COVID incidence in Italy maps over incidence two years ago.
Suggesting that:
- herd immunity is still very, very far
- infrastructure* drives outcomes much more than we give it credit
(*demographics, how and where they live, connections, etc.)
Suggesting that:
- herd immunity is still very, very far
- infrastructure* drives outcomes much more than we give it credit
(*demographics, how and where they live, connections, etc.)
This map alone suggests that Sweden having had it relatively easy can in no way be interpreted as “if a country with high incidence had done the same, it wouldn’t have had worse results”
If a country with high virus infrastructure & incidence hadn’t had restrictions, catastrophe
If a country with high virus infrastructure & incidence hadn’t had restrictions, catastrophe
Very important: countries that had been hit lightly have everything to gain competitively to drop all measures compared to countries who got hit hard.
If you’re from the US, UK, South- or Eastern Europe, or any other high-mortality country, don’t be fooled.
If you’re from the US, UK, South- or Eastern Europe, or any other high-mortality country, don’t be fooled.
https://twitter.com/aledeniz/status/1475886383315271681
France appears to show similar patterns (the below are all normalized by population).
It seems like, at least within two years, the hardest hit areas will keep being hit harder.
It seems like, at least within two years, the hardest hit areas will keep being hit harder.
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