1/4 - Switzerland (R-eff=1.25) is experiencing a surge in its #COVID19 new cases.
30,257 cases and 7 deaths/day foreseen by Jan 13, if at same pace.
Forecasts from Jan 08 to 14.
3/4 - By Jan 14, the lowest forecasted average will be in Appenzell I (694 cases/100 K pop/week).
Highest R-eff in: BS (1.34); BL (1.32); FR (1.29); VS (1.27); Zug (1.27); TI (1.26); ZH (1.26)
Lowest in: Jura (1.0); Obwalden (0.99); Appenzell I. (0.94).
4/4 - People with at least 1 dose: 69.07% by Jan 06.
< 60% in Appenzell I.;
65-70% in Aargau; Bern; Fribourg; Lucerne; Schwyz; Solothurn; Valais; Zug;
> 70% in Geneva; Grisons; Vaud; Ticino; Obwalden; Nidwalden; Neuchâtel; Basel L; Basel Stadt; Zürich. covid19.admin.ch/en/vaccination…
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2/9 - Western Europe experiences rise or surge in #COVID19 new cases, with increasing mortality:
- Very high mort: GR (R-eff=1.29);
- High mort:UK=1.08;IT=1.39;FR=1.25;DE=1.18;FL;DK=1.13;
- Med mort: SP;AT=1.39;PT=1.28;CH=1.25;IRL;NO=1.32;BE=1.21;
- Low mort: ICL; NL;LUX; SE.
3/9 - East-Central Europe
Two #COVID19 profiles, with alarming [high] mort:
- Plateau-Landing: [Ukr; Pol; Slovk; Russia*];
- Surging-rising: Bulg=1.30 [Croat=1.27;Czech=1.13; Eston=1.3; Hung=1.13; Latv=1.22;Lith=1.30; Romn=1.51; Slovn=1.36; Serb=1.54].
*
1/3 - France (R-eff=1.25) experiences very high level of #COVID19 activity, with high mortality.
348,366 cases and 245 deaths/day foreseen by Jan 16, if at same pace;
Forecasts Jan 10 to Jan 13 are prone to underestimation: tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
By @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/3 - All mainland Régions surge in #COVID19 cases:
- Very high mortality:
PACA=1.20;
- High mort:
AURA=1.33;
Brg-Fr-Cté=1.35;
Corse=1.21;
Grd-Est=1.24:
Ile-de-Fr=1.25;
Norm=1.39;
Nv-Aq=1.35;
Occit=1.30;
- Med mort:
Bret=1.31;
Ctre-Val-L=1.39;
Hts-de-Fr=1.36;
P-de-L=1.26.
3/3 – Overseas Régions are experiencing very high #COVID19 epidemic activity:
- Surge:
Réunion (R-eff=1.36), with high mortality;
- Rapid and worrying surge:
Mayotte=1.66, very low mort;
Guadeloupe=1.57; [Martinique=1.48]; Guyane=1.96, [very high] medium mortality;
1/4 - Etude de la correlation entre concentration de CO2 et risque de #COVID19 dans les écoles:
Il y a peu encore d’études dressant l’état d’aération des salles de classes et analysant l’éventuelle association avec le risque de contracter l’infection. empa.ch/fr/web/s604/co…
2/4 - En collaboration avec des chercheurs de l'Empa, le service de la santé publique des Grisons (Suisse) a analysé la qualité de l'air dans 150 salles de classe des Grisons à l'aide de 300 capteurs de CO2. Ci-après les résultats préliminaires de cette recherche…
3/4 - “La qualité de l'air est mesurée depuis oct 2021 dans 150 salles de classe de 59 écoles primaires des Grisons.
2 capteurs de CO2 ont été installés dans chaque salle. Une 1ère évaluation, portant sur les données collectées entre le 1er et le 19 nov 2021, est disponible.”
2/9 - Western Europe experiences a worrying surge in #COVID19 new cases, with increasing mortality:
- Very high mort: GR (R-eff=1.34);
- High mort:UK=1.10;IT=1.40;FR=1.28;DE=1.25;FL;
- Med mort: SP;AT=1.39;PT=1.30;DK=1.13; CH=1.25;IRL;NO=1.34;BE=1.22;LUX;
- Low mort: ICL; NL; SE.
3/9 - East-Central Europe
Three #COVID19 profiles, with alarming [high] mortality:
- Landing: [(Ukr;Poland); Slovk; Russia];
- Increasing: [Czechia=1.07]
- Surging: Bulgaria=1.30 [Croatia=1.32;Eston=1.3; Hungary=1.13; Latvia=1.24;Lithuan=1.28; Romn=1.56; Slovn=1.4; Serbia=1.52].
1/3 - France (R-eff=1.28), experiences very high level of #COVID19 activity, with high mortality.
344,171 cases and 251 deaths/day foreseen by Jan 15, if at same pace;
Forecast Jan 09 to Jan 12are prone to underestimation: tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
By @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/3 - All mainland Régions surge in #COVID19 cases:
- Very high mortality:
PACA=1.24;
- High mort:
AURA=1.33;
Brg-Fr-Cté=1.46;
Corse=1.28;
Grd-Est=1.30:
Ile-de-Fr=1.27;
Norm=1.42;
Nv-Aq=1.43;
Occit=1.38;
- Med mort:
Bret=1.33;
Ctre-Val-L=1.39;
Hts-de-Fr=1.42;
P-de-L=1.28.
3/3 – Overseas Régions are experiencing very high #COVID19 epidemic activity:
- Surge:
Réunion (R-eff=1.29), with high mortality;
- Rapid and worrying surge:
Mayotte=1.61, very low mort;
Guadeloupe=1.54; [Martinique=1.52]; Guyane=1.53, [very high] medium mortality;
1/7 - “About seven million Americans have compromised immune systems from cancer treatments, transplants or other medical conditions. For many, it still feels like the worst days of the early #COVID19 pandemic, before vaccines.” …saging-custom-newsletters.nytimes.com/template/oakv2…
2/7 - “Many people with compromised immune systems have sidestepped government guidelines and received unauthorized fourth or fifth shots. Researchers say some immunocompromised people may never generate an immune system response, no matter how many shots they receive.”
3/7 - “Some immunocompromised people don’t have much in the way of their immune system. Others are taking immune-suppressing medications that completely take away their ability to make antibodies, or aren’t responding at all to vaccines.”