UK’s progress on Covid now squandered :Sir Jeremy Farrar
“The longer this virus continues to spread in largely unvaccinated populations globally, the more likely it is that a variant that can overcome our vaccines and treatments will emerge,” he writes. theguardian.com/world/2021/dec…
“If that happens, we could be close to square one.
“This political drift and lack of leadership is prolonging the pandemic for everyone, with governments unwilling to really address inequitable access to the vaccines, tests and treatment”
He said that the urgent action needed had not changed – “wearing masks indoors, increasing testing, social distancing, isolating if positive (with support to do so) and vaccination will all help to drive down transmission and protect against illness.”
Caroline Abrahams, charity director at Age UK, said the programme was “frankly in a mess”. She said: “It’s way behind where it should be, and to hear this week that as many as one in five care home residents have not yet had their boosters was nothing short of alarming.”
“What has really surprised me has been the rapidity of the increase in numbers of cases being reported from South Africa,” said Prof François Balloux of University College London. “Cases are doubling at a rate I have never seen before. It is very worrying.”
Early estimates have suggested this rise is being driven by the fact that the Omicron variant can infect between three and six times as many people as Delta, over the same time period.
Even WERE this variant milder (highly contradictory evidence in that regard) higher transmissibility & immune evasion is the greater risk
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PROF Rudo Mathivha. Frontline ICU Physician in 🇿🇦 . One hospital in Tshwane. Admitting 5-10 children under 12 at a time
The children are coming in with moderate to severe disease. Coming in needing supportive oxygen & therapy.
Not like earlier waves
“Yesterday we lost a 15yr old healthy child. No underlying condition. Nothing we could do stopped the rapid deterioration.”
17 yr old intubated
Hospitals are not designed for a multitude of v sick children
Must take measures to prevent transmission in children too.
She also says they have large numbers of young adults, largely unvaccinated and appeals to them to get vaccinated to help break the chains of transmission.
Currently most affecting the young, so, not surprisingly less severe outcomes at.
Tshwane
- 80% of admissions = people< 50 (this is also the case across Gauteng province)
- 19% = children aged 0-9
- 28% = 30-39 years
Hard to put a lot of weight on vaccination status without bigger numbers given the age groups most affected are also least vaccinated. Is this BECAUSE they are not vaccinated or because they represent the majority of the pop in these age groups.
Time will tell esp as older (& more vaccinated) ages more affected
1. Most #COVID19 patients didn't know they had COVID when they got admitted (admitted for another condition) 2. A smaller % of patients required oxygen than in previous waves
It’s that last sentence from @BBCRosAtkins that says it
Also @BBCRosAtkins ,however uncomfortable it might be, the @metpoliceuk were the security detail outside & inside Number 10…& at a time when the same @metpoliceuk were issuing fines to far poorer people.
Did she show the same outrage at her colleague Alex Chalk who was notified he was a known close contact of a test positive person on a Friday..and travelled from London to Cheltenham (over 2hrs..rush hour) on the same day…before getting a positive result to his swab?
The good news is the early data on vaccination is promising and they have not been boosting.
However. It should be borne in mind that a high proportion of people have not been vaccinated in SA particularly in younger age groups…so more unvaccinated would be expected anyway.
Only time will tell how well, as cases move up through the age groups, how well they will offset risk.