TASS reports that EU members have approved the introduction of sanctions against Wagner Group entities. The EU Council will then have to approve this decision on the 13th.

Thread on what we know and who the targets are.

1/x
tass.ru/mezhdunarodnay…
This is in line with statements by @RFERL 's Europe Editor



2/x
RFE/RL's Ukraine service reported yesterday that this included
- Stanislav Dychko
- Dmitry Utkin
- Valeriy Zakharov

As well as entities listed under the Syria program

3/x

radiosvoboda.org/a/news-sanktsi…
Those entities include Andrei Troshev and Andrei Bogatov, and the Russian companies Mercury, Velada and Europolis — all three of which are involved in resource extraction in Syria and associated with Yevgeniy Prigozhin

4/x

rferl.org/a/russia-param…
If they are listing Mercury and Velada, they should also look at Kapital LLC, which is linked to their structures. I spoke with @ak_mack at @ForeignPolicy on this in May

5/x

foreignpolicy.com/2021/05/17/put…
The companies in Syria make sense, as they do appear to be part of the larger network of entities linked to Prigozhin and Wagner. This also appears to be the most commercially successful part of these networks.

6/x

themoscowtimes.com/2020/01/20/rus…
The individuals are interesting choices.

Dmitry Utkin is the most notorious — he is the mysterious Wagner "namesake" who has been the subject of much conjecture.

7/x

I've suspected he is more important symbolically, but @nicksturdee and Denis Korotkov have both reported details that make a good case he may be important operationally.

newlinesmag.com/reportage/the-…

8/x
Stanislav Dychko was one of the Russian combatants who was featured in the video of the torture and execution of Hamdi Bouta in Syria. Curious if others will be designated for their involvement.

9/

novayagazeta.ru/articles/2019/…
Valeriy Zakharov was Russia's man in the Central African Republic for a long while. There's a lot to be said about the supposed former GRU officer, but he certainly has played an important role in this network in the CAR historically.

10/

thedailybeast.com/putins-man-in-…
The Officers Union (COSI) that claims to represent Russian instructors in the CAR posted a video of people chanting "ROSSIYA" with a caption bemoaning Europe's attacks on Russian citizens working in Africa.

11/
Andrei Bogatov might be the detachment commander named by Marat Gabidullin, a former Wagner fighter, in his interview with Meduza

12/

And Andrei Troshev might be one of the people who appeared at the Kremlin event alongside Utkin in 2016

13/

rferl.org/a/russia-param…
These are worth scrutinizing because the Wagner Group is so hard to target for financial restrictions. Meaningful measures require targeting a diffuse network of legal entities that are variously used for finance and logistics.

14/
It is also likely to involve the designation of key individuals for the purposes of messaging. These designations do both, to varying degrees.

15/
We have a mixture here of people who are at the commanding heights of this network, all the way down to folks with no meaningful command and control but who took part in atrocities.

16/
I'll be very interested to see if there are other entities included in this round, or if the EU continues seeking to designate Wagner-related entities. These networks are agile, and a one-off round of designations will not be sufficient to alter behavior.

/fin

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More from @Jack_Mrgln

7 Dec
Killer investigation from @ZackKopplin into the Barzanis US property holdings dropped today. Some key insights into how corporate secrecy and property ownership works in the US, benefiting kleptocrats and the super wealthy

prospect.org/power/cowboy-d…
The Barzanis have been lucky in most large leaks - they haven’t appeared in the Panama Papers and the Pandora Papers. They do appear in @C4ADS Sandcastles database of Dubai properties, and as Zack shows, hidden deep in US records as well.
For more on the Barzani family in the UAE, check out Zack’s thread:
Read 7 tweets
5 Dec
On Friday, a trailer dropped for the newest Prigozhin movie, and the sequel to Tourist: “GRANITE,” an action movie about Russian “specialists” Mozambique Image
Mozambique is an odd choice for setting their sequel to a movie about the Central African Republic because by all accounts, Wagner had a terrible time there

themoscowtimes.com/2019/11/19/in-…
A lot of the same faces in this movie as in Tourist, and it looks like fundamentally the same set up. Seems considerably more racist in its portrayal of Africans.
Read 9 tweets
3 Dec
Great overview of Russian activity including Wagner in the Central African Republic and what it means for peace from @PaulineBax1

It’s clear based on these recommendations just how great the challenges are. Some thoughts:
It’s difficult to imagine how France, EU, US can interface reliably w the Russian parties for a few reasons. Not the least of which is the fact that Russian PMCs have reportedly made use of EU-trained forces and MINUSCA assets…
All while very aggressively undermining any engagement by the Eu, France, MINUSCA etc through public statements and disinformation.

Honestly, I think the bigger challenge to any kind of interfacing with Russian elements in Bangui is knowing who’s in charge.
Read 12 tweets
4 Nov
Amazing new Conflict Armament Research @conflictarm report on Russian weapons in the Donbas makes use of @C4ADS' Seamless Horizons data environment to find out how European components ended up in Russian UAVs in the Donbas

1/x

conflictarm.com/reports/weapon…
@conflictarm analyzed a UAV that was downed by Ukrainian forces in 2017 near Mariupol. It is similar to an Orlan-10, but not identical.

Interestingly, it was manufactured from Western European components — both authentic and counterfeit. But how did they end up in this UAV?

3/
@conflictarm contacted the manufacturer of the engine, Weinhold GmbH.

"[Weinhold GmbH] indicated that it had sent the part
to World Logistic Group, a company based in
the Czech Republic, in October 2013."

3/
Read 9 tweets
3 Nov
NEW from @CandaceRondeaux, @oimho and me: The Abu Dhabi Express — Analyzing the Wagner Group’s Libya Logistics Pipeline & Operations

Illuminating one of the strangest chapters of one of the most complex modern conflicts w flight data, imagery + more

newamerica.org/future-frontli…
Back in 2020, @ak_mack and @JackDetsch spotted a throwaway line in a DOD report that said the UAE might be financing Wagner Group operations in Libya.

foreignpolicy.com/2020/11/30/pen…
And some may remember the images floating around of a UAE Pantsir sporting some unusual norse runes from Spring of 2020
Read 8 tweets
9 Jul
It's been 10 years since South Sudan won its independence. Corruption by the ruling elite and transnational illicit flows have denied the country both peace and prosperity.

THREAD on @C4ADS' work to illuminate the networks behind violence & corruption in South Sudan.
Last year, we launched conflict.id, a project to catalog imagery of weapons and vehicles used by warring parties in South Sudan prior to the UN embargo. It provides a window into the origins of weapons sustaining the conflict, and a baseline for conflict researchers.
This includes everything from analysis of weapons like NORINCO CQ rifles contributed by @CalibreObscura to MRAPs and other armored vehicles used by the SSPDF and non-state armed groups.
Read 8 tweets

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