In the 2020 Presidential Election, there was a 15 point gap between black men and black women in terms of their votes for Biden or Trump, according to Pew Research.
pewresearch.org/politics/2021/…

Black Men:
87% Biden/12% Trump

Black Women:
95% Biden/5% Trump
(Which, incidentally, is one of the things that always amused me about Fox News constantly trotting out performance artists Diamond & Silk and Candice Owens. Black women just happen to be the demographic group LEAST likely to support Trump).
Another interesting thing from this study. For whites and latinos, there was a difference in who people voted for by educational attainment - more so for whites and somewhat for latinos. But for blacks, there was no difference at all by education.
White, college grad: Biden +15
White, some college or less: Trump +32
(47 point difference)

Hispanic, college grad: Biden +39
Hispanic, some college or less: Biden +14
(25 point difference)

Black, college grad: Biden +84
Black, some college or less: Biden +84
(Exactly the same)
All ethnic groups had a difference by gender, with Trump always doing better with the men.

White men: Trump +17
White women: Trump +7
(10 point gap)

Black men: Biden +75
Black women: Biden +90
(15 point gap)

Hispanic men: Biden +17
Hispanic women: Biden +24
(7 point gap)
So there was a big difference in voting by gender for all ethnicities.

A huge difference in voting by education for whites.
A pretty big difference in voting by education for latinos.
No difference at all in voting by education for blacks.

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More from @TheValuesVoter

19 Dec
According to the latest Ipsos poll, here are what the various partisan groups polled say is the most important issues in America right now:

ipsos.com/en-us/news-pol…
Percentage of Republicans saying that each of these is the most important problem in America:

1) Economy, unemployment and jobs (28%)
2) Immigration (13%)
3) Crime or corruption (12%)
4) Other (10%)
5) Morality (7%)
5) Public health, disease and illness (7%, tied)
%of Democrats saying these are the most important problem in the US:
1) Economy, unemployment and jobs (17%)
1) Public health, disease and illness (17%, tied)
3) Environment and Climate (14%)
4) Healthcare system (11%)
5) Equality and discrimination (8%)
5) Other (8%, tied)
Read 4 tweets
18 Dec
Of the 100 counties with the largest Voting Age Population (VAP), Joe Biden won 91 of those counties last year.

Of the 100 counties whose VAP makes up the largest percentage of their state’s VAP (big counties where much of the state population lives), Biden won 79 of them.
For example, there are 5 counties that make up the majority of their states’ Voting Age Population:

Clark County, NV
Honolulu County, HI
Maricopa County, AZ
Providence County, RI
New Castle County, DE

Biden won all 5 counties. And, obviously, all 5 states.
Counties which make up 10% or more of their state’s population which were won by Biden despite Trump winning the state:

Salt Lake County, UT
Douglass County, NE
(Biden won 1 Electoral Vote from Nebraska’s Second Congressional District)
Johnson County, KS
Jefferson County, KY
Read 18 tweets
16 Dec
The economy was never as good during Trump’s Presidency as he and his surrogates claimed it was.

But Trump is basically a used car salesman. A self-promoter. Aided by a messaging and propaganda operation that crafts simple, easy-to-remember messages and repeats them endlessly.
Most people, when they see the actual numbers for the economy under Trump, are surprised, because it’s not what they thought. Why was it not what they thought? Because they believed it was the greatest ever. Why did they think that? Because Trump said it. Over and over again.
Even media outlets that are not friendly to Trump tended to take his boasts about the state of the economy at face value, rarely researching the facts and correcting the record.

They would repeat his claims about the economy even as 2019 added the fewest jobs since 2010.
Read 7 tweets
3 Nov
Joe Biden needs to learn a lesson from Bill Clinton in 1994.

After two years of progressive idealism, Clinton and his Democratic Party got crushed in the 1994 midterms. Clinton deftly moved to the center. Then he won re-election. And his Dems even did well in his second midterm.
Biden has the ability to make this switch one year earlier into his term than Clinton did. And, perhaps, in the process, save American democracy.

Biden won because he was perceived as a moderate. He won contests that Democrats haven’t won in a while (AZ, GA and NE-02).
And over the course of the year, he has allowed himself and his agenda to be influenced significantly by a very vocal progressive caucus (which doesn’t even comprise 50% of the House Democrats).

He needs to change this.
Read 7 tweets
2 Nov
Half of the votes cast in the 2020 Presidential Election in VA were cast in 12 of the state’s 133 counties and county equivalents:

Fairfax County (13.47% of VA votes)
Prince William County (5.11%)
Virginia Beach (5.10%)
Loudoun County (5.04%)
Chesterfield County (4.57%)
#VAGov
Henrico County (4.11%)
Arlington County (2.93%)
Chesapeake (2.85%)
Richmond (2.49%)
Norfolk (2.02%)
Alexandria (1.85%)
Newport News (1.82%)
All of these went blue in the 2020 Presidential Election.

All of these except for Chesapeake, Chesterfield and Virginia Beach went blue in the last four Presidential Elections.

Chesterfield and Virginia Beach went red 2008-2016 then flipped blue in 2020.
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
Georgia
Arizona
Texas
Florida

What do these states all have in common?

They are all competitive, highly diverse states which have GOP Governors and GOP legislatures which have MADE IT HARDER FOR CITIZENS TO VOTE.
#VAGov
In fact, I can’t think of a single state which is competitive, has a large black or latino population and in which the GOP controls the Governorship and the State Legislature which HASN’T enacted new #VoterSuppression laws this year.

Point out any that I missed.
#VAGov
Read 15 tweets

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