What has changed in #Russia’s electoral and party systems over the year?
Stanislav Andreychuk for @RiddleRussia. Few key thoughts. THREAD 1/7
ridl.io/en/year-2021-i…
Total of 4,876 election campaigns were held in Russia. The most important one was Duma election. What's new here? "New People" - not only getting 5.6% but also getting into 20 regional parliaments.
A year before the elections it had only 1% of public recognition.
2/7
New People had receive a lot of state support: large TV air time, did not face any obstructions. Most of the people in the party are unknowns.
At the same time - Yabloko became a regional party, loosing federal support and getting less than 3%. 3/7
KPRF scored much higher than official results. And for that are facing a considerable pressure from the state.
"as some ‘extremists’ get eliminated, those who previously were considered quite ‘systemic’ become new ‘extremists’" 4/7
This year we've seen new forms of political bans on voting with already 9 million Russians who have been deprived of passive suffrage.
This led to a decline of people willing to run for elections.
We've also had a surge in new ways to limit elections monitoring 5/7
"Russian authorities are using all possible means to exclude citizens from decision-making process and deprive them of sovereignty"
But at the same time, we see "significant increase in Russians’ demand for fundamental political rights and freedoms over the past four years" 6/7
The battle over internet is intensifying. It would be the defining conflict for 2022.
For more details, see - ridl.io/en/year-2021-i… 7/7

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More from @ABarbashin

12 Dec
Was just reminded of this Kasparov quote:
"Russia's war with Ukraine is the final stage of historic confrontation of Kievan Rus and Byzantium/Golden Horde". He is juxtaposing "good" European civilization with a "bad" Asian one. A small thread.
1/5
I find it quite hilarious that Byzantine Empire's tradition is being framed as an Asian one.
Poor Eastern Roman Empire. Oh well.
But main problem with that comparison is that it is often used as a racist one - Ukrainians as white Europeans vs. Russians the Tatars/Ugrians
2/5
A final frontier of Europe vs. Barbarians of the East.
I get why it is attractive for some in Ukraine, especially on the right but it is embarrassing really.
Russia is Europe. And it is acting as a European power...of the 19th century.
3/5
Read 5 tweets
6 Dec
Kortunov of @Russian_Council published a piece arguing that there would be no war between Russia and Ukraine. Let's look at his key thesis. Thread
1. People who argue they know what Putin wants, how he thinks and what exactly his logic is - are wrong.
- I tend to agree but it nevertheless doesn't mean we can't make reasonable assessments and arguments based on past experience, statements and context. Approximation at best
2. If Putin was preparing a real massive attack on Ukraine we would have not known about it. Look at Crimea.
- Well, Crimea was a special operation not a large offensive. So, this case is a bit different in scale.
But I do agree that what see is about signaling first
Read 9 tweets
23 Nov
.@gavinbwilde asked what I think about the US support for Russian civil society and opposition and whether it helps them or not. Indeed, would it not help US-Russia relations if US stopped its efforts to support "democracy building in Russia"? Thread.
First and by most it is crucial to define what Russian state sees as "foreign interference"- foreign support for election monitoring missions, financing of journalist investigations, support for legal work with politically repressed and imprisoned,financing of libraries that 1/11
do lectures on "freedom loving literature", inviting Russians to speak on certain conferences abroad? This list would definitely be long and ever more confusing and absurd since what is considered "interference" is redefined almost daily: moreover it is not universal, 2/11
Read 12 tweets
26 Aug
Interesting Timofeev analysis on why all Russian FP experts are realists (!) (of the ones that want to make it a career). Liberals, neo-marxists do exists but they are marginalized. He gives 4 reasons for the popularity of realism in Russia:
Realism is "real". No one doubts destructive nature of the human being. Only the strong survive, the weak must join the strong. IR is pure anarchy and only balancing with enough power helps.
Realism is simple. Survival, security, domination triumphs all. Economy is secondary for as long as it provides at least "good enough". Ideology is a feature of "information warfare". What the state does is irrelevant as long as it secures national interests.
Read 15 tweets
25 Aug
Russian Constitutional Court (CC) is turning 30 this year. What was it like? Any chance it could play a construction role? Thread.
Out of 13 judges elected in 1991, 3 - Gadis Gadzhiev, Yuri Rudkin and Valery Zorkin are still in the office today.
Over the years it heard over 400k appeals, issued dozens of thousands of rulings as well as 719 decisions regarding the constitutionality of laws and legal acts. CC played a crucial role in 2020 constitutional amendments
As a result CC was granted powers that other higher courts do not enjoy: it can now examine allegations of non-enforcement of Russia’s various international treaties and decisions of international courts
Read 11 tweets
18 Aug
Alexei Chesnakov, a political technologist often associated with Vladislav Surkov gives his rundown on how the Kremlin destroyed Navalny movement. He lists six major narratives against Navalny and his movement
1. Foreign influence
Navalny and his team work in the interests of foreign powers, including foreign intelligences; are linked to "toxic" personalities like @Billbrowder and @McFaul (as defined by the Kremlin); call for sanctions against Russia; are foreign funded
2. Ethics
Have no right to call for protests while remaining outside of the country ("they are cynical"); use donations for personal enrichment;
Read 10 tweets

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