In a jovial morning in Jax, @GovRonDeSantis is about to speak at a presser again in a few minutes. Will give the highlights momentarily.
The presser still hasn't begun. As folks may have seen by now, there were some disruptions and setbacks to the start. Will update when things get underway.
The Governor says it's clear Omicron is less pathogenic than Delta. Hospitalization rates are much lower and ICU share of hospitalizations have gone down significantly. We are, however, seeing a huge spike breakthrough rate of vaccinated cases with Omicron.
We're seeing over 50% and as high as 60% of COVID-positive patients in Florida hospitals are there from something other than COVID and just testing positive. We think statewide it's probably just under half.
The surgeon general says that cases are definitely increasing but hospitalizations are increasing at a lesser, more manageable rate. He says it's clear that most Omicron cases are mild. Both he and the Governor have mentioned most of our severe hospitalizations are Delta.
The Surgeon General says Omicron is proof that forced vaccinations, forced masks, widespread mass testing were failed policies. He says Omicron has demonstrated these are failed policies and he hopes more people will wake up to that.
AHCA secretary @SMarstiller says ICU is 83% lower than Aug. 18 hospitalization peak, and is down to just 11 percent of all current hospitalizations.
The Governor adds he hopes HHS will change the reporting of hospitalizations to make the distinction of primary diagnosis "for" COVID-19. He says in the past, we've probably been 20-25 percent merely "with" COVID where it's closer to half right now.
Asked about testing, the Governor says since the Federal government hasn't delivered on getting home tests out as promised, Florida is working on a plan to get tests to higher risk people, and others showing clinical symptoms of disease.

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More from @kylamb8

3 Jan
In a few moments, @FLSurgeonGen Dr. Joseph Ladapo and @SMarstiller of AHCA will be joining @GovRonDeSantis at a press conference at Broward Health in Fort Lauderdale.
The Governor starts off by saying it's not clear that mABs won't still be a benefit, even against Omicron, but we know Delta is still around and it's clear that it's effective against that.
The Governor mentions we know Omicron is far less pathogenic than Delta based on a ton of data coming out of South Africa and Europe. We know it's mostly an upper respiratory virus compared to Delta, which was causing a lot of lower lung issues.
Read 26 tweets
30 Dec 21
Very strong relationship here between Florida counties for 7d case rates and percent fully vaccinated. This is a .562 correlation.

Only problem? A meaningful relationship should be inverse correlation here. The slope is going completely opposite where it should be going.
This data comes from 59 of the 67 counties in Florida with case rates that are not suppressed as of Dec. 30 on the CDC COVID Data Tracker.

covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
For the record, I will stipulate what I always have believed: I still think vaccines stimulate the immune system and provide memory for defenses if you get infected to greatly decrease risk of severe disease.

But suffice to say, there is NO justification to use them vs. spread.
Read 6 tweets
30 Dec 21
If a variant were milder, you should see the rate of hospitalizations decrease significantly from cases and also ICU should start to drop compared to total hospitalizations.

In Florida, tell me what you see when I put these two things together...

(1/2)
You might also see a simultaneous drop in length of stay if a variant is milder. That is to say with more incidental hospitalizations and less disease prevalence, you would see shorter hospital stays.

Here is a 28-day rolling average for LOS in Florida. See the same drop?

2/2
Data:

Cases from CDC U.S. Cases and Deaths time series

Hospital data from HHS daily reported patient impact and hospital capacity by state.

Length of Stays is estimated/imputed from sum of patient days over 28 days, divided by census at the start + new hospital admissions.
Read 6 tweets
27 Dec 21
Apparently Omicron is no longer enough of a concern in Denmark. They're reducing their daily Omicron surveillance from 7 days a week to M-W-F.

There have been 40,258 confirmed sequenced cases resulting in just 51 hospitalizations (0.13%). Fewer than 5 in ICU.
I want to be transparent, so I'll add the report isn't straightforward. It's not clear if the 51 is current hospitalizations or total "from". Another page shows 210 total hospital admissions with confirmed Omicron cases testing positive within 48 hours prior to or after admission
Read 4 tweets
19 Dec 21
England has reported 23,168 confirmed Omicron cases as of 6 p.m. on Dec. 17 local time for their Dec. 18 report.

Grand total hospitalizations with a positive test, not necessarily from COVID-19? 85.

For the math impaired, that's 0.37% hospitalized.

Currently the U.S. is >7%
To clarify, the U.S. is just over 7% of typical 7-day number of cases that result in a hospital admission, regardless of variant. This number was usually 11-13% late last year and early this year.

So if Omicron stays under 1%, it's fantastic.
Also remember: there was just a story out of South Africa that their hospital admissions were about 19% of cases last year during the beginning of the Delta wave. They're currently about 1.7% of cases. England, so far, is 0.37% of cases.
Read 4 tweets
9 Dec 21
History will look fondly on @GovRonDeSantis for...

* Retreating from lockdowns when he saw a lack of benefit
* Protecting vulnerable
* Being honest when he saw vaccines were reducing risk but not stopping transmission
* Prioritizing treatment
* Recognizing seasonality & immunity
They...scoffed when he said lockdowns weren't helping.
Pleaded when he opened schools.
Ridiculed for citing seasonal patterns.
Threw a tantrum for vaccinating elderly first.
Outraged for banning forced school masks.
Amazed when he recognized vaccines weren't stopping cases.
But time and time again, data proves these decisions correct.

And now we see doubling down on boosters to stop cases that aren't being stopped by vaccines, and they're changing the definition of vaccinated just as he predicted they would.
Read 4 tweets

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