Other sub-lineages of delta with the same mutation failed to make an impact. Thus, the success of a variant depends on more than the sum of its mutations.
Clearly, almost like a lottery, some combinations work better than others, while the remainder (vast majority) perish.
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The omicron variant has three mutations at the furin cleavage site, H655Y, N679K and P681H (not P681R). Thanks @firefoxx66 (for👇)
P681H sits 5 residues upstream of the FCS, was seen in variants circulating in the UK, (alpha), US as well as Nigeria.
About syncytium formation. For those new to cell biology, when several cells combine (fuse) together e.g. after a viral infection, it is called a syncytium. It has many nuclei (a typical cell only has one). Our heart muscle is naturally a syncytium. See whole thread for context.
🔹Neutralising antibody levels correlate with protection from infection in the nose and throat, while T cell Immunity guards against organ damage and severe disease.
Will explain below 👇
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🌳 Imagine the spike protein to be a mango tree. Antibodies target the fruit, while T cells target large branches. Mutations are like mangoes that change their appearance. Hence, a few antibodies can get ‘fooled’.
But the branches are unchanged; hence T cells work as usual.
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Updates from this week’s Tuesday COVID-19 meeting that I have been chairing since the onset of the pandemic.
This week we audited 105 deaths, and found something significant:
🔹Unvaccinated individuals were 17.6 times more likely to die, compared to vaccinated.
More updates👇
In a Kerala village of 15,000 (adult) population, only 38 were unwilling to take vaccine.
🔹This translates to a vaccination acceptance of 99.8%
Note: we don’t have mandates here.
The few remaining unvaccinated were recently or currently infected (90 day gap advised)
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Tuesday COVID-19 meeting update #3
Although “overall CFR (case fatality rate) is low”, doctors pointed out that this is a misleading statement, underestimating the destructive power of the virus. It is like saying “everyone in India is 28 years old”
Mutations are more likely to occur when the virus gets a chance to LIVE FOR A LONG TIME (a few months, as opposed to 10-14 days in most healthy people) in an individual patient, e.g. immunosuppressed.
The reason is that 1-2 weeks might not be enough for virus to STUDY our immune system, MUTATE, and THEN select the best candidates from all the mutants produced.
Therefore, it is far more likely to occur after prolonged SARS-CoV2 virus infections.
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Besides, these patients could easily get infected at hospitals from other patients who could be harbouring chronic infection by the virus which has already added a few mutations.
Plasma therapy (essentially an antibody buffet) helped addition of mutations in such patients.
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1. The original efficacy study on Covaxin was a randomised controlled trial involving over 25,798 people.
This showed 77.8% efficacy against symptomatic disease, 93.4% against severe disease, 63.6% for asymptomatic and 65.2% at delta variant. Had tweeted in detail earlier.
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A randomised study starts with 2 groups of people. One gets vaccine, the other gets placebo. They are observed “prospectively” that is looking forward-during a study period. Disease outcomes are measured & compared between the groups. The % difference is reported as efficacy.
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From our weekly COVID-19 meetings that had been going on ever since the pandemic started, we issued several advisories to policy makers, media, doctors and the general public.
From this week:
🚩Ignoring early symptoms (e.g. fever) can lead to severe outcomes.
Thread 👇
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COVID-19 has established treatments available such as
1. dexamethasone (saved more lives than all other drugs in COVID-19; but ONLY when used in the right patient, at the right time, in the right dose)
and
2. monoclonal antibodies (only for select indications)
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If the diagnosis is delayed, these medications cannot be given, we call it “the window of therapeutic opportunity”
Which means the drugs don’t produce the desired effect once that window has passed
Which means our delay is allowing preventable complications to set in
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