NEW: situation update from Gauteng, where cases, test-positivity and admissions are all now falling (no, this is not driven by testing capacity/behaviour or by migration).
Deaths and excess deaths still rising, but based on timing of peak will not come close to Delta levels.
Deaths and excess deaths still rising, but based on timing of peak will not come close to Delta levels.
Another way of looking at same data:
Cases climbed to 90% of their Delta peak, but admissions peaked at 50% and deaths will peak below 50%, demonstrating how immunity — both acquired since Delta, and differentially present among Omicron cases — reduces rates of severe disease.
Cases climbed to 90% of their Delta peak, but admissions peaked at 50% and deaths will peak below 50%, demonstrating how immunity — both acquired since Delta, and differentially present among Omicron cases — reduces rates of severe disease.
As ever, a big thanks to the brilliant people at @nicd_sa who make this data available, and to the likes of @lrossouw and @tomtom_m who have consistently been providing invaluable data and commentary from South Africa.
For the people responding to this with "seems mild and nothing to worry about then", I’m just linking this thread to my other one from earlier today on rising numbers of patients being treated for severe Covid in London
https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1473982353580175365
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