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Kyle Lamb Profile picture
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7 Jan, 4 tweets, 1 min read
"We do not contest COVID is a grave danger," heard by the counsel in the OSHA hearing.

They should be contesting that. It's certainly a grave danger to some people, but 80% of deaths occur at retirement age. OSHA mandate addresses working age persons under 65.
This is not going well at all. The justices are just up here citing untrue statistics based on faulty perception. They need to be also arguing the grave danger aspect as well as the law.
Justice Breyer out here saying hospitals are the fullest they've ever been. That is utterly false.
Once again I state my objection. This was a blatantly bad mistake not challenging the grave danger aspect. Total miscalculation.

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More from @kylamb8

Kyle Lamb Profile picture
7 Jan
Has there ever been a time where medical advice was to get more of a product on the basis that it’s not working? lol
My real issue with this aside from Pfizer and Moderna not being honest with their obvious motives is that we are purposely misleading people as to what isn’t working. Absolutely none of these studies show a decline in protection against severe illness. It’s all about antibodies.
Vaccines are supposed to trigger an immune response to the virus by preparing the immune system as if it were the actual virus. Antibodies wane, just like after an infection, but the long lasting T cells remember the virus to help protect people against severe illness…
Read 4 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
7 Jan
It's really sad how misinformed the justices of the highest court in the land are on this disease. It shouldn't matter, as it should be about the law, but since they're making it about the disease itself, it would help if they weren't citing utterly false statistics.
"Those numbers show that Omicron causes as much severe disease and death in the unvaccinated as Delta did."

Ladies and gentlemen, I give you an actual quote just now from a SCOTUS justice.

This is how grossly ignorant they are. There is no data in the world that shows this.
Among the gems so far:

* There are unprecedented levels of people in hospitals (false)

* Hospitalizations are growing 10 fold (false)

* Omicron is just as deadly as Delta (false)
Read 9 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
7 Jan
Early anecdotes coming from doctors in South Africa suggested Omicron was mild, or certainly mild(er).

Data there quickly started supporting those anecdotes, and also in places like UK, Denmark, and more recently, Florida.

But now there is hope for the U.S.

A thread.
We'll call this decoupling rate. It's basically an odds ratio type of calculation using a 30d rate of change of three indicators.

A) New hospital admissions 7d ave compared to cases 7d

B) Hospital census 7d compared to new admissions

C) ICU census 7d to hospitalizations

2/
Using these odds ratio, we can see decoupling in the differences of rates of change. We have been seeing it in Florida. Measuring these three together is analogous to measuring ICU (severe illness) as a rate of cases.

Until now, these have predictably moved similarly.

3/
Read 13 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
6 Jan
This should be marked misinformation if Twitter were honest or consistent lol. There is literally zero evidence that prior immunity is not holding up against Omicron for severe illness, and since Omicron isn't providing severe illness, it doesn't matter.
This is exactly why public health is a trainwreck. They double down on failed policies. They are literally basing boosters on the premise that we need to stop spread. They tell people with prior infections to get boosted because Omicron, but boosters are failing against Omicron.
Prior immunity does worst against Omicron as far as infections, but literally so are boosters lol. Boosters are failing after a few weeks and providing negative efficacy against Omicron when it comes to infection. So quite literally there is no point.
Read 4 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
4 Jan
In a jovial morning in Jax, @GovRonDeSantis is about to speak at a presser again in a few minutes. Will give the highlights momentarily.
The presser still hasn't begun. As folks may have seen by now, there were some disruptions and setbacks to the start. Will update when things get underway.
The Governor says it's clear Omicron is less pathogenic than Delta. Hospitalization rates are much lower and ICU share of hospitalizations have gone down significantly. We are, however, seeing a huge spike breakthrough rate of vaccinated cases with Omicron.
Read 9 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
3 Jan
In a few moments, @FLSurgeonGen Dr. Joseph Ladapo and @SMarstiller of AHCA will be joining @GovRonDeSantis at a press conference at Broward Health in Fort Lauderdale.
The Governor starts off by saying it's not clear that mABs won't still be a benefit, even against Omicron, but we know Delta is still around and it's clear that it's effective against that.
The Governor mentions we know Omicron is far less pathogenic than Delta based on a ton of data coming out of South Africa and Europe. We know it's mostly an upper respiratory virus compared to Delta, which was causing a lot of lower lung issues.
Read 26 tweets

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