Thread by @RogerPielkeJr

"Spotting is an influential form of wildfire spread whereby firebrands (i.e. burning pieces of vegetation or other combustible materials) are blown into unburnt fuels and ignite separate new ‘spot fire'"
Storey et al. 2020
publish.csiro.au/WF/pdf/WF19124

Albini, F. A. (1983). Potential spotting distance from wind-driven surface fires (Vol. 309). US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station.
frames.gov/documents/beha…

This is an incredibly interesting paper:

Pitts, W. M. (1991). Wind effects on fires. Progress in Energy and Combustion Science, 17(2), 83-134.
doi.org/10.1016/0360-1…

Radeloff, Volker C., et al. "Rapid growth of the US wildland-urban interface raises wildfire risk." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115.13 (2018): 3314-3319.
doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1…

Population

Superior, CO
1990= 276
2019= 13,077

Louisville, CO
1990= 12,543
2019= 20,816

What has been role of population growth in changing fire risk? cf. Radeloff et al. 2018

Pielke, R. A., & Sarewitz, D. (2005). Bringing society back into the climate debate. Population and environment, 26(3), 255-268.
link.springer.com/article/10.100…

Over past few days I have dived deeply into the academic literature on fires (urban, grassland, WUI, etc) & am again amazed by the scope and depth of expertise available - rich, nuanced, thoughtful, complex

I cannot help but be reminded of Sarewitz 2014
slate.com/technology/201…

⬇️
"climate change may well exacerbate a range of serious & potentially even disastrous problems—it’s that the monomaniacal, apocalyptic version of climate change gives us a picture of the world that is so incomplete that it’s much worse than simply wrong"
slate.com/technology/201…

Zhuang, Yizhou, et al. "Quantifying contributions of natural variability and anthropogenic forcings on increased fire weather risk over the western United States." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118.45 (2021).
doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2…

Australia is way out ahead on the US on fire policy

O’Neill, S. J., & Handmer, J. (2012). Responding to bushfire risk: the need for transformative adaptation. Environmental Research Letters, 7(1), 014018.
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…

Hammer, R. B., Stewart, S. I., & Radeloff, V. C. (2009). Demographic trends, the wildland–urban interface, and wildfire management. Society and Natural Resources, 22(8), 777-782.
doi.org/10.1080/089419…