Putin doesn’t need to invade anyone to rebuild the Soviet Union.
And before anyone starts with the “Putin isn’t a socialist” argument, you’re right — he isn’t.

But neither were the Soviet leaders Putin knew best. By the time Brezhnev came to power, it was about power, not socialism.
Brezhnev presided over the creation of essentially oligarchic control of the economy (a term scholars were using in the early 80s, _not_ a retcon). See Robert Tucker, Val Bunce and others writing in the 1980s.
And see also János Kornai, who showed that state ownership of the economy was primarily a tool of elite domination, not mass empowerment.
So no, Putin isn’t a socialist. Why should he be? By the time he came of age, socialism was incidental to the structure of power in the USSR.
Socialism was a stick the state could use to coordinate followers and beat opponents, but it was also a problem — it prevented elites from enjoying the full fruits of their positions.
Putin has other sticks now — more flexible ones, ones that allow him and his elite to enjoy life more fully. But he still needs to keep people in line, and for that he increasingly turns to a repressive state apparatus, one that deploys methods honed by its Soviet predecessors.
That repressive apparatus needs to be legitimized — which means, inevitably, re-legitimizing the foundations on which it is built. That’s why Memorial had to go. That’s why existential confrontation with the West is so vital.
So no, Putin isn’t seeking to rebuild the Soviet Union by annexing Ukraine or Belarus. He’s seeking to rebuild the fundamentals of Soviet power by annexing the minds of ordinary Russian citizens, and thus binding them to his rule.
The road Russia is traveling now may be lined with McDonalds and traversed by BMWs. It may have open borders and private property. But it is still paved with repression and disenfranchisement.
Memorial existed to remind people that they’ve been down this road before.

Correction: Memorial _exists_ to remind people that they’ve been down this road before. Memory, like manuscripts, doesn’t burn.

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More from @samagreene

29 Sep
This is a bad headline — but it’s even worse policy. TL;DR on a quick thread: The US (and Europe) should open doors to Russian citizens vaccinated with Sputnik-V. washingtonpost.com/world/2021/09/…
First, on the headline: the US isn’t actually closing the door on Russians or anyone else. It’s opening the door to people vaccinated with WHO-approved vaccines (more or less) — a list that doesn’t include any of the vaccines available in Russia.
But while not opening the door isn’t the same as closing it, Russians could be forgiven for seeing the difference as somewhat trifling.

Now, I can already hear the howls from some on here: “Who cares!” We should all care.
Read 8 tweets
28 Sep
A friend recently dropped off an old @CarnegieRussia brochure, and while it’s from well before my time at the CMC, I couldn’t help but share the nostalgia! (Russia hands may find this amusing. Or not. Caveat emptor.) Image
First things first: Alexei Arbatov never changes. Ever. Image
Neither, though, does @McFaul: Image
Read 11 tweets
18 Sep
So, just over 24-hours into Russia's three-day electoral bonanza, and it's going more or less as you might have expected. TL;DR: The Kremlin's not taking its chances.

A few observations follow, with the caveat that info is thus far limited, and there are still 2 days to go.

/1
First: There are widespread reports of what can best be described as shenanigans. These don't have the feel of a massive, centrally coordinated falsification campaign, but they do feel like a massive uncoordinated falsification wave. Pick your poison.

/2


golosinfo.org/articles/145485
In this context - and before proceeding - it's worth re-re-upping a point re-upped by @Ben_H_Noble in @MoscowTimes: Russian authoritarianism often operates through decentralized proactive compliance, rather than centralized control and coercion.

/3


themoscowtimes.com/2021/09/10/vot…
Read 16 tweets
21 Jun
The Russian government has just declared @BardCollege an undesirable organization. Anyone - teacher or student - who has any dealings with Bard is now subject to criminal prosecution in Russia. Frankly, I’m at a loss for words.
Bard has been foundational in the development of liberal arts education in Russia - and by liberal, I mean pedagogically, not politically. Its collaborations with St Petersburg State Uni have operated under the aegis of no less a figure than Alexei Kudrin.
In other words, this isn’t a small deal. This is a very, very big deal, and it will cause every western university that has any partnerships with Russia to step back and think.
Read 6 tweets
21 Jun
ICYMI: The scandal du jour in Russia right now is the “Medics’ Ball”, held yesterday, in which 400 black-tied doctors, nurses, pharmacists and others got together for some high-society chic — with no social distancing or masks (though a vaccine and/or a PCR test were de rigueur).
Most commentators are understandably indignant: what message are these doctors sending, when Russia’s suffering a large-scale third wave, and as many as 2/3 of citizens refuse to get vaccinated? (Including as many as 1/3 of doctors!)
But just to take this up a notch on the Edgar Allen Poe Scale (a little known standard measure of macabreness), take a look at the invite: “Restoring class traditions”. («Сословие» more properly translates as “estate”, in the French aristocratic sense, but class is clearer, IMO.)
Read 5 tweets
20 May
There's a lot of hyperventilating in my feed right now -- mostly from US, UK and EU neocons, but also from various others in CEE -- about the implications of the Blinken/Lavrov meeting in Reykjavik. Everyone needs to calm down.

/1
We don't have a report from DC yet (at least not that I can find), but it's noteworthy that State are treating this meeting as an afterthought in Blinken's Denmark/Iceland/Greenland tour. state.gov/secretary-trav…

/2
Contrast that to the treatment by the Russian MFA, where the meeting is the top news item. Moscow is playing this for political looks and preening in the spotlight; Washington is nonplussed.
mid.ru/ru/foreign_pol…

/3
Read 12 tweets

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