Don't celebrate the "10% swing to Labour" in Bexley/Sidcup. In 2019 under Corbyn Labour scored 14,000 votes there; last night, with a corrupt, racist, incompetent Govt, we scored <7,000 - while the UKIP vote returned for Tice... 1/
2/ Around half the normally loyal Tory vote stayed at home - but in a by-election that's easier to do than in a general election where the stakes are existential ...
3/ Bexley/Sidcup shows why Labour has to win the North and Midlands... large parts of suburban southern England are genealogically addicted to racist Toryism and will never "swing"
4/ I don't doubt Labour mounted a good campaign in OB&S... and the Libdems seem to have demobilised - but that makes the result more telling: Labour under Starmer is nowhere near creating the buzz and momentum needed to form a transformational majority
5/ ... so yep the "vote share was up"... the point is to understand where the route to government lies and it's through mobilising working class votes around transformational politics. Core Tory voters will accept any level of corruption/malfeasance.
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