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21 Dec, 4 tweets, 1 min read
This is why @KremlinRussia_E won’t do anything rash. Russia has too much to lose & has a bright future engaging positively with the EU. Image
Russia’s advantage is to do with population growth. It’s stable but ageing and it has the potential to drive education reform for the benefit of all.
If I were advising Vladimir Putin, I would emphasise the need for a revolution in the architecture of education. Children adapt to their environment & innovation flows from adaptation to an environment which encourages independence.
The issue is legacy.

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Steve Lawrence Profile picture
13 May 20
The Nightingale Field Hospitals didn’t have the services or staff to take patients, so ICU beds were cleared in hospitals by discharging elderly CV-19 patients into Care Homes?

Is that what happened @MattHancock?
The contrast between South West & East of England is striking.

In the East of England around 1 in 5 patients died in a Care Home but in the South West 4 in 5 deaths were in Care Homes.

In Cheltenham, twice as many died in a Care Home rather than a hospital.

@BBCr4today
Across the country more than a third (38.1%) of CV-19 deaths are occurring in Care Homes @BBCr4today? Can this be true?

And why are the ratios in the South East (58.9%) & South West (84.2%) so much higher?
Read 4 tweets
Steve Lawrence Profile picture
28 Dec 18
Is there a Brexiteer or a Brexiter in the land (UK that is) who doesn't admire Switzerland with its GDP/capita of nearly $60,000 per annum and social expenditure running at 20% of GDP?
If there's a roof to be fixed or a boiler to repair there's money in the bank. If there's a pothole in the road, a floral display in the park to be made or a new needle exchange to be created, there's money in the social expenditure fund. What Brexiter wouldn't wish for this?
And, of course, fixing roofs, repairing boilers, filling potholes, digging floral displays and building needle exchanges creates jobs and jobs means people in employment generating GDP/capita and paying tax for the social expenditure.
Read 10 tweets
Steve Lawrence Profile picture
15 Sep 18
@msmarbles2017 @acgrayling The ERG is a ‘pooled service’ recognised by the Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority (which was established after the MP’s expenses scandal) whose purpose is to provide MPs, who subscribe to it, with research & document services. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independe…
@msmarbles2017 @acgrayling The SDP, Labour Party & Lib Dems also have ‘pooled services’ & the Tories also have the Policy Research Unit.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_…
@msmarbles2017 @acgrayling The PRU is a limited company and so its accounts are a matter of public record. The ERG isn’t incorporated in any way, its legal status is as an unincorporated association owned by its members and with no obligation to file any kind of account of its financial activities ...
Read 5 tweets
Steve Lawrence Profile picture
10 Aug 18
Support for Brexit is shrinking fast

There are 4 main drivers

• Official confirmation that the referendum result was fraudulent
• Emergency measures to deal with governmental breakdown at local and national level
• Serious long term economic damage
• New young Pro-EU voters
Each of these, in its own right, constitutes a reason for abandoning Brexit. Together they create an unarguable imperative in the interests of the majority of people in the UK
Brexit is an unfortunate word, it is both meaningless and meaningful. Meaningless in real terms because it does not adequately describe the cessation of long-standing, complex and important Treaty obligations and rights. Meaningful in a mythical sense as an object of aspiration.
Read 7 tweets
Steve Lawrence Profile picture
21 Apr 18
A graphical thread on the UK population & how it's changing over time.

1. A good place to start is to think about births - a pretty good indicator of whether a country represents a hospitable environment.

The UK population increases by around 800,000 births each year.
2. Those arriving are balanced to a large extent by those departing and the UK has around 600,000 deaths each year ATM.
3. Which means that the UK has an internal population growth rate of about 200,000 per annum (births less deaths). This rate of growth increased from around 100,000 to 200,000 between 2002 - 2007 & it's remained pretty constant since.

That's +1 million every 5 years.
Read 11 tweets
Steve Lawrence Profile picture
17 Dec 17
On the Brexit timeline:
1. The European Commission will make proposals on transition in January 2018.
2. The European Council will deliberate on the future framework agreement in March 2018.
consilium.europa.eu/media/32236/15…
On the transition menu:
1. A formal extension of time under Article 50. (Requires Unanimity)
2. A stand-alone ‘transition treaty’. (Requires Unanimity)
3. A transition chapter within the Withdrawal Agreement. (Requires QMV)
1. Has been ruled out by May & whilst vulnerable to veto would be likely to be acceptable.
2. Allows a degree of leverage but is vulnerable to veto & is probably impossible given the time constraint.
3. Is not vulnerable to veto but diminishes leverage to zero.
Read 6 tweets

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