A quick multi-thread on the importance of Economic Moats and How to Evaluate them when studying businesses:

Pat Dorsey is one of the leading figures that breakdown this topic succinctly.

First, Why Moats Matter (1/6)
2/ The Three Types of Moats:

If you are a b-school graduate - You're familiar.

However, IMO - For any investor, Atleast one of the following factors have to be present in any good investment.
3/ The Three Key Reasons Why they matter long-term:

+ Increase business value
+ Reduce risks
+ Pricing arbitrage
4/ Once you have Economic moats present.

It doesn't stop there.

A good investor continues watching how an operator ReInvests into those opportunities to increase shareholder value:
5/ More on ROIC's and the Reinvestment Ratios:

This thread by @10kdiver and @skhetpal expands more on this important concept.

6/ The qualitative factors + Measuring Reinvestment opportunities are the factors of helping Investors gauge the durability of a business.

As Dorsey says:

"Moats matter because they can increase business value,
reduce business risk, and be inefficiently priced."
7/7 -END:

Pat Dorsey is one of the leading voices that has helped me appreciate the importance of economic moats (this is a core component of evry deep dive/analysis I do)

tl;dr: Investors should watch for moats + Reinvestments Opps

Source to read more:
dorseyasset.com/wp-content/upl…
Any additional points to add: @10kdiver @realdennishong @honam @skhetpal @IrnestKaplan @LiviamCapital - Thanks!

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More from @InvestiAnalyst

28 Dec
A multi-thread compilation of all my analysis on Buy-Now-Pay-Later and $AFRM's business model:
1/ This is my in-depth review on Affirm's Competitive Moats and why this business model is durable long-term at scale.

It has everything from the current business to the future growth catalysts for 2022.

2/ My One-Pager Analysis on $AFRM's Competitive Advantage over Competitors.

It's simply Tech + Data + Risk + Brand + Talent.

Read 13 tweets
27 Dec
The most impactful investors I discovered this year was Saul @ Mootley Fool and the Saul Investing Community.

This group of investors are some of the most analytical, hardworking, disciplined in their process, and successful. I might do a thread on my lessons, but a few folks:
They’ve challenged my existing beliefs of investing. Lots of shoutouts to these group of folks in this community:

Shoutouts:
+ @StockNovice
+ @hhhypergrowth
+ @xponentialdave
+ @investing_bear
+ @GauchoRico
+ @jonwayne235
+ @ZoroSGInvesting

I appreciate everyone!
Some lowkey A/C's in the Saul Comm that do great work:

@kathleen_io1
@VNunnemaker
@Pavlos__21
@point_leverage
@JayBahel

They've made me appreciate the value of going deeper and continually challenge me together with @Investing_Lion!
Read 4 tweets
13 Dec
The PA:

P1 (Core): $CRWD, $PLTR, $UPWK, $UPST $AFRM $CFLT $AMPL * $DLO * $S

P2: (Mgmd) $AMD $SE $AMBA $SI $GDYN $BILL $MNDY $ZS $DDOG

Company updates, Commentary, and a general recap of the past 30-days:
1/ Every month, I post a portfolio snapshot update (Last month portfolio recap)

Exits: $DOCN $LC $GRAB $MAGT $PATH $COIN.

Initiations: $S, $DLO (I'll explain later), Bit of $UPWK in my core.

In P2, Added more $GDYN, $ZS.

New pos: $BILL and $MNDY.

2/ Individual Updates with P2:

$AMBA:

+ Accelerating top-line growth with a healthy 24% EBITDA Margins and 15% FCF
+ Semiconductors are the highest-ranked industry in tech and AMBA has been one of the strongest.

Read 28 tweets
9 Dec
The Rising Challenge of SentinelOne:

$CRWD is the undoubted leader of the endpoint cybersecurity market. However, there is a very compelling thesis for $S - SentinelOne.

I'll outline my research notes in this full thread (and an upcoming Spaces!):
***
1/ First, what is $S?

Similar to $CRWD, they are a cybersecurity firm that provides Endpoint detection (EPP) & Endpoint response (EDR)

This is just simply an advanced anti-virus(AV) installed on your computer or device to protect you compared to McAfee or Norton type of AV.
2/ If you knw $CRWD, yu pretty much knw $S as they're similar. However, I'll focus on differences.

First, $S anti-virus product is uniquely architectured to combine best of both worlds of EPP & EDR into ONE single platform called XDR.

$S AV solution is unique for this reason.
Read 31 tweets
8 Dec
$PATH Q3 2022 Report:

My review, recap, and analysis: strong sequential ARR, but an overall mixed report.

An ongoing thread: 1/
2/2
Quarterly revenue trend:

Current quarter revenue was beat by only 2.5%. It came in line and met expectations.

Q4 "21: 81% YoY
Q1 "22: 65%YoY
Q2 "22: 40%
Q3 "22: 50% YoY
Q4 guide is: 36% YoY (Yikes!)

Last 5-Qtr of Growth: -10% > 13% > 11% > now 13%.
Guide implies 28% QoQ
3/3: Full Year Revenue:

o FY 2022 Revenue of $886M, implies 46% YoY. If they beat around 5%, if you come to 51% YoY for Full Year. This is down from 81% in the last fiscal year.

Seasonally, they have a strong Q3 to Q4.

Overall, they seem to have do "ok" but growth is slowing.
Read 11 tweets
6 Dec
I added well into my $ZS Scaler position today. Couple of reasons below:

+ Leader within the fastest-growing segments of enterprise security. (ZTA, SASE, ZIA)
+ Clearly differentiated, cloud-native moat
+ 71% billings growth and 62% YoY on $1B ARR on 30% FCF

Short thread (1/4) ImageImage
2/2: Brief overview of last earnings:

+ They've CAGR over 50%+ growth over the past 5-years.
+QoQ accel to 17%
+ They could easily CAGR 60%+ growth into 2022 due to new Govt contracts
+ 87% in >$1million customers
+ RPO grew 97%
+ FCF✅

I expect to see
3/3:
Clear leader in their industry with early penetration (25% of Fortune 2000) into $72B TAM.

Over 70% of companies are still on on-premise firewalls, but $ZS ZTA architecture way ahead of comps which is why growth has been durable.

Read 4 tweets

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