UK Covid cases are down almost 50% in two days from their peak. Hopefully they've seen top of this wave. So far no pressure on ICUs or deaths. Ontario doomcasters should note: @NathanStall@BogochIsaac
South Africa's omicron wave is about 6 weeks old and waning almost as fast as it began. ICU occupancy, a lag statistic, has continued up but is NOWHERE near peaks of earlier waves. Numbers on right are weekly on same day.
on December 16, Ontario Science Table showed steeply increasing South African case data and warned that hospitalization increase accompanied it (implying admissions were for COVID, not with COVID).
Look at actual cases plotted at right (black). As so often, Science Table spoke out at absolute top of "market". No sooner had SciTable published than S African cases began to drop sharply.
although ICU occupancy has been SciTable's primary hospitalization metric, that's not what they showed in S Africa. Data issue when COVID widespread arises because of "with COVID" as opposed to "for COVID".
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Trudeau, like Biden, purports to blame unvaccinated for COVID case explosion, but vast majority of cases are among fully vax and current rate of infection per 100K among fully vax higher than among unvax. Problem is not as simplistic as Trudeau says.
I say this as someone that got vaccinated and boosted at earliest opportunity and am glad that I did. Nor do I fault anyone for rapid spread of Omicron even among fully vax. It's frustrating and discouraging. But Trudeau's hatemongering is no help.
nor is Trudeau correct to blame increase in hospitalizations on unvax. The sudden increase in Ontario hospitalizations is almost entirely due to non-ICU hospitalizations among fully_vax. Something that we all expected (and were assured) would be forestalled by vaccines.
I've long commented that the most interesting and disquieting period in Russiagate is period from commissioning of the in early December to appointment of Mueller. I've been cataloguing leaks and documents day-by-day.
does anyone recall any memorable Strzok texts from this period? We all remember the "insurance policy" and smell of Walmart, but those were during the campaign, not the "resistance" period leading up to Mueller. I'll bet that you have a hard time recalling a good one.
There's a reason why it's hard to recall a memorable text from the "resistance" period: there weren't ANY published Strzok-Page texts in original drop between December 13, 2016 and May 18, 2017 (day after Mueller appointment).
Canadian Institute of Health Information (cihi) has just published data on hospital usage from start of pandemic to June 21. Emergency visits have been down ~20-30% (max 50%) during pandemic. cihi.ca/en/covid-19-re…
Based on these numbers, I remain puzzled as to why health system as a whole purports to have been under unimaginable stress for 2 years. COVID remains a fraction of the overall health system. Reduction in usage of rest of system much larger than demand from COVID,
unlike other service industries where usage has declined dramatically during pandemic, health services industry seems to have been fortunate enough to maintain income levels and, for some public officials, greatly increase their incomes.
covid19-sciencetable.ca/wp-content/upl… Ontario Science Table has once again scared the wits out of Ontario public and government with latest doomcast, showing lurid European graphs. As usual, they've manipulated data. Can you spot it?
Science Table concealed data prior to June 15, 2021 - the previous wave. In bottom panel, I've shown Ontario (red) vs UK (which is green in top panel, black in bottom). UK has had case resurgence, but ICU and deaths remained low.
UK ICU load went down a couple of months earlier than Ontario - presumably reflecting very late availability of vaccines in Canada (a responsibility and failure of federal govt, not provincial govts.)
THREAD: given current interest in Ukraine, I think readers will be interested in Andrew Weissmann's extremely strong views on Crimea and the extent to which he thought that candidate Trump's phlegmatic and practical perspective constituted a law enforcement issue.
Crimea is mentioned on multiple occasions in Weissmann's book. First, W complained that Trump was "notably unbothered" by Crimea, which Weissmann characterized (IMO falsely) as "invasion and forced annexation" (as opposed to authentic repudiation of Ukraine and separation)
3/ Weissmann asserted that Crimean separation from Ukraine was a "threat to our national security interests" and that Ukraine was "standing in defense of Europe and the Baltic". I'll omit obvious editorial comment other than noting that Ukraine's location is well south of Baltic
Ukraine's relationship to Russia has many points of similarity to Canada's relationship to USA. But a picture is worth 1000 words. As a thought experiment, let's re-locate US into Russia and Canada into Ukraine, with French-speaking Quebec, English-speaking Ontario and "Michigan"
in our experiment, let's additionally suppose that our re-located USA and Canada were part of the old USSR, which for 30 years was ruled by a dictator from Honduras (re-located to Asian Georgia) and since WW2 by two leaders from our re-located Ontario (Khrushchev, Brezhnev)
then, in 1952, "Canadian" leader of the USSR administratively re-assigned Michigan, which had been part of USA since 1776, into the Canadian Socialist Republic.