🚨🚨 #Covid19 case fatality rate in South Africa is currently the lowest its been since start of the pandemic

◼️The rate is number of deaths divided by cases 10 days earlier

◼️Early days but this implies current wave less deadly & South Africa has lower vaccination rate than UK
This is one to track but this data at the moment supports the assertion by Dr Angelique Coetzee of the South African Medical Association who says its a mild disease.

I must stress this is early days so lets see how it plays out in the next week.
I think this is probably a better tracker

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More from @statsjamie

14 Dec
Nadine is using data on 154 patients over 5 months.

It is true that 91% of patients requiring Extra Corporeal Membrane Oxygenation for Severe Respiratory Failure were unvaccinated - this was 141 people.

Over the same period, 100,000 patients were admitted to hospital with Covid
I would hardly say quoting this most extreme care is representative of the likely outcome for patients.

She is basing her claims on 0.14% of the population admitted to hospital with Covid and ignoring the other 99.86%.
Over the same period there were 4.2 million Covid cases identified through testing (overall there would have been more but not tested).

So the basis of her claims is on 0.0033% of the cases identified.
Read 4 tweets
14 Dec
🚨🚨 #Covid cases are up 12% week on week across the UK. Testing is also up 12% week on week.

As with last year, there is increased testing around the festive period.

Across the countries case up 38% in Scotland, 12% in England, down 2% in Wales and down 8% in N.Ireland. Image
Testing in the UK is heading towards record levels with on average 1.2 million per day being tested over the past week.

More testing as people have festive parties and gatherings may pick up more cases without symptoms. Image
Within England, cases are only rising among people aged 20 to 49.

For those most vulnerable cases are flat or down. We have even seen a fall week on week among children aged 10 to 14. Image
Read 4 tweets
14 Dec
🚨🚨 @NadineDorries ‘ICU beds/hospital admissions are majority patients unvaccinated’

FACT CHECK

➡️ 40% of admissions are unvaccinated
➡️ 48% in ICU beds unvaccinated

❌❌ Both claims of the Secretary of State are false ❌❌ Image
She has form of repeating this information and I have asked her last week to clarify her source.

She has continued to ignore me.
The UKHSA report published last Friday indicates for the most recent data around 40% of patients admitted to hospital were unvaccinated.

Remember not all admissions are because of Covid, around 1 in 4 are not.

Some may also catch in hospital

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Read 7 tweets
14 Dec
🚨🚨 Channel 4 News - "What about those who haven't had a vaccination at all. With #Covid patients in intensive care now almost all unvaccinated"

FACT CHECK

➡️Latest estimates show 48% in ICU unvaccinated, not almost all ❌

Shocking misrepresentation of the data on @c4news
In the past week, we have already had BBC and ITV main news show outlets broadcasting information not supported by the facts, with Sky News having a contributor talking nonsense on stats in Wales.

Channel 4 gives us a full house across the mainstream media.
My blog talks through the latest data on patients in critical care statsjamie.co.uk/hospital/
Read 8 tweets
14 Dec
🚨🚨 Mirror - "Meanwhile, hospital intensive care units are filling up with Covid sufferers... in some cases 90% – of these patients have not been vaccinated"

FACT CHECK

Latest data shows that in November 48% of patients in ICU unvaccinated. ❌
mirror.co.uk/news/politics/…
My blog talks on the numbers by vaccine status

statsjamie.co.uk/hospital/
Read 6 tweets
13 Dec
🚨🚨 Sajid Javid - “Once all adults have had a reasonable chance to get their booster jab we intend to change this exemption to require a booster dose”

➡️ 2 jabs and don’t get booster your vaccination status redundant

What next? Don’t have 4th dose your booster don’t count?
And data in the USA confirms the boosted catching #Omicron.

UK scientists clearly having a bad pandemic.

reuters.com/world/us/most-…
Pfizer making a pretty penny out of all of this
Read 4 tweets

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