Thread by @nntaleb

A single graph explains the effect of vaccines on mortality. The rest is statistical trickery.

[Unless past infected off by >1 order of magnitude.]

"Dan from Prague" @maircomm arguing w/Jordan Peterson who has the scientific rigor of a drunk astrologist.

https://twitter.com/maircomm/status/1467205798354952197

2) This does not count the infections that were *avoided* by vaccines (conservatively estimated > 50%).

PS- I blocked Peterson 2 y ago when he invited me to do a podcast & didn't know much abt him. Went to his feed, listened to a podcast, was horrified, and blocked.

Fine print: (Clearly there is a possibility that the virus became suddenly 10x less deadly or that the old miraculously ceased to be infected in favor of the young or that the agencies are paid by Pharma to lie and other ad hoc arguments)

Fine print: (Clearly there is a possibility that the virus became suddenly 10x less deadly or that the old miraculously ceased to be infected in favor of the young or that the agencies are paid by Pharma to lie and other ad hoc arguments)

3) This is a (nearly) contemporaneous U.S. data [mostly Delta variant]. Unless there is a mysterious Specter-like group [007] manipulating the data or some vast conspiracy, vaccines substantially reduce the rate of infection.
There are >> infections, consider the counterfactual.

4) Compare the UK [1 in thread] to Russia [less vaccinated]. Pace some adhocnitpicker that one needs to control for Vodka & readership of Dostoevski.

https://twitter.com/meoyawn/status/1467444058666815488?s=20