A few takeaways from this booster study from India’s perspective (we use adenovirus vector [AstraZeneca, Sputnik V] & inactivated vaccine)

They compared 2 groups of people: double vaccinated Pfizer and double vaccinated AstraZeneca.

A big menu of 3rd dose vaccines was used.

1/
The 3rd dose used were AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Moderna, Valneva (French inactivated vaccine), J&J, CureVac (mRNA), NovaVax (subunit, Spike protein).

They measured antibody level & T cell response after this dose, and compared between various combinations. See paper for graphs.

2/
The first thing we must remember is that antibody level is not an exact correlate of how much protection is achieved.

In other words, if “double” the antibody level is produced by a particular vaccine, it does not mean that symptomatic infection rate will be “cut in half”.

3/
However, it is known that a very high level of overall antibody correlates with a lower chance of picking up an infection.

The exact level for an INDIVIDUAL person to “be protected” has never been defined because of tremendous variation between individual immune responses.

4/
The distinction is less clear for T immunity.

It is known that both mRNA and adenovirus vaccines elicit T cell immunity which is long-lasting, manifest as consistent protection against severe disease and hospitalisation. This has not declined.

5/
T cells are elicited by day 10 of the first dose. Many of the earlier fighters belonging to the CD4 (T helper) and CD8 (T cytotoxic) genre remain in the tissues (e.g. lungs) and elsewhere as memory cells, vigilant against any future attack by the same pathogen.

6/
It is unclear how to quantify the T cell response; evidence of their protection against severe disease is largely circumstantial.

Remember that lab studies are done on peripheral circulating lymphocytes- which need not necessarily represent what is happening in the tissues.

7/
Thus, it will be impossible to quantify the body’s T cell response after a vaccine dose. It is believed that T cell immunity is achieved early during the course of vaccination.

The epitopes these T cells recognise are numerous; many are impossible for the virus to alter.

8/
This property of T cell immunity is the reason why it is said that current vaccines are able to protect long term against severe disease caused even by variants.

Even if mutations occur, the majority of T cell epitotes are not altered.

8/
With that introduction, some of the interesting findings of this paper can be summarised as:

1. For those who received 2 doses of Astrazeneca, taking a 3rd dose AZ generated only a slight increase in antibodies (GMT ratio 1.8), while there was no increase in T cell response.

9/
2. For those who took two doses of Astrazeneca, using an inactivated virus vaccine as a third dose produced the smallest rise in antibody level among all the vaccines used. See below. There was no cellular immunity response.

10/
3. mRNA vaccine generated the highest antibody levels when used as 3rd dose, among 2-dose AstraZeneca recipients.

The GMT ratio was ~15 (Pfizer) & 30 (Moderna) (compared to 3, 3.6 for AstraZeneca & 2.1, 2.3 for Inactivated VLA used as 3rd dose)

A higher ratio = more Ab’s.

11/
4. Notably, neither AstraZeneca nor inactivated vaccine (Valneva) generated significant cellular immune response when used as 3rd dose in people who had received either AstraZeneca or Pfizer as their primary course.

12/
In summary, this paper looks as how the measurable parts of our immune response respond to a 3rd dose of a menu of assorted vaccines, among those who received either AstraZeneca or Pfizer as primary 2 dose course.

This study is not a measure of 3rd dose effectiveness.

13/
This study adds to our knowledge about 3rd dose.

However the real test of effectiveness will be a long term follow up of similar groups of people who received different vaccine combinations, comparing how many of them (%) got severe disease over a period of time.

14/
Observational studies are prone to multiple confounding factors which can lead to erroneous conclusions. These factors maybe overt or hidden, but can influence the conclusions.

Besides, several unvaccinated individuals would have picked up immunity from natural infection.

15/
Thus, comparing groups will not be a measure of vaccine effectiveness anymore, as there is no “100% unvaccinated control group” anymore, now that 2 years have passed.

We will, instead, be comparing people with varying combinations of infection, vaccination & boosters.

16/
Link to full paper. See 👆thread for summaries.

17/17

thelancet.com/journals/lance…
@threadreaderapp please unroll

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Rajeev Jayadevan

Rajeev Jayadevan Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @RajeevJayadevan

5 Dec
🔹Longer 4 month interval between doses generated stronger immune response (mRNA, humoral) than 1 month (16 vs. 4 weeks)

This ~explains the quick waning in nations that used short gap

🔹1 dose might be enough for those who had prior infection (2nd dose did not add much)

1/ Image
The study strengthens the original concepts that:

1. Single dose might suffice for those with prior infection

2. Vaccination for COVID-19 is basically a 2-step process, with a 3rd encounter not adding anything substantial. (The “booster dose” might have served as 2nd dose)

2/
In other words, the first 2 doses of mRNA vaccine, taken “too close together” (3-4 weeks), might have been interpreted by the body as a SINGLE dose.

That will explain why the 3rd mRNA dose generated substantial rise in antibody level afterwards, during the booster campaign.

3/
Read 9 tweets
4 Dec
Proof that vaccination is not losing its ability to prevent severe disease

I am adding my analysis of hospitalisation trends from two time periods 6 months apart as reported by this paper from Lancet

Risk of hospitalisation is unchanged in 6 months

1/

thelancet.com/journals/lanmi… ImageImage
Unfortunately, superficial reading & blindly following the narrative of published articles leads the reader to arrive at wrong assumptions.

One MUST take the time & look at the data presented, independently, using basic tools. I have added my notes for those interested.

2/
❗️The hospitalisation trends at any time must be interpreted in the context of the prevailing vaccination rates. I have used vaccination rates at the beginning of each time period.

It is only basic math, and my notes are self explanatory.

3/
Read 9 tweets
4 Dec
13 out of 120 people who attended an indoor Christmas party at a restaurant test +ve for Omicron in Norway so far.

Crowded indoor festivities are a prefect setting for the virus to spread, whether it is delta or other.

Such events have been occurring👇

reuters.com/world/europe/o…
Recipe for a super spreader event.

The fact that people are vaccinated will not make much difference when there is a massive viral load in the air as people talk, sing & spend a long time together in a closed space.

(Mucosal immunity doesn’t last long after vaccination)

2/ Image
Similar story from Germany recently. Dr Christian Drosten retweeted this story.

Just to show that “3G” will not work against the SARS-CoV-2 virus. See thread for details.

3/
Read 6 tweets
3 Dec
Early indications that certain monoclonal antibodies in current use might still be effective against omicron.

This lab study using pseudotyped viruses bearing some of the key mutations of omicron showed the effect wasn’t blunted.

Thread👇

1/6

biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
The obvious theoretical question that comes with Omicron is that the extraordinary number of mutations in certain key areas could potentially alter the target of these antibodies to a point where the “missiles miss their target”.

2/
Particularly because these mutations occur in a part of the spike protein that binds to the ACE-2 receptor, called the RBD.

However, there are several parts of the spike protein that remain unchanged, which means that the ENTIRE TARGET cannot be changed by the virus.

3/6
Read 6 tweets
2 Dec
Evidence that T cell immunity generated by vaccine is not fooled by mutations or variants

Study from India shows CD4 & CD8 T cell response was conserved for delta & for the older version of the virus.

This is because there are UNCHANGEABLE parts of the spike protein.

1/16
For those new to immunology, broadly speaking:

🔹Neutralising antibody levels correlate with protection from infection in the nose and throat, while T cell Immunity guards against organ damage and severe disease.

Will explain below 👇

2/
🌳 Imagine the spike protein to be a mango tree. Antibodies target the fruit, while T cells target large branches. Mutations are like mangoes that change their appearance. Hence, a few antibodies can get ‘fooled’.

But the branches are unchanged; hence T cells work as usual.

3/
Read 19 tweets
1 Dec
Updates from this week’s Tuesday COVID-19 meeting that I have been chairing since the onset of the pandemic.

This week we audited 105 deaths, and found something significant:

🔹Unvaccinated individuals were 17.6 times more likely to die, compared to vaccinated.

More updates👇
In a Kerala village of 15,000 (adult) population, only 38 were unwilling to take vaccine.

🔹This translates to a vaccination acceptance of 99.8%

Note: we don’t have mandates here.

The few remaining unvaccinated were recently or currently infected (90 day gap advised)

2/2
Tuesday COVID-19 meeting update #3

Although “overall CFR (case fatality rate) is low”, doctors pointed out that this is a misleading statement, underestimating the destructive power of the virus. It is like saying “everyone in India is 28 years old”

CFR is high @ older age

1/3
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(