One of the most common questions I get is "I feel like they're coming for my stops".
Sounds like a conspiracy theory, but fun fact, it's not.
The market is DESIGNED to stop people out. You will always struggle with entries, exits and risk management until u understand this.
That's why everything can look good in hindsight & on ur backtested charts, but when shit gets real & the cameras start rolling, it quickly becomes a different ball game. Just b/c it looks perfect on ur stats & saved charts, doesn't mean it will always be perfect in real time
U can think "ok, i've seen this happen over & over again. I practiced. I studied. I'm ready", then soon as u get on the field and put ur football 🏈helmet on, u realize the field just switched to a fucking skating rink. The market says " u're playing hockey now, motherf*cker"
why? The market is not out for YOU specifically. It is simply out for liquidity.
ur setup will only work as long as there is no significant liquidity on the opposite of YOUR trade. If everyone is LONG, then ALL of ur cunty stops will also be concentrated in the same area.
if everyone is short around the same area, then all of ur stops (even mental) will tend to be around the same area. u call them stops, marketmakers & big funds call them liquidity. And they'll sniff those orders out like blood in the water🦈. It's nothing personal, just business.
Instead of complaining, USE this to your advantage. that's why my best setups are always "failed setups". The best moves happen when everyone thinks the same thing, expect the same thing, load up long (or short), and get creampied as the stock goes the complete opposite direction
That's why my best long setup (#youGonLearnToday) is simply a failed breakdown
Thats why my best short setup (2-3pm #bloodBath) is simply a failed breakout
Saying that placing stop losses is pointless because there is a chance they might get ran is like saying wearing a condom with the college slut is pointless because there is a chance that it might pop anyway.
Until gonorrhea hits u with the "you gon learn today".
Also dont think "FiNe iLL jUst uSe a MeNtAl StoP tHeN".
Market makers are not dumb. they dont need to SEE ur stop to know it's there. Based on volume, order flow & stats they can estimate where most ppl's pain thresholds are. So NO ONE is safe from this, hard stop or mental stop
The point of that thread was not "dont use stops". it's "use stop hunting as an EDGE in ur own trading". If u cant beat em, join em. As far as ur own stops go, some day they'll hold, some day they'll get ran too. who tf cares? losses are part of the game. manage em, dont avoid em
4) was my size calculated BEFORE the trade, in accordance with my risk management system? or did I randomly estimate what size to use?
5) did I have a systematic ENTRY or did I get in at some random ass area due to FOMO?
Do this for EVERY trade u took that day. Then overtime,
you'll see where most of your losses or stubborn trades come from. Is it #1? #3 ? #5? which of those 5 points leads to 80% of your losses (Pareto Principle) ? is it entries? exits? size? trade selection? it's different for everyone since we're all stubborn in different ways.
1) Even tho i was profitable before that, I would say about 2 yrs.. mainly bc even during my "profitable" streaks i would still have the occasional full retard days that would wipe out months of gains. so i knew how to make 💵, but discipline wasnt there until 2yrs later.
2) depends. if u're talking lowfloats then of course, i NEVER ever short a lowfloat stock without digging into its filings & fundamentals first. Too much edge there not to, plus it saves me from getting trapped on "agenda plays" like freedom price setups or planned offerings etc
now if u're talking LCs or options then i do almost zero fundamental research b/c it's useless short term. most of the fundy info for LCs is already factored into price unlike lowfloats where a stock can have a fat ATM or dilution yet idiot chasers will still be clueless about it
The more I answer questions the more I realize how full of shit this industry is. the amount of scammers & "gurus" out there who lure beginners in w/ unstainable strategies that offer short term satisfaction but long term failure is astounding. They lure u in with shit like this
Meanwhile the reality is THIS.
and u guys are EATING this shit up like it's fucking cheesecake.
STOP falling for this BS.
Most of my time spent on DMs is literally me helping ppl UNLEARN the shitty habits they built up listening to fuck ass scammy gurus that blow up themselves but then refund with YOUR money
@_spikeet revolutionized the game for u mofos. check em out. and no im not paid to promote em. if anything im lowkey jealous that u guys can now access data in seconds, that used to take me MONTHS of all-nighters to collect & track MANUALLY. To put it in perspective:
@_spikeet My spreadsheets had 10-30+ columns per ticker (row) depending on what I was tracking.
then 100s to 1000s of rows , and each ticker took me 8 to 20 minutes to manually fill across, so about 10min per row.
Do the math.
Sometimes my friends would stay up all night with me to help
@_spikeet but that didnt last long b/c they got bored/burned out super quick lol Then at one point I tried to get my GF to help (especially with when I was creating the lowfloat Volume Forecast). But after 2 days she quit too lol. And i dont blame her, it was tedious & boring as FUCK.
That's precisely why I say that I never use basic S/R levels as areas to risk off. Read all my smart vs dumb money threads. big players are liquidity hunters. All they care about is getting easy fills (from retail's market orders), & stop losses are LITERALLY liquidity gold mines
and where to most ppl place their stops? around basic ass support/resistance levels & round numbers. That's why basic S/R levels actually fail WAY more than they hold. Ppl just have confirmation bias & only focus on the few times that they work, then say "sEe? iT rEjEcTeD hErE"
but for each time a S/R level worked, I can show u 39 other examples where it didnt. S/R is not enough UNLESS it overlaps with several other supply/demand indicators ( MAs, bagholder areas like volume profile or #vwapBoulevard , open interest clusters, mean reversion zones etc