🧵1/ NDIS, some facts to help with the "Blame NDIS" deflect and distract talking points.

I had wanted to do a comprehensive NDIS thread, instead I'll post this as MYEFO is out tomorrow and 'leaks' to News Corp have begun already.
2/
When Labor was developing NDIS it was fully costed. The initial productivity commission work was revalidated by the government actuary (to appease the Liberals). The table below is from the actuaries report showing $22B cost in 18/19.
So costs were known
3/
More than known, the Liberals made a point of saying the big bad number in their parliamentary speeches.

The costs in 18/19 were lower than forecast, but this was because of liberal incompetence making the rollout go slowly AND then used to create the 'back in black' surplus
4/
Labor in their wisdom then legislated to have details quartely reports to ensure issues were identified asap. Bill Shorten passed that law in June 2013.
So everyone knew the costs from the start and knew the progress every quarter since.
5/
To give you an idea of the abundance of information to show progress, here is one year of NDIS reports

The rollout mismanagement (slow to sign ppl up), led to lower NDIS costs than forecast. Shown here is the forecast spend (16.7B) and the actual spend ($12.9B) for 18/19
6/
The chasm is shown across all years here, including an attempt by the Liberals to "Reset" the rollout. They even failed to deliver to their 'Reset' plan. The $4B underspend was key to that imaginary surplus.
7/
Every year the Liberals keep saying NDIS costs to justify more Medicare levy. The Libs couldn't allow the NDIS 2 B seen as successful, so they kept inventing 'Labor bad' stories. Then Turnbull/Morrison had to concede that NDIS was funded (only b/c of their economic skills)
8/
Then Scott started other stories about rellocating for droubt funding etc.
9/
Of course the "Back in Black" budget fantasy was also reliant in the poor rollout speed, leading to a massive underspend.
10/
Another feature which does not get the credit it deserved was the wages harmonisation. Prior to NDIS there were over a hundred wages agreements across the sector nationwide. What became known as the SACS case was the determination needing to be made by the fair work
11/
commissioner to establish a consistent wage across the country for the different people doing NDIS work. Some people say that this was overlooked. It wasn't and the forecast for the increase in wages was legislated into a funding reserve. This 'special fund' was designed
12/
to make wages adjustments over 10 years. This ended last year and the Liberals somehow say it's a surprise. BUT it appears in the budget every year and the balance grew fatter as a result of the slow rollout. That $500M underspend is missing from the economy!
13/
I am proud of NDIS, I think all Australia should be proud of the NDIS, the way a society treats the most vulnerable is a measure of a society's success. Negotiating with every state to create a nationwide scheme is nothing short of remarkable.
14/
😃WELL DONE NEARLY FINISHED: In 2008, when Labor formalised Australia as a signatory to the UN Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities the country chose to move away from a 16 century nation state model for people with disabilities.
15/
The poor laws on 1601 entrenched the model of government control with church & charity determination for what disabled were provided with. It's a fascinating evolution.
What the NDIS did was make self determination the goal, people having the chance to control their own lives
16/
This is the end, for those who aren't familiar with John Walsh, he was instrumental in designing a people centric NDIS model.
Hope this has made sense and helped identify the Liberal/News Corp propaganda.
Well Done Labor #AlboForPM #NDIS

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More from @AusPolMate

May 16
1/ Coalition 70 seat minority government
My thoughts on how Dutton has pitched & wedged his budget to take a 70 seat minority govt.
Salient points;
1. Screw renewables, he has no intention of getting greens voters.
2. Re-use existing power plant locations will upset no one.
2/
3. Migrants & Foreign investors don't vote, so no downside.
This is the same as Greens strategy of protesting against things in places they'll never win.
An example is Greens Anti-Adani risks nothing as they'll never take Capricornia or mining towns.
#Auspol
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Feb 29
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Compared to Paris agreement:
➡️Started in 2005 @ 621Mt
➡️Target 354Mt vs Now 459Mt
➡️Target 43%⬇️2005 vs Now = 25.4%
#Auspol #Renewables
The Australian Labor party are the only party in Australia that has a fully modelled plan for how Australia will reach the Paris Agreement target. The Greens have no modelling and the Liberals don't believe in climate change.
Image
2/
Emission from electricity⬇️4.9%; (7.7 Mt CO2-e)
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Agriculture⬆️2.5%; (2.0 Mt CO2-e)
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Share of Emissions👇 Image
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Change in electricity generation in the NEM, trend, by fuel.
COAL & GAS are going⬇️down
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Read 5 tweets
Aug 14, 2023
1/ My 10c on Rent Freeze Law -It's easy being Green.
The bill has no cost calculation or estimate.
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Body Corporate improvements would become nearly impossible to resolve. Image
Read 9 tweets
Jul 28, 2023
1/ Greens Hypocrisy Busted:
📷Right: Greens using a 1 in 2,000 year flood model to protest against 855 new homes in Max's wealthy electorate. 855 homes lower values?
📷Left: Greens omits the flood model (I've added it back) from their plan for a new school & some public housing. Max Chandler-Mather lying by omission. The Greens are the ultimate NIMBY party. The Greens use a 1 in 2000 year flood model to discredit the proposed development and then propose an alternative use of the site while not mentioning or showing any flood impacts.
2/This is how the Greens present their plan.

Using just a tiny pocket of land to build some public housing & creating hectares of parkland would increase home values. The Greens @Greens and Max Chandler-Mather posting an alternative plan for the Bulimba Barracks site without using the flood map he used to discredit the existing development proposal.
3/
Here are Max's Facebook posts protesting against development on the old army land.
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Read 8 tweets
Jul 8, 2023
1/ 🧵Vile Robodebt lies that live on.
If you’ve been told Labor started/pioneered/”laid the foundations” or in any way was involved with Robodebt you have been told a vile lie.
If you are posting this information, then you are lying.
This thread busts these absurd lies.
2/
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Data Matching has been undertaken for over 50 years.

The 1975/76 DSS Annual Report👇includes details of data matching for fraud detection.
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Read 18 tweets
Jun 25, 2023
1/ 🧵Greens Housing Policy
A fund by any other name would smell of hypocrisy.
Trust/Fund:
Greens will create a Housing Trust. Sounds similar to a Future Fund, but ministers will have direct control.
Same indirect funding:
States, councils, community housing providers etc.
2/
Labor already has a shared equity scheme.
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3/
Greens are literally quoting the existing HAFF. NHFIC is what began in 2018 and had a 5-year life. ALP has extended it by 1 year.
This means greens refer to a fund that raises equity by issuing bonds, etc. Funny how they say they hate this
HAFF is bigger & better than NHFIC
Read 20 tweets

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