happens on the long side. Because you can’t really short Bitcoin at scale so the skeptics don’t really have a
vested interest. This also means they are less likely to do the work once they formulate their knee-jerk reaction. Eventually everyone undecided or agnostic gets won over by Twitter Bitcoin Stans evangelizing / talking their book. Bitcoin is a virus with a high r0
My BTC wallet is worth 7 figures despite only a 6 figure initial investment. only time I ever sold BTC was to convert half to $eth (also at the urging of said Web 3.0 friend).
The plan is to just keep it around 5% Of assets, maybe take a little profit at a meme lvl like 69,420
If another creator asked me what to invest in… after demurring repeated that I’m not a fin advisor /don’t give advice I might say
Keep 6 months of living &operating expense saved as cash
90% $VOO (or QQQ If u like rollercoasters)
10% in alternatives (could be crypto, NFT, etc)
Have a system, stick to it, don’t deviate from the plan and focus on what you’re competitively advantaged in.
Generally. It’s not going to be financial markets
Even my forte isn’t financial markets. It takes up like 5% of my time (probably not even). Nothing Herculean needed
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Every incremental person @YouTubeGaming takes increases the value of the remaining big twitch streamers. The pillars of twitch.
The negotiating leverage @REALMizkif , @Sykkuno@xQc@hasanthehun wield just increased, its like a high stakes game of creator musical chairs.
Twitch internally prob has a different perspective. They probably think the platform is where the lion share or value resides, to continue with the musical chairs analogy, the value accrues to the seats rather than the person sitting in it.
Netflix is an analog. Netflix shows
That they can license super popular content (friends, the office, etc), distribute it to their viewers then drop that content when it comes time to negotiate. Reed Hastings at Netflix uses view time as a kpi (quipping that netflix competes with video games and sleep) and it’s
core dump:
We have the accumulated knowledge of humanity literally in a portable device at our fingertips
-A & B (continued)
A.) It use to be that mere access to data gave you a HUGE competitive advantage. Now everyone has access , you need to be able to filter what is important and what is just noise. The biggest barrier is not not having enough information to make a decision, but having so
much that you can’t make sense of it.
B.) And yet some people still end up in my twitch chat angry at my existence and apparently unable to Find something they actually want to watch. Literally all of human knowledge, arts and entertainment in their hands, and
People refer to me as smart or a “ruthless biz woman” but I’ve never felt smart. I just feel like In each given scenario I’m doing the most logical / rational thing. To supplement/ make up for the imposter syndrome feeling I drive myself to work harder and harder. And then
Somewhere In that fog of war something magical happens. Pattern recognition kicks in, and when you think about and around a subject long enough you start to develop a proficiency with it (businessinsider.com/malcolm-gladwe…). You start
To succeed and then you find yourself becoming less resource constrained, then if you successfully solve for your “pain points” and allocate said resources to help you scale / delegate as much as you can you start to compound your advantage. People underestimate how far you
Most people overestimate what they can do in one year and underestimate what they can do in ten years.
I feel like people still don’t get that I’m pursuing an endowment like model for my animal shelter - most orgs fund as they going, which means they have to keep raising money to continue as a going concern
One of my favorite open roaming / non kennel kept dog shelters ran
Into problems during COVID when their traditional form of financing / raising money (through events and fund drives) ran into problems due to restrictions on gatherings. And they had low visibility online presence.
I have a hunch my online popularity is also fleeting so it
0nly Fans… most everyone being loud about this are getting the story wrong, a thread:
A lot of people are hung up about the head fakes and 0F scares of the preceding months and discounting this current reporting. Where there’s smoke there’s a 🔥.
Underneath the surface there
Is an eternal struggle between payment processors and legacy banking on one side, and sexy content and SWers on the other.
Anyone who thinks any potential shift in policy is solely up to only fans volition is dumb or selling you something. No beef with the fanhouse folks but
Their take is in part an attempt at differentiation + to build goodwill since if the initial reporting is true, they just lost a huge point of differentiation.
0F did 1.2 BILLION in free cash flow (in short money net of costs and expenses) the belief they are “pivoting” to
I made a bet 1 years ago that Facebook would soon be a $trillion company despite regulatory troubles, FTC dismissed the suit, and fb crossed 1T same day ….. how you like dem apples @yDonateTwitch
Also when @pokimanelol tweeted about “which stonk to buy” I pitched $FB
In before someone comes in and says “but so and so company did better”
The point was I picked a company I could actually understand that greatly outperformed indexing (+28% over the same period). Facebook was up 85%, and is still arguably “cheap” today (not advice)
Like, yea I’ll take my 61% annualized returns tyvm