In @NewStatesman "To secure a majority of just one, Keir Starmer’s party needs to win 125 additional seats – an almost impossible task given its collapse in Scotland and the way its vote is concentrated in cities and university towns. Analysis suggests it would fall short
even if it secured the 43.6 per cent share of the vote that the Tories won at the 2019 general election, and it is nowhere near that level of support."
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Hello @SteveBakerHW@DavidDavisMP
I am told you are "libertarians". Care to comment about this unbelievable bill in a supposed democracy?
This is tantamount to a ban on peaceful protests. It is draconian & tyrannical ( to use a word you are fond of).
-ban protesters from attaching themselves to another person (linking arms), to an object (holding on when dragged), or to land.Punished by 51 weeks’ imprisonment.
-ban any obstruction in any way of major transport works from being carried out. Maximum sentence of 51 weeks.
So a man lying in front of a bulldozer as Johnson said he would at Heathrow. Residents in England protesting against HS2. Jail sentence
The chorus for a dose of realism from Labour leadership is getting louder. Another voice in support of collaboration with other parties, this time the voice of @rafaelbehr
A🧵 & a 🙏
"A majority of one would require more than 120 gains & no losses. Nothing about the lay of the political land suggests it is poised to slide on that scale which makes the more feasible route to No10 look like collaboration with other parties."
"The obstacle is not so much a fetish for the existing voting system as emotional attachment to the idea that Labour and Conservative are equal contenders in a title race, while everyone else is scrapping in lower divisions."
Excellent article. One fact stands out: "This is not mentioned by the British popular media or the Government but the number of migrants reaching Britain — mostly from France — is not increasing. The opposite is true. 1/4 unherd.com/2021/11/the-ca…
There were 80,000 in 2002. That fell to 18,000 in 2010. There were 29,000 in 2020, after the boat traffic began.
Mainly due to the French efforts.
"France has, in effect, been protecting Britain from even a small amount of migration at Britain’s request. If Paris now chose to end that policy - to repudiate the Treaty of Le Touquet as many French politicians are demanding -
Punchy article packed with truths.
"Darmanin said cross-Channel migration was “first and foremost an English issue” and Britain must “accept its responsibilities”.
"Today, people who want to seek asylum in England have no other means than to cross the Channel. This is because there is no legal way for immigrants to go to Great Britain"
"He added that France accepted 150,000 asylum applications a year, compared with 30,000 in the UK."
The French Inferior Minisyer: "Relations are fine with ministers … but unfortunately as soon as there’s a camera or they’re in parliament we seem to hear them say something very different,”
"France is not a subsidiary of the UK, we are a free and equal country with Great Britain and we want to be treated as such, treated as allies not vassals and not be hostages to British domestic politics.”
Darmanin confirmed the UK had paid France €17m of the €67m (£57m) agreed in July to police its northern coast, but added: “Sometimes I read in the British press that you pay us to intervene, but this costs us €250m a year. Of course €67m helps, but it cost us a lot more.”
BREAKING: Finally HARD DATA: this in-depth MRP analysis by @BestForBritain of 12,816 people conclusively demonstrates the immense benefit of a #ProgressiveAlliance
Wiyh cooperation between @UKLabour,@Libdems & @TheGreenParty agreeing to field ONE unity candidate in each of only 154 English battleground seats, the Conservatives would end up with just 254 English MPs, seven fewer than Labour, which would have 261 English MP.
The Liberal Democrats would win 16 English seats and the Green party one.If the opposition parties were to field single unity candidates, the MRP-polling exercise found, the Tories would be left 40 seats short of a majority even if they succeeded in holding on to their 20