You may be under the misapprehension that crap bought mince pies with sweet shortcrust pastry are the right mince pies. They are not. They're terrible. Make real mince pies, do it right. Start with making butter puff paste...
Make lots, it freezes. Then roll out and cut out some circles, and roll the scraps up and roll out THIN, and cut the same number of slightly smaller circles. The small, thin circles are your bases. Put mince on each (about which more later) on each...
...seal the larger, thicker circles on top with egg, then egg glaze...
...then put the trays of mince pies in the back hall to cool down. You want them to go into a HOT oven when they're cold. And they'll do this...
...they're light, crispy, and delicious. Now about the mince - obviously home made is better, but the bought jars aren't terrible. Mince or 'shred' pies go back centuries in Britain, at one point being mostly meat with some spice and fruit...
...and over the years less meat and more spice, fruit and booze made its way in. The last of the meaty things is suet (the white bits in the jar), but thats usually palm oil these days and I avoid it. I use an early 19th century recipe that still has beef mince in it...
...lots of fruit, citrus, dark brown sugar, brandy, peel, apple, suet, spice. This is Christmas in a jar, and it is wonderful stuff. Still sweet, but not cloyingly stickily so like the bought stuff. And thats proper mince pies...
Just don't forget to serve them with brandy butter. Its mandatory.
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Covid data has gone bonkers. I wasn't planning to do a thread today, but what the hell, why not. Here's the overall picture before some more detailed analysis. (1)
Deaths continue to fall ever so slowly, which is a remarkable testament to the incredible inroads made with vaccines and treatments - by now cases should be rising, following cases haven risen for weeks (2)
But 111 deaths a day remains terrible. And the rate of fall, under 1% a day, is barely perceptible (3)
So... Today, projections for Covid cases in the UK based on the 7 and 14 trends are almost irrelevant. Last Saturday it was 54073, on trend we're looking at 67000-75000 (a broad spread because of the recent stratospheric rise) but after 93045 yesterday thats unlikely (1)
Deaths continue to fall very slowly, on average. 126-129 after 132 last Saturday. The rate of fall is almost imperceptible, 0.6% a day right now, and that is trending the wrong way. Hospitalisations are rising (2)
...and its only falling because boosters are keeping the proportion who are infected dying falling. But cases have been rising -fast- for a while now (3)
When I was a kid, whole stretches of the UK coastline were filthy. There were places covered in industrial waste (literally black with coal waste). You could get advice on where the coast was too polluted to gather shellfish...
...you didn't go into the sea if you could see an outlet of any kind. The whole coastline was suspect, it was common enough for people to get sick after swimming in the sea...
...wild swimming? That wasn't a thing. Except for a few weirdos. Triathletes and people who did it competitively were extremely careful about where and how...
Terrible Covid data in the UK today. 46558 cases and 93 deaths. Exponentials will bite you in the arse every single time. Here's the overall picture before delving deeper (1)
On exponential plots its fairly obvious whats going on. A straight line on a log plot means your're going up at an exponential rate. Cases and deaths are rising exponentially. (2)
93 deaths takes the 7 day total to 339. Its the highest single day total since the 24th of March, and the highest 7 day total since the 30th of March. And rising FAST. (3)
I think perhaps today I'll slant my regular look at Covid stats in the UK towards whats happened over the last 7 days, to give us a fuller view where we're going as we foolishly throw all caution to the wind. Here's the overall picture before a deep dive (1)
We've had 283 deaths over the last 7 days, up from 203. Thats a 40% rise in 7 days. (2)
The rate of rise has been more or less constant all week. Yes, its a lower base we're rising from, butwe continue to see deathsrising exponentially (3)
Overall Covid scenario in the UK isn't looking good. Its not all bad, but we're hitting some desperately grim milestones right now. Here's the overall picture. Strap in. This is gong to take some working through (1)
Deaths and cases are rising exponentially, but not on the same exponent. There is no such thing as an exponential rise in either thats not terrible news though (2)
37 deaths today is the highest single day total since St. Georges day, and the 7 day rolling average is over 20 now for the first time since the 29th of April. An exponential rise means things get worse at a proportionally constant speed - 1,2,4,8,16,32... (3)