Emissions are projected to rise to record levels over the next 3 or 4 years. The danger is dire 1.6°C-2°C at >450 ppm of CO2 by the 2030s as aerosols are cut - that's world ending for a horrific number of people and species. We must focus on the 2020s, 2030s, & 2040s!
are going to discuss 2100 in terms of pledges and policies, surely we need to acknowledge that 3-4°C is still possible even if we don't question the assumptions behind them!?
🧵3. As the vast majority of scientists concede that 1.5-2°C is unavoidable assuming continued economic growth, we must have emergency degrowth action to protect everybody including other species. It is a scandal that this option is being virtually ignored.nature.com/articles/s4146…
🧵4. Capitalism, neoliberalism, ecomodernism... that we are heading for 1.7C-2C and more very, very soon is the key indication that these ideas are a failure. Economic growth is associated with future cataclysm as has been pointed out by critics.
2. No mention of abrupt climate change in any Met Office tweets in the last few days.
This four and a half minute video talks about remarkable and exceptionally mild weather, but no context or explanation is given. No mention of abrupt climate change.
2a. 'The scale and intensity of current land and water use for agriculture are not sustainable at many local levels. In some cases, this extends to the global level when just-in-time supply can break down, particularly if unforeseen drought drastically reduces crop production.'👇
2. A new study 'sounding the alarm on global ecosystem collapse if action is not taken urgently'.
U.S.-based researcher: "We're not yet at the level.. the paper shows in Australia, but we're moving in that direction." We can "still get our act together."