1. The latest ONS report on deaths by vaccination status has serious anomalies (as in their previous report we analysed). Most obvious one is their analysis claims age standardized NON-COVID mortality rate is TWICE as high in the unvaxxed as the vaxxed. This is not credible…
2. If true it would mean either a) healthier people got vaccinated, so all their estimates of vaccine effectiveness are massively confounded by prior health status; or b) the COVID vaccines are full of magic fairy dust that cures non-Covid illness and doubles your life expectancy
3. The report indeed claims that healthy people were more likely to get vaxxed (Page 5). But this contradicts both the NHS Guidelines on vaccine prioritization and the statement on Page 1 of the report
7. An explanation of the age standardized mortality rate and also how it can easily mislead people is here:
If the ONS released all the raw mortality data we would not need to rely on such estimates at all.
1. This is not normal. All of these tweets in the last few days from blue ticks with almost identical message: tested positive for covid with mild symptoms, thankful for vacc and booster.
1. Youtube have removed my interview with .@MaajidNawaz on the basis that it contains 'medical misinformation'. All I did in the interview was explain the results of a multi-authored paper that analysed Office for Nat Statistics publicly available data
3. Two weeks ago I had another much-viewed video removed by youtube on the same grounds. They reinstated it after I appealed so I've appealed this one.
According to Victoria Derbyshire and her followers if her brother hadn’t had 3 jabs he’d be hospitalised or worse. I’d love to see the evidence for this.
1. Here is the full lecture by David Healy which we hosted earlier this week. Extremely important (and concerning) information about the way vaccine safety is evaluated and presented.
1. YouTube has removed my video that showed why the Government claim that "1 in 3 people with the virus have no symptoms" was wrong. It had over 80,000 views. They say they will not allow content that 'spreads medical misinformation that contradicts local authorities or the WHO'.
2. But the medical misinformation was in the Govt claim - which wrongly equated a person 'having a positive PCR test result' with a person 'having the virus'. We only used data from the ONS and the Cambridge Univ study of asymptomatics
3. During the period we studied the Cambridge data, over 10,000 samples from asymptomatics were PCR tested. Only 43 were positive and of these 36 were found to be FALSE positives when subject confirmatory testing. So over 80% of asymptomatics testing positive were false
1. New blog post with .@MartinNeil9: Is vaccine efficacy a statistical illusion? Turns out that, simply by delayed reporting of deaths by 1 week, it's inevitable a placebo will appear to reduce mortality in those who receive it compared to those who don't probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2021/11/is-vac…
2. Here's the graph that results from a one week delay in reporting deaths in a simple example where both the 'vaxxed' and the 'unvaxxed' actually have the same constant mortality rate of 15 deaths per 100K people
3. And here's the graph from the latest ONS report on mortality by vaxx status. Compares non-covid mortality rates of vaxxed v unvaxxed. Notice the similarities with placebo example. Suggests it's a statistical illusion unexplainable by any real impact of vaxx on mortality rates