When I run my weekly county-level vaxx rate updates, I use CDC data for most states but *state* health dept. data for about a dozen of them (which of course takes longer).
Sounds like I might have to move to state health dept. data for...more states.
It occurs to me that part of the problem may be some people LYING about not having been vaccinated at all in order to get their booster shot before they were eligible (remember, there were a couple of months when you had to be 65+ or 50+ in order to be eligible).
So some people < 65 or < 50 who already had 2 shots might have claimed that this would be their 1st shot instead of their 3rd in order to get it.
Result: It gets counted as a 1st shot instead of a 3rd.
This isn't as bad as it sounds at first--I thought the TOTAL number of doses was being massively overtcounted, which doesn't appear to be the case. Technically every shot administered still helps.
Still not good, though.
As it happens, my county vaxx data only includes those with TWO shots, so it’s probably not impacted by this issue nearly as much…it sounds like the number with 0, 1 or 3 shots are off, but not so much 2. Huh.
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⚠️ AMERICA 2021 IN ONE IMAGE (updated thru today):
⚠️ STATS GEEKS: A month ago I noted that the R^2 had leveled off for the past couple of months & said it'd be interesting to see what happened after Thanksgiving, when the first batch of 5-11 yr olds started getting their 2nd doses.
Here’s my weekly update from June *2020*, when COVID deaths were still far higher in the blue counties. Not sure why @LeePrevost thinks I won’t continue doing so going forward regardless of how things play out during the Omicron wave.
Duel
Sugarland Express
Jaws
Close Encounters of the 3rd Kind
1941
Raiders of the Lost Ark
ET: The Extra-Terrestrial
Twilight Zone (1 of 4 segments)
Indiana Jones & the Temple of Doom
The Color Purple
Empire of the Sun
Always 1/
Indiana Jones & the Last Crusade
Hook
Jurassic Park
Schindler's List
The Lost World
Amistad
Saving Private Ryan
AI: Artificial Intelligence
Minority Report
Catch Me if You Can
The Terminal
War of the Worlds
Munich
Indiana Jones & the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
2/
The Adventures of Tintin
War Horse
Lincoln
Bridge of Spies
The BFG
The Post
Ready Player One
West Side Story
My choice: Either Raiders or Jurassic Park; both are quintessential Spielberg.
3/3
In TX-13, Ronny Jackson (himself supposedly a doctor) won nearly 80% of the vote last year.
Redistricting notwithstanding, 50,000 GOP voters in his district could die and he’d still easily win re-election next year.
It MIGHT make a difference in a handful of swing districts, but not likely. It could also have some impact at the state level for Senate/Governor in a few states I suppose.
--I'm posting the vaxx graphs side by side with the death rate graphs for easy comparison.
--Death rates for all counties are since 6/30/21, since a) that's roughly when the Delta wave started in the U.S. and b) every American 12+ had ample ability to get vaxxed by that point.
ALABAMA: Not much of a pattern in death rates...but also not much of one in vaxx rates (basically, vaxx rates are low across the board):