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3 Nov, 8 tweets, 5 min read
NEW from @CandaceRondeaux, @oimho and me: The Abu Dhabi Express — Analyzing the Wagner Group’s Libya Logistics Pipeline & Operations

Illuminating one of the strangest chapters of one of the most complex modern conflicts w flight data, imagery + more

newamerica.org/future-frontli…
Back in 2020, @ak_mack and @JackDetsch spotted a throwaway line in a DOD report that said the UAE might be financing Wagner Group operations in Libya.

foreignpolicy.com/2020/11/30/pen…
And some may remember the images floating around of a UAE Pantsir sporting some unusual norse runes from Spring of 2020
We tried to make sense of how Russian PMCs might have ended up operating UAE-owned Russian-manufactured AA systems, and what that meant on the ground.
@CandaceRondeaux and @oimho used social media, satellite imagery and @airwars data to put together a picture of Pantsir losses and Wagner fatalities in 2019 and 2020 ImageImage
I looked at high-risk flight activity between UAE and W Egypt/ E Libya in early 2020 using @icarus_flights. This provides an idea of the scale and pace of the airbridge from the UAE to Libya that was documented by the UN earlier this year (And the use of US-made C17s) Image
Researchers like @Gerjon_ have done tremendous work in this area — particularly in documenting flights of UAE C-17s that are not broadcasting coordinates and require evaluation of MLAT and satellite imagery to locate

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More from @Jack_Mrgln

Jack Margolin Profile picture
4 Nov
Amazing new Conflict Armament Research @conflictarm report on Russian weapons in the Donbas makes use of @C4ADS' Seamless Horizons data environment to find out how European components ended up in Russian UAVs in the Donbas

1/x
conflictarm.com/reports/weapon…
@conflictarm analyzed a UAV that was downed by Ukrainian forces in 2017 near Mariupol. It is similar to an Orlan-10, but not identical.

Interestingly, it was manufactured from Western European components — both authentic and counterfeit. But how did they end up in this UAV?

3/
@conflictarm contacted the manufacturer of the engine, Weinhold GmbH.

"[Weinhold GmbH] indicated that it had sent the part
to World Logistic Group, a company based in
the Czech Republic, in October 2013."

3/
Read 9 tweets
Jack Margolin Profile picture
9 Jul
It's been 10 years since South Sudan won its independence. Corruption by the ruling elite and transnational illicit flows have denied the country both peace and prosperity.

THREAD on @C4ADS' work to illuminate the networks behind violence & corruption in South Sudan.
Last year, we launched conflict.id, a project to catalog imagery of weapons and vehicles used by warring parties in South Sudan prior to the UN embargo. It provides a window into the origins of weapons sustaining the conflict, and a baseline for conflict researchers.
This includes everything from analysis of weapons like NORINCO CQ rifles contributed by @CalibreObscura to MRAPs and other armored vehicles used by the SSPDF and non-state armed groups.
Read 8 tweets
Jack Margolin Profile picture
15 Jun
Groundbreaking report from CNN's @clarissaward on human rights abuses by Russian private military contractors in the Central African Republic. Vitally important that this information is now being documented publicly. THREAD.

edition.cnn.com/2021/06/15/afr…
Great contributions to this reporting from @DrSorcs and @TheSentry_Org
CNN interviews indicate that Russian mercenaries have been involved in the indiscriminate killing of civilians, torture, and forced disappearances, corroborating earlier statements by the UN Working Group on Mercenaries news.un.org/en/story/2021/…
Read 9 tweets
Jack Margolin Profile picture
16 Mar
The new UN Panel of Experts report on #Libya is groundbreaking in its use of flight analysis to demonstrate arms embargo violations. I'm really proud of the work our team @C4ADS contributed to support their investigations (including the image here:)
This report also features outstanding work from @Gerjon_ , @YorukIsik , @Oded121351 , @il_kanguru and more.
Our analysis of ADSB flight data with our platform @icarus_flights (viaualized here in #keplergl) illuminates how companies like Cham Wings have provided an air bridge to support Haftar
Read 7 tweets

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