I'm a bit stunned at this. @PhilipNolan_MU has completely failed to understand the basics of how the virus spreads. It's December 2021, 20 months into the pandemic. As @johnwenger9 says it defies the laws of physics. I'd also argue it defies basic intuition.
I think I can fairly infer from Nolan's comments that he's *still* relying on a dated understanding of heavier aerosols ("droplets") vs less heavy aerosols. It's this wrong understanding that led to an incorrect focus on screens and 2m distance at the start of the pandemic.
Th science on this moved on last year. The droplets distinction itself was based on bad science.
If this has been addressed last year we'd all have been a lot safer. Instead we have an unwillingness to accept new science and evidence. Personally I can't see how Mr Nolan can continue his position at NPHET.
Our health leaders need to understand one very basic concept: how does SARS-CoV-2 spread? If they can't understand that *very basic concept*, the measures they recommend to Government to mitigate spread will inevitably be wrong ones.
Can I *again* ask my colleagues in the media: ask NPHET how the virus spreads. We need an answer. Who believes the old droplet/fomite focussed way? Does NPHET believe the virus is airborne, or not? Because *all* mitigation strategies (schools/pubs etc) flow from their answer.
Apologies for the typos but I'm apoplectic. Tweeting about this now since summer 2020. It's exhausting that we're still stuck here.
I made my concerns clear in this thread from 13 months ago. My suspicions were correct. NPHET had not and has not internalised the aerosolised nature of the virus.
and at the height of the soaring number of cases and deaths in January I (somewhat jokingly) riffed on what I would do if I was Taoiseach. Some were implemented, some not. I still stand by them today:

This was January and *pre Delta* - which makes the measure all the more urgent!. It's now *December*. And only now are we getting around to more substantial chats about filters and higher grade masks. So much wasted time. And the reason?: NPHET does not seem to accept the science
And perhaps a follow up question for NPHET from the media: does NPHET stand over this completely wrong dangerous and unscientific guidance from the HSE?

If the answer is they do. The question is "why".
If the answer is, they don't. Then the question is "why was it put out?"
And here's an illustration from the BMJ (h/t @NoonanJoe) on where focus should be on mitigation of spread - the air. Aerosols and small droplets are predominant ways the virus spreads. NPHET focusses measures on large droplets and surface transmission. They have it *arse ways*.
TL;DR: NPHET are giving bad advice to government based on a misunderstanding of how the virus spreads, itself based on outdated and bad science. And here's me right now:
And, again, for some background on the droplet v aerosol debate and the science, read this wired.com/story/the-teen…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Gavin Sheridan

Gavin Sheridan Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @gavinsblog

30 Nov
The "Expert Group" is flat wrong on air filters. And has been all pandemic. It's laughable at this stage - if it weren't so bloody serious.
I can almost guarantee that AMRIC are still focussed on droplets/fomite transmission, and have yet to accept the science - which became clear *last year* - that the virus spreads in the air. Worth going back to this good summary from May. wired.com/story/the-teen…
And here's an early look at "droplets" v aerosols from *March 2020*. Our health authorities apparently have not been following the science. It's bananas. wired.com/story/they-say…
Read 4 tweets
26 May
While Cummings is on it's worth looking briefly at how perplexed people were in March last year while all this was going on.

Here's some:
Read 12 tweets
21 Apr
Ok here's my calculation of delivered to administered doses to Week 15 (ie to Friday, April 16)

PB: Delivered 1,009,710; Administered 892,535
AZ: Delivered 355,200; Administered 243,846
M: Delivered 109,200; Administered 51,973
JJ: Delivered 14,400; Administered 0

Which means *stock on hand* going into Saturday April 17 of:

PB: 117,175
AZ: 111,354
M: 57,227
JJ: 14,400
In the data we have available Sat -> Mon we can subtract and say current stock is:

PB: 90,021
AZ: 108,692
M: 55,910
JJ: 14,400

I assume the 108k on hand AZ are for giving to 65-69 year olds this week. Moderna has a 50% buffer.
Read 9 tweets
21 Apr
Well. This looks interesting. *sips tea*.
Hmmm "not sought" but "received"
The words "directly" and "sought" are doing serious heavy lifting here.
Read 10 tweets
19 Apr
So the High Court will deliver judgments in not one, not two, but three @RightToKnowIE cases this week. 👀
Judgments by Simons, Barr and Barrett respectively, all focussed in different ways on the AIE Directive/Regulations
Update: In Right To Know CLG v OCEI (and RTÉ) Judge Max Barrett has found (comprehensively) in our favour. The OCEI must do decision again in light of the judgment.
Read 6 tweets
31 Dec 20
Wild Mountain Thyme time.
Oh my word.
Should I live tweet this shit?
Read 77 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(