#Gold: Seems that the big banks are becoming increasingly bearish. Here are some #2022 forecasts (ht #HeinzIsler):
Deutsche Bank: "Despite still high inflation gold seems unlikely to have a good 2022. We forecast a price of US$ 1'750 per ounce at end-December
2022."
Credit Suisse: "Gold price forecast XAU/USD at risk of tanking to US$ 1'561 on a breach of 1'691."
ABM: "2022 could be a disaster as they see gold prices falling 16% seeing gold prices falling to US$ 1'500 an ounce by the end of next year....
...and dropping to US$ 1'300 an ounce by the end of 2023."
Natixis: "In its precious metals forecast for 2022 Natixis expects an average gold price of US$ 1'630 an ounce."
UBS: "Gold could retreat to the US$ 1'500-US$ 1'600 per ounce level."
Some very random thoughts on most recent developments here in Austria and in financial markets...
1. I am not scared of #COVIDー19 but rather the disastrous consequences for businesses, capital markets and employees...
2. Although monetary and fiscal stimulus will be huge, it won’t be enough.... we'll soon see who has been swimming naked...People do not see the consequences for illiquid investments like VC, real estate, art,...yet! VaR risk models will come back and hit us like boomerangs.