GM
I think it’s wise on significant bounces to consider removing a good amount of your capital from the market Especially if 1. You’ve made it 2. Can’t afford to lose it
As stated I think this year is a year people lose most if not all for many reasons laid out.
In 2018 I made the mistake many of you have already made or are making. And have mostly been risk off as opposed to on the past months. I personally feel and have laid out the reasons why I believe the markets have a lot more to bleed out as a whole
I’ll be making concentrated bets in a few sectors in the market and taking 80% out as I’m still very close to my latest ath’s. You can always deploy into strength when the market shows you it’s time on a high time frame reversal or months from now after alts gave made many Lh’s
GM!
Now is a good time for a little education imo. How many fiat currencies have survived the test of time? Zero. A lot of similarities today with how the Roman Empire fell. But also imo the same thing that happens in our market. DILUTION 👇
The same way NFT’s fell apart, ICO’, etc in this market often have the same catalyst. Over-saturation of projects eventually exceed demand and supply dominates = people leave and volume drop
Some thoughts on the market and a basis for the thesis I formed in November on $BTC and #Alts
CPI print at 6.2% was indeed bearish since markets are forward looking and #Bitcoin is an inflation hedge. It was a great opportunity to de-risk. Enter $ETH
$ETH prints a doji showing waning momentum. At that same time the Eth whale claims a 2.5B position on eth finex closing out the long trade from July bottom and Eth foundation sells a small amount 👇
Now let's look back to the recent past in April. When a huge inflows of participants came. Weird how this works. When the lemmings come in masses it's probably time to sell. Some of us did :)
"When altseason"
It's been going on for an entire year in various form
Stars produce energy through fusion. Which creates outward pressure. Number go up. But eventually there isn't a lot left to fuse and the star forms iron. The day the star forms iron is the day death begins
It becomes endothermic, so it requires more energy then it can produce and the outward pressure starts to collapse it down. It creates heavier elements and eventually collapses on itself.
Here is fusion of iron in our market visualized. We had a ton of energy and momentum. But eventually both of those peaked. But since we have new projects daily that creates new supply. Especially with VC unlocks in 2022.
1/3 For transparency sake. In total was able to get my average to 410 $BTC at about a 47.9k cost average after a little maneuvering from the highs and first dip. About a net gain of +45 BTC from the last major buys at 46.3k
Obviously w/ compounding cost basis much lower
3/3 Prob the last time I show size and entries for awhile bc I think the market is moving too fast for most people to adjust to the LH's structure and outlines. Would like to compound as much as possible in this range down to low 40's and re-evaluate