I've long commented that the most interesting and disquieting period in Russiagate is period from commissioning of the in early December to appointment of Mueller. I've been cataloguing leaks and documents day-by-day.
does anyone recall any memorable Strzok texts from this period? We all remember the "insurance policy" and smell of Walmart, but those were during the campaign, not the "resistance" period leading up to Mueller. I'll bet that you have a hard time recalling a good one.
There's a reason why it's hard to recall a memorable text from the "resistance" period: there weren't ANY published Strzok-Page texts in original drop between December 13, 2016 and May 18, 2017 (day after Mueller appointment).
in January 2018, it was reported cnn.com/2018/01/25/pol… that OIG had managed to recover texts from the 5-month period, but only a small fraction were reported or published prior to 2020 election, nearly three years later. A very incomplete drop after election.
in April 26, 2018, CNN reported 7 texts from May 9, 2017. A drop in bucket for 5 months given that Strzok and Page sometimes exchanged that many texts in 10 minutes. cnn.com/2018/04/26/pol…
in Sept 2018, a handful of texts were published by Mark Meadows
next that I've noticed are in "exculpatory" information presented to Flynn defense in 2020 and promptly filed as exhibits. Flynn docket here courtlistener.com/docket/6234142… . Texts pertaining to 302 in document 189-1 (filed 4/29/2020), some texts from Jan 3/17 in 228-2,
some 2016 texts in 248-1 and an important tranche of 25 pages, including 2017 texts in 248-5 (filed Sep 24, 2020 courtlistener.com/docket/6234142…)
the 248-5 tranche in Flynn docket goes to May 18, 2017 - the date marking the end of the original gap.
after the election, there were two important tranches in Grassley drops: in the FBI document drop on Dec 3, 2020, Strzok texts are mostly from 2016 (including texts not available in original drop) and have some 2017 - see pages 149-182. It also contains McCabe texts.
there was another tranche of Strzok texts in Grassley December 9, 2020 drop. There's substantial overlap with Flynn tranche, but also differences.
the incipient lawfare insurrection in 2017 was marked by a series of leaks. I've been rather laboriously collating Strzok (and other texts) in this period to clarify. It's quite interesting but also not easy to compile into a narrative.
overall, my impression is that content of withheld Strzok texts is more interesting than content of the original texts. Which tended to be bitchy, but nothing much more than that. Many "new" texts contain information on contacts between FBI and media during leak insurrection
here and there, they also contain perspective on CIA and ICA that is not available elsewhere. Not great sound bite material, but perhaps more interesting ultimately.
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Trudeau, like Biden, purports to blame unvaccinated for COVID case explosion, but vast majority of cases are among fully vax and current rate of infection per 100K among fully vax higher than among unvax. Problem is not as simplistic as Trudeau says.
I say this as someone that got vaccinated and boosted at earliest opportunity and am glad that I did. Nor do I fault anyone for rapid spread of Omicron even among fully vax. It's frustrating and discouraging. But Trudeau's hatemongering is no help.
nor is Trudeau correct to blame increase in hospitalizations on unvax. The sudden increase in Ontario hospitalizations is almost entirely due to non-ICU hospitalizations among fully_vax. Something that we all expected (and were assured) would be forestalled by vaccines.
UK Covid cases are down almost 50% in two days from their peak. Hopefully they've seen top of this wave. So far no pressure on ICUs or deaths. Ontario doomcasters should note: @NathanStall@BogochIsaac
South Africa's omicron wave is about 6 weeks old and waning almost as fast as it began. ICU occupancy, a lag statistic, has continued up but is NOWHERE near peaks of earlier waves. Numbers on right are weekly on same day.
on December 16, Ontario Science Table showed steeply increasing South African case data and warned that hospitalization increase accompanied it (implying admissions were for COVID, not with COVID).
Canadian Institute of Health Information (cihi) has just published data on hospital usage from start of pandemic to June 21. Emergency visits have been down ~20-30% (max 50%) during pandemic. cihi.ca/en/covid-19-re…
Based on these numbers, I remain puzzled as to why health system as a whole purports to have been under unimaginable stress for 2 years. COVID remains a fraction of the overall health system. Reduction in usage of rest of system much larger than demand from COVID,
unlike other service industries where usage has declined dramatically during pandemic, health services industry seems to have been fortunate enough to maintain income levels and, for some public officials, greatly increase their incomes.
covid19-sciencetable.ca/wp-content/upl… Ontario Science Table has once again scared the wits out of Ontario public and government with latest doomcast, showing lurid European graphs. As usual, they've manipulated data. Can you spot it?
Science Table concealed data prior to June 15, 2021 - the previous wave. In bottom panel, I've shown Ontario (red) vs UK (which is green in top panel, black in bottom). UK has had case resurgence, but ICU and deaths remained low.
UK ICU load went down a couple of months earlier than Ontario - presumably reflecting very late availability of vaccines in Canada (a responsibility and failure of federal govt, not provincial govts.)
THREAD: given current interest in Ukraine, I think readers will be interested in Andrew Weissmann's extremely strong views on Crimea and the extent to which he thought that candidate Trump's phlegmatic and practical perspective constituted a law enforcement issue.
Crimea is mentioned on multiple occasions in Weissmann's book. First, W complained that Trump was "notably unbothered" by Crimea, which Weissmann characterized (IMO falsely) as "invasion and forced annexation" (as opposed to authentic repudiation of Ukraine and separation)
3/ Weissmann asserted that Crimean separation from Ukraine was a "threat to our national security interests" and that Ukraine was "standing in defense of Europe and the Baltic". I'll omit obvious editorial comment other than noting that Ukraine's location is well south of Baltic
Ukraine's relationship to Russia has many points of similarity to Canada's relationship to USA. But a picture is worth 1000 words. As a thought experiment, let's re-locate US into Russia and Canada into Ukraine, with French-speaking Quebec, English-speaking Ontario and "Michigan"
in our experiment, let's additionally suppose that our re-located USA and Canada were part of the old USSR, which for 30 years was ruled by a dictator from Honduras (re-located to Asian Georgia) and since WW2 by two leaders from our re-located Ontario (Khrushchev, Brezhnev)
then, in 1952, "Canadian" leader of the USSR administratively re-assigned Michigan, which had been part of USA since 1776, into the Canadian Socialist Republic.