Macron presented himself to Fr people last night as a safe pair of hands rather than the impatient white-collar revolutionary of 2017. In 2h TV i/view, he refused (just) to declare himself a candidate next Apr, but painted himself as a wiser & more cautious man than 5 yrs ago 1/
The interview on TF1 - Fr most watched TV channel - was clearly aimed at chunk of Fr electorate exhausted by Covid pandemic & does not want to see the country turned upside down again next year. He evidently regards the pandemic as a potential vote-winner, rather than a threat 2/
Apologising for remarks  which infuriated people early in his mandate – such as making a distinction between people who were “successful” and those who were “nothing” - Macron said that he had learned to govern with more “indulgence and kindness” 3/
Asked whether he would run for a second term, Macron said he would not be able to make difficult decisions on Covid pandemic if he was a “candidate like all the others”. “I need to allow this decision to mature inside myself before I can give a sincere and definite reply.” 4/
Macron’s opponents are furious he was given such an indulgent pre-declaration iv (although past Presidents have invoked same right). The TV body which balances candidates’ speaking time said it cd be “charged” to Macron’s “account” when he declares (as he will) in next few weeks
The President was in chatty rather than lecturing and hectoring mode. He offered an optimistic view of France’s’ future to contrast  with the miserabalism of his opponents. “I can say that I believe deeply in this country,” he said. “The next decade will be our decade.” 6/
He admitted his 2017 reform programme has been only partially completed. (He blamed Covid once again.) But he said Fr was already reaping benefits of his tax & unemployment-law changes in form of booming foreign investment, job creation & lowest rate of unemployment in 15yrs 7/
Non-candidate Macron attacked two of his opponents without naming them. He dismissed far right Zemmour’s suggestion that Islam itself, not radical Islam, was a mortal threat to France. “How can you tell millions of our fellow citizens that THEY are the problem?” he asked 8/
He also dismissed a pledge by the centre right candidate Valérie Pécresse that she would cut 150,000 state jobs if elected. “Cut who?” Macron said. “You have to say who? Police officers? Soldiers? Nurses? Magistrates?” 9/
Macron evidently believes that he has to shore up the left hand of  his centrist base if he wants to preserve his current lead in the polls – on 24-25% - for the first round of the election on 10 April. “I was never a President of the rich (as some claimed)” he said 10/
“I’m not for the  law of the jungle. I’m for encouraging creativity but also protecting the weakest. That’s the sign of a great country.”Overall message: “You may not think I’m perfect but do you really want to plunge into the unknown again after 2 years of  health crisis?” ENDS

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More from @Mij_Europe

15 Dec
What is the outlook for UK-EU relations in 2022? That has become a much more difficult question to answer of late, because it really hangs on one question - the fate of @BorisJohnson 1/
The outlook was clearer one month ago - the relationship would have hit a new low as UKG triggered Article 16 & EU partially terminated UK-EU trade deal. But then came along @OwenPaterson & new allegations of Tory sleaze - serving as a brake on hostilities with EU 2/
As one Tory MP told me at the time: “Article 16 has to be done from a position of strength but Boris is suddenly in a much weaker state. He could have done it at conference when he was riding high. The whole party would have rallied behind him. Now it would look desperate.” 3/
Read 25 tweets
9 Dec
.@EmmanuelMacron may not be the leader of France after April but he spoke today as if he planned to be the leader of Europe for the next decade or more 1/
The French President just gave a big press conference on Europe. Let's be clear: This was not an narrow look/agenda for French EU Presidency in the first half of next year. This was a plan to completely transform the EU. Contrary to my expectations, there was lots of big stuff 2/
He set out a sweeping agenda for EU reform – ranging from abolishing the 3% of GDP Maasticht “ceiling” on national budget deficits to reconstructing the Schengen free movement zone by  strengthening external borders and creating new policies on asylum and migration 3/
Read 14 tweets
7 Dec
Within a few years of Viktor Orban's election victory in 2010, such was the contempt he paid to democratic norms in parliament, that Hungarian opposition figures routinely referred to the country as Absurdistan. It has only got worse since then 1/

abouthungary.hu/speeches-and-r…
Take this bizarre latest missive which went on line yesterday as part of Orban's “Samizdat” entreaties. It is, purportedly, Orban's assessment of Merkel's time as CX. When she leaves “a piece of the life of Central Europe” will go with her. “We understood her, she understood us”
“For years, Merkel and I had to endure together the hardships of being in opposition”. But soon both were in power, and then “We managed the financial crisis in 2010, we were partners in the fight to keep the European Union together, and together we watched helplessly.. 3/
Read 10 tweets
29 Nov
The Spectator, once grouchily intelligent, stopped being a “spectator” and turned into a political hooligan some time ago. It never has a civil word for anything French, except to lionise a racist like Eric Zemmour 1/

spectator.co.uk/article/immigr…
They make an odd couple, The Spectator and Zemmour. The mag hates the French. He detests the cultural hegemony of “Les Anglos Saxons”. In this otherwise unrevealing interview, the Speccie mocks Zemmour’s French accent, while boosting him 2/
In any case, Zemmour is on the way, it seems, to be the first candidate to lose a French presidential race before entering it. He plans to declare on 5 Dec but his autumn surge in the polls is fading badly 3/
Read 6 tweets
26 Nov
What a sorry sight to see two great countries, or at least their leaders, fighting like school-kids only two days after the calamity in the Channel in which at least 27 refugees died. Both Johnson & Macron merit some of the blame. But this is mostly down to Johnson 1/
His first reaction after the disaster, after mumbling a few words about his thoughts for the families of those drowned, was to blame France. This was a direct appeal to French-bashing tabloid fury. The Mail online splash the next day was “This is down to you, Macron” 2/
He then had a lengthy phone conversation with @EmmanuelMacron yesterday in which, according to senior French sources & media reports, both men agreed to think afresh about how to reduce the number of flimsy boats crossing 30 treacherous kilometres of sea 3/
Read 17 tweets
25 Nov
Italian politics is about to get very interesting - volatile? - again. It all hangs on a decision Mario Draghi has to make in Jan: whether to transition to the Presidency or remain PM until 2023. His decision will carry big implications for Italy - & Europe 1/
Since becoming PM, Draghi has moved steadfastly to articulate & implement reforms in exchange for Italy’s €191.5 billion in EU pandemic recovery funds. He has also elevated Italy's voice in EU debates - & not simply those related to economic policy 2/
But Italy’s political world is now consumed with horse-trading over the election of its next president, who must be elected by MPs to replace Sergio Mattarella in late Jan, assuming he is not re-elected for a second term - an option he seems determined to avoid 3/
Read 25 tweets

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