I❤️NY: the city twice as good as Phoenix

🧵12/20 Morning Update, NYC kids & schools
with a review of @NYCSchools mitigation failures
all of which can be improved by a willing administration

1/

Despite testing bottlenecks, NYC kids' cases continued to grow: 1,669 yesterday

In 2021, the previous 1 week total (Monday-Monday) was 4,757 in the week ending 1/24

Last wk's total, which I'll post tomorrow, is on track to double that 😥

2/

Here is the DOE school-reported trend for kids & staff.

Note that these differ from lab-reported cases because they include only those that make their way from family to school to The Situation (room)

3/
Surprised that last wk's #s are so large if your main source is DOECovid Map?

🧵👇re data problem; 6 days since DOE notified, no fix

Random errors go in 2 directions

DOE's errors consistently favor the house

Misleading w data=bad for democracy



4/
Now, let's review DOE's mitigation work
1⃣Vaccination
2⃣Testing
3⃣Ventilation
4⃣Masking
@NYCMayor touts mandates, but hasn't enforced 2 shots for school staff

What % of staff have 2 shots? No one knows

What is well known: 1 shot=little protection

5/

2⃣Testing

Major problems since Sept
➡️opt-in v opt-out: 25% consent, so 3-5% tested/wk
➡️not testing vax'ed tho vax'ed get & transmit
➡️pulling people out of testing pool after 1💉
➡️retreating on staff testing

6/

3⃣Ventilation
If you did not read @Gothamist investigation on air filters, pls do so now

➡️They had $ to buy HEPA filters, & bought trash
➡️But for the Mayor's office, they bought the real stuff

7/

3⃣Ventilation

Despite data showing higher infection in window-dependent schs, still no action to address it

I replicated this analysis for 20-21 SY & observe higher infection rates in window-dependent schs too for both kids & staff

8/

4⃣Masking

Well-established that Omicron more infectious & demands higher-quality masks

Why aren't we providing them to staff & students @NYCSchools?



9/
Here's the good news: we know what to do to reduce student & staff risk of infection

We just have to do it, @ericadamsfornyc @Realdavidcbanks

1⃣Enforce vax mandates: 2 shots + booster
2⃣Test everyone weekly
3⃣Buy HEPA filters for all schools
4⃣Provide high-qual 😷

10/end

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More from @eduwonkette_jen

21 Dec
If a tree falls in a forest, schools edition:

🌳20% NYC schools had <62% attendance yesterday
🌳25% NYC schools had <73% attendance yesterday
🌳Average NYC school: 77% attendance yesterday

If a school is open & so many kids (& staff) are missing: are they really open?

1/
Quick refresher on box plots: bottom box end is 25th percentile; line in box is median; top end is 75th

🌳1 in 4 schools in Manhattan & Brooklyn had <=70% attendance on Monday

2/
It gets even more interesting when we look at the district level...

You can each district's distribution in sheet 👇
/end

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 4 tweets
20 Dec
Here we go, @NYCMayor presser

"Staring today, we're sending out supervisors to our private vendors," per @MaraGay's suggestions

Maybe you could you just hire @MaraGay?

1/
Going back to the beginning

"Surge in cases for a few weeks...The answer is vaccination" - I would love to see the evidence for this projection

Also, you cannot vaccinate your way out of a surge; see @celinegounder
2/
"NYC continues to lead the way in this country in terms of huge #s vaccinated"

He is now providing 1 dose #s again

1 dose provides 30% protection against severe disease w Delta; is there anyone who thinks 1 dose is a big help for Omicron?

3/
Read 22 tweets
19 Dec
"We are doing twice as much per-capita testing as Phoenix" has never made anyone in NYC feel better about anything.

#NYC
They haven't even enforced 2 shots for @NYCSchools staff months later, and @NYCMayor's answer is that NYC city workers are "94% vaccinated."

Bless you, @katie_honan, for listening to this mess

#NYC
Competent leadership is not @NYCMayor's bailiwick

8 new testing sites by TUESDAY?

#NYC
Read 16 tweets
7 Sep
Per the genetics & social science convo: 🧵

The most fascinating normative debates in my ed policy course come from reading Jencks (1988), "Who Must We Treat Equally for Educational Opportunity to Be Equal?"

He describes 5 ways of thinking about equal ed opportunity 1/
- Democratic equality: equal time/attention to all

- Moralistic justice: reward those making the most effort

- Weak human justice: compensate for disadvantages related to prior home & school environments, but not those relating to genetics

2/
- Strong humane justice: compensate for prior home, school, and genetic differences

- Utilitarianism: maximize avg well-being of society; focus on increasing the mean more than worrying about the variance

3/
Read 9 tweets
20 Aug
Kids' case rates in NYC are 10 times larger this week than in the same week of 2020 for kids 0-12, and 7 times larger for kids 13-17.

In light of these data, let's evaluate the argument against offering families a remote schooling option this fall. 1/ Image
In cities that have refused to offer remote, elected officials have staked their claims on what is in children’s “best interests.”

As Bill DeBlasio’s press secretary @BNeidhardt said, “If schools are safer, then why rob kids of the better education?” 2/
Ultimately, the remote question comes down to who should have the right to make judgments about what’s best for their own kids *in situations where that decision does not have a clear and immediate negative impact on others.*
(This distinguishes the remote q from masking.) 3/
Read 5 tweets
31 Jan
In the opening episode of @Princeton's spring season: I received a panicked email from a neighbor on Fri night concerned there was a break-in at my house in #Trenton. No broken glass, but front blinds amiss. 1/
NYC-->Trenton -->The Most Evil Animal in the World taunting us from the window: see lineup.

Not my first rodeo. I lost 3 wars @Princeton with dorm-intruding squirrels. Still bitter about the one who ate my pralines.

Per Trenton history, it was General Mercer. (upper left) 2/
General Mercer took the re-enactment of the Battles of Princeton and Trenton very seriously. And won.

Fun fact: General Mercer likes to chew. Wood is king, but won't say no to polyamory with a sweet-faced couch.

Below: Trenton Makes, General Mercer Takes My Whole House. 3/
Read 9 tweets

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