In short, these scientists speculated that what we see in SARS-CoV-2 is not how a scientist would logically engineer a novel S1/S2 FCS into a SARSr-CoV and they contended that there is no evidence of research at the WIV that artificially inserted complete FCSs into coronaviruses.
Barely 5 days after the Holmes et al. critical review was published in @CellCellPress the DEFUSE proposal was leaked online, providing evidence that the WIV & collaborators had a roadmap for inserting FCSs into SARS-like viruses.
@CellCellPress I wrote in July: "we have little insight to the viruses and virus sequences available to scientists and the experiments being conducted in labs prior to the.. Covid-19 outbreak — these would have a great influence on the types of insertions being made" ayjchan.medium.com/a-response-to-…
@CellCellPress People who don't know better could easily buy into the Proximal Origin flawed argument that SARS2 must not be genetically engineered since it's not how they think scientists would've engineered it.
But scientists who engineer organisms/viruses know this reasoning is bunk.
@CellCellPress It worries me that top voices advising US intelligence & defense are not able to comprehend that labs in other nations have private databases of virus samples & sequences.
Without access to these data, how could we predict exactly how scientists are engineering novel viruses?
@CellCellPress The correct answer at the time and even today is: We don't have access to the data that would enable us to confidently determine whether or not the SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 FCS insertion is natural or artificial.
+Even if it is natural, it doesn't mean the virus did not leak from a lab.
@CellCellPress The difference between early 2020 and today is that we know there is a way to investigate. The EcoHealth Alliance must have communications, data and/or documents (drafts) relating to their Defuse proposal and the section on detecting and inserting cleavage sites into SARSrCoVs.
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Hi @richardhorton1@TheLancet the live virus recombinant SARSrCoV work was done at BSL2 at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.
"they defended what they believed were rigorous administrative and supervisory systems in China's high-level biosafety settings" thelancet.com/journals/lance…
@richardhorton1@TheLancet If you believe performing infection experiments with live novel, recombinant SARS-like viruses at BSL2 equates to rigorous, high-level biosafety settings, please see this lab leak of SARS2 from a BSL3, infecting a fully vaccinated worker in her 20s. taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4372853
"Were those who believed that evidence was growing in favour of a lab leak now winning the argument? Was this really the end of the story? Of course not."
An addendum to the Proximal Origin letter published in @NatureMedicine is long overdue. I still see people citing this paper with little awareness of how this letter came to be and problems with both its origin and content. nature.com/articles/s4159…
The addendum should clearly explain and address the following 3 issues:
1. Proximal Origin was the product of a private meeting in Feb 2020 among Western leaders in research/funding. Phone call Feb 1. First draft of Proximal Origin Feb 4.
Experts who provided (redacted) feedback on the manuscript were not acknowledged in the @NatureMedicine letter. The only expert thanked for contributing to discussions is M. Farzan.
To expand on a point in my recent @StatedClearly interview:
"Science cannot be embodied by one person or even a group of people... It’s not something where a pandemic happens and only virologists can have the answer."
@StatedClearly That SARS-CoV-2 spreads through the air is perhaps one of the top 3 most important facts that needed & still needs to be acknowledged to limit covid spread.
It would've saved potentially millions of lives if this simple fact had been clearly explained to the world in early 2020.
Yet, it took until August 2021, more than a year and a half post-covid for a review on this topic to be published in a prominent scientific journal.
Of the 7 authors, only 1 is a virologist. The majority are aerosol or bioengineering experts. science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
A strawman argument from natural #OriginOfCovid proponents is that scientists would've engineered a textbook cleavage site into novel SARS-like viruses in the lab.
But, if you read their research proposal, the scientists said they would engineer in rare, novel cleavage sites.
The scientists had a pipeline in early 2018 for detecting never-seen-before cleavage sites in rare SARSrCoVs & engineering these into SARSrCoVs in the lab.
There's no reason why novel cleavage sites should look like the ones in our textbooks.
Lots of buzz about the new preprint about rare furin cleavage sites in the spikes of European bat SARS-like viruses. Difficult to say much until the spike sequences obtained within this study are deposited in GenBank and released. biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
It is likely that scientists on the other side of the world had encountered similar rare furin cleavage sites in the SARS-like viruses they had found, which led them to write the following in the 2018 DEFUSE proposal:
"We will also review deep sequence data for low abundant high risk SARSr-CoV that encode functional proteolytic cleavage sites, and if so, introduce these changes into the appropriate high abundant, low risk parental strain."
And he's in great company! Several top virologists have expressed that a genetically engineered origin of SARS-CoV-2 is plausible and should be investigated.
We know that the Wuhan Institute of Virology had access to bat pathogen samples in Laos, from the emails and research reports FOIA'ed and from their very own data deposited in NCBI.